Author Archives: Ket Garden

The safety of the people shall be the highest law

Emergency! Emergency! People in France are putting their yellow vests on because they are in an emergency situation. This is a yellow vest that everybody have in their own car in case of an accident. The yellow vest protests started in November last year because the authorities was planning to rise the cost of fuels, which is something most people in France can`t afford.

President Donald Trump doesn`t wear a yellow vest, but he is also in an emergency situation. He recently announced that he could “call a national emergency” to build a wall on the border with Mexico. Is that really a national emergency?

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A morning consult poll show that 42% of all voters belive there is a major crisis at the border while 72% of the Republicans agree. Former president Barrack Obama said it is a crisis at the border and so did Chuck Schumer. But now, most of the Democrats are against it.

Mr Trump said in a speech that more people die at the border than American lost in the Vietnam war. So, the situation at the border can be described as a war zone. Worse than the Vietnam war. Isn`t that an emergency situation?

A state of emergency is a situation in which a government is empowering to perform actions that it would normally not be permitted. A government can declare such state during a disaster, civil unrest, or armed conflict.

Such declaration alerts citizens to change their normal behaviour and orders government agencies to implement emergency plans.

In the United Kingdom, only the British Sovereign, on the advice of the Privy Council is able to proclaim emergency regulations under the Civil Contingencies Act 2004 in case of any seriously fatal threats to their human welfare, their human society, and their environment, such as warfare or terrorism.

A state of emergency was last invoked in the U.K in 1974 by Prime Minister Edward Heath in response to increasing Industrial action.

Industrial action (or job action – North American English) is a temporary show of dissatisfaction by employees, especially a strike or slowdown or working to rule to protest against bad working conditions or low pay and to increase bargaining power with the employer and intended to force the employer to improve them by reducing productivity in a workplace.

Industrial action may take place in the context of a labour dispute or may be meant to effect political or social change. This form of communication tends to be their only means to voice their concerns about safety and benefits.

On December 10, 2015, Washington state Governor Jay Inslee declared a state of emergency due to flooding and landslides caused by heavy rains. The U.S states of South Caroline, North Carolina, Virginia, Georgia and Maryland declared states of emergency on September 8, 2018 in advance of Hurricane Florence.

Another ongoing national emergency, declared after the September 11 attacks, authorizes the president to retain or reactivate military personnel beyond their normal term of use. Former President George W. Bush and Barrack Obama, and current President Donald Trump, have chosen to extend the duration of the proclamation each year following its original declaration. Currently, the proclamation will remain in effect until September 14, 2019, unless it is extended again by the president.

President Trump are doing everything he can to protect the American people. He cut taxes, boost the stock market, lowering the unemployment rate and increase wages. He want to build the wall because so many people die at the border with Mexico.

There are drugs, criminals, rape and murders at the border, and this makes it an emergency situation for Mr Trump. He sounds like Marcus Tullius Cicero at the Roman Empire who said the safety of the people shall be the highest law.

Unfortunately, the same can not be said about Macron. He`s brain seems to be in Brussels and not in France. He should be more Nationalist like Trump and Ghandi and protect his own citizens. Rising fuel costs is not the right medicine for the people in France with an unemployment rate of 9,1%.

Don`t blame on Macron for everything because the record low of the French unemployment is 7,2%, and personal income tax rate is 45%.

Salus populi suprema lex esto (latin: the health, welfare, good, salvation, felicity) of the people should be the supreme law, Let the good (or safety) of the people be the supreme (or highest) law», or «The welfare of the people shall be the supreme law») is a maxim or principle found in Cicero`s De Legibus (book III, part III, sub. VIII).

The phrase is the state motto of Missouri, accepted, like many other states, as an element of its state seal. Macron has probably something to think of.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

 

 

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5G is a new beginning and partly a turning point, but certainly nothing less than a revolution

The 2019 International CES show started today in Las Vegas, and it will end on Friday, 11 January. CES is the world`s gathering place for those who thrive on the business of consumer technologies. It has served as the proving ground for innovators and breakthrough technologies for 50 years.

This is the global stage where next generation innovations are introduced to the marketplace, and its owned by Consumer Technology Association (CTA). This gathering attracts the worlds business leaders and pioneering thinkers.

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I have been following Apple for decades and I expect them to be in Las Vegas this week. We all know that AI is the future, but how is Apple`s innovation when it comes to Smart home tech? It seems like they are falling behind in the Smart home race.

Both, Google and Amazon are now integrating Alexa and Google assistant into Smart home devices. Voice assistants are cropping up in all kinds of places at CES 2019 and what I think is a cool thing to have is both voice and touchscreen in the bathroom mirror.

This Smart Mirror allows you to access Google Assistant were you can check the weather and traffic, or stream some YouTube videos while you are fixing your hear before you are going out for your next date.

Its brilliant because you have only two hands and none of them are free. Youre fixing your hair right. So, while you`re fixing your hair, you just have to ask the mirror what time it is, what the weather is or when your next bus is coming. All this without using your hands.

Everything is connected and to do so you need 5G, which is enabling the Internet of Things (IoT). Cars, heating systems and even trash cans are becoming involved in the net. 5G is super fast and makes the IoT possible. 5G is 100x faster than 4G and 10x faster than the best home-subscriber broadband service.

You need 5G to run your new driverless car and it`s all based on a computer with GPS built-in it. 5G is nothing less than a revolution. It is in such capacities that it becomes clear why the technologies from 2G to 4G differ so radically from the fifth generation, and that is awaiting us is partly a new beginning and partly a turning point, but certainly nothing less than a revolution.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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The United States are growing faster than China

The world`s biggest economy is the United States followed by China, and sooner or later, China will replace the locomotive and be the biggest economy in the world. You can delay it, but it will happen in this century anyway.

They are both in conflict with each other with tariff tensions and a trade war. A strategy that is bad for both of them in the long run. The U.S is waiting for China to come to the table and make a fair deal. Today is the first day of talks to renegotiate the trade dispute between them. A deal that President Donald Trump repudiated.

Take a look at the chart above. Surprisingly, the U.S is more productive than China. Twice as much. The US economy advanced an annualized 3,4 percent on quarter in the third quarter of 2018 while the Chinese economy grew by “only” 1,6 percent quarter-on-quarter in the three months to September last year.

The Chinese economy is slowing and this has been going on for a while. But it`s not because of the trade war. China obviously have some problems and the China-U.S tension is one of them, but this is not the first time China and the U.S are in conflict with each other.

Deng Xiaoping and President Jimmy Carter signed a historic accord in 1979 and then reversed decades of China-U.S tension. Deng Xiaoping was a Chinese revolutionary and veteran of the Communist Party and he was eager to adopt capitalist methods and reforms in order to stimulate economic growth and restore confidence in the party.

Today, China has embraced capitalism but remains Leninist at heart. The founder of the Soviet Union, and his Bolshevik revolution, Vladimir Lenin changed China`s economic and political landscape.

Lenins Russian revolution in 1917 have a causal relationship with the birth of Chinas Communist Party in 1921 and the founding of the People`s Republic of China in 1949. As Mao Zedong once said: “The salvoes of the October revolution brought Marxism-Leninism to China.”

Lenin has played a much bigger role in China than Karl Marx and Friedrich Engels. The wholesale execution of enemies inspired Mao`brutal dictatorship and his launch of the Cultural Revolution under the theory of “continuous revolution under the dictatorship of the proletariat.”

Now, China has changed dramatically since Deng Xiaopings free-market reforms and Maos terrifying Leninist experiment in utopia. Now, China is the world`s second largest economy. 70 percent of the “socialist” economy is privately owned and nobody have more billionaires than China right now.

China is more a Leninist capitalist state than a Marxist socialist one. 800 million people in the middle class has jumped on the consumerism train in only a couple of decades under the stewardship of communist totalitarianism. Leninism`s lasting legacy.

On the other side, China has a debt crisis and a real estate bubble, so the question is; when will China collapse, and will it cause a global crisis? China is declining and it will continue to do so. Lending money to Kenya or Venezuela to name a few, are putting them all in a debt trap and it remain to see that Beijing can afford it. I`m in doubt.

Xi Jinping and his leaders know that they are in a very weak position, so they have to come to the table and make a deal with the U.S.

The stock market is in a correction territory at the moment. Investors have priced in two rate hikes this year and some U.S-China tension fear, but Trump reports “Big Progress” in trade talks with China were top trained negotiators came to the table earlier today.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

 

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If this a an average bear market we will se it bounce very soon

It has been a brutal stock sell off in December and so far in 2019, and MSM is telling you that we are officially in a bear market. It seems like the market is pricing in a recession, but it can be too early to say so.

The 10-year Treasury remain below 3 percent and the FED shouldn`t raise rates for the 10th time in 2019. If they push the hold button, I think the market will be happy and bullish again. Just look at the healthy job market and the strength of the U.S economy.

December 2018 was the worst December for the Dow since 1931, but if we avoid a recession I think investors are lucky to have a lot of cheap stocks. It is a China-U.S trade war, and the global economy is in a growth slowdown, but that doesn`t automatically mean recession.

We can see a support for the S&P 500 very soon, and this is also a point were investors pay for their insurance. And that is also a point were the bear market ends. Technical analysis tells us that if this is the right thing right now, a drop to around 2,300 points would likely spark a bounce from here.

Statistically, the average bear market stops right after, or right before it officially began. It remain to see that this is happening again. A closer look at the 48-month SMA, the market failed to bounce in August 2008 which led to the biggest drop since the Great Depression. The same happened in 2001.

Is this drop a new 2001 or 2008? If not, we can see a support just like it did in 1987, 1990 and 2016. The S&P 500 has lost 20,2 percent, and the Dow is down 19,4 percent, while Nasdaq is down 23,9 percent. The Russell 2000 is down 27,3 percent, so the coming days will be interesting. Anyway; this a great moment for day traders.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

 

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The New Year stands before us like a chapter in a book

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