Tag Archives: China

Taiwan officially known as Republic of China has been self-ruled since 1950, but China considers Taiwan part of its land that must be reunited with mainland even by force

Tsai-Ing-Wen and the Democratic Progressive Party has won a historic landslide victory in the Taiwan election. They defeated the much more Pro China rival Han Kuo-Yu and the KMT. This is a big surprise and no one would have expected this outcome a year ago.

This is a clear message to the one rule Communist Party in Beijing. The people in Taiwan rejects China`s plan for reunification with the island. It`s a remarkable turnaround for the president, whose party suffered major losses in local elections just a year ago.

I believe that the rise of the party started when Pro Democracy protesters in Hong Kong took to the streets last year. People are more awake today than only a few months ago. Months of ant-govenment protests in nearby Hong Kong boosted Wen`s campaign, and scenes of police cracking down on demonstrators appear to have galvanised younger voters.

Tsai warned that Taiwan`s democratic rights must be preserved, and the country has its own military, currency and a passport accepted in most countries. But, Taiwan does not have a seat at the United Nations, and only 15 countries officially recognise Taiwan`s democratic government. United States is not one of them.

Tsai said that the people in Taiwan reject the one country, two systems model. We respect democracy and our sovereign rights, she said. Huh, it sounds like Trump who is fighting against the globalists in Europe.

On the other side; Washington is Taiwan`s most important ally and trading partner. It will be interesting to see how far the U.S will go to defend Taiwan and what will Xi and the Communists in Beijing do in respond to Tsai Ing-Wen`s win, which gives her a second term in office? The Communists have ramped up pressure on Taiwan and cut off official communication with Tsai in the past.

Tsai Ing-Wen said peace means that China must abondon threats of force against Taiwan. She also said she hope Beijing understands that democratic Taiwan will not concede to threats. China says it will not change position that Taiwan is part of it after Tsai`s re-election.

China claims Taiwan is part of its territory under its “One China Principle”.

We now see a similar situation in Taiwan is it is in Hong Kong. One Country, two systems. Taiwan, officially the Republic of China (ROC), is a state in East Asia.

Taiwanese indigenous peoples settled the island of Taiwan around 6,000 years ago. In the 17th century, Dutch rule opened the island to mass Han immigration. After the brief Kingdom of Tungning in parts of the southern and western areas of the island, the island was annexed in 1683 by the Qing dynastry of China, and ceded to the Empire of Japan in 1895.

Following the surrender of Japan in 1945, the Republic of China, which had overthrown and succeeded the Qing in 1911, took control of Taiwan on behalf of thw World War II Allies.

The resumption of the Chinese Civil War led to the loss of the mainland to the Communist Party of China (CPP) and the flight of the ROC government to Taiwan in 1949. although the ROC government continued to claim to be the legitimate representative of China, since 1950 its effective jurisdiction has been limited to Taiwan and numerous smaller islands.

In the early 1960`s, Taiwan entered a period of rapid economic growth and industrialisation called the «Taiwan Miracle». In the late 1980`s and early 1990`s, the ROC transitioned from a one-party military dictatorship to a multi-party democracy with a semi-presidential system.

Taiwan`s export-oriented industrial economy is the 21st-largest in the world, with major contributions from steel, machinery, electronics and chemicals manufacturing. Taiwan is a developed country, ranking 15th in GDP per capita. It is ranked highly in terms of political and civil liberties, education, health care and human developments.

The political status of Taiwan remains uncertain.

The ROC is no longer a member of the UN, having been replaced by the PRC in 1971. Taiwan is claimed by the PRC, which refuses diplomatic relations with countries that recognise the ROC. International organisations in which the PRC participates either refuses to grant membership to Taiwan or allow it to particitpate only on a non-state basis.

Taiwan is a member of the World Trade Organization, Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation and Asian Development Bank under various offices and institutions that function as de facto embassies and consulates.

Domesticay, the major political division is between parties fvouring eventual Chinese unification and promoting a Chinese identity contrasted with those aspiring to independence and promoting Taiwanese identity, although both sides have moderated their positions to broaden their appeal.

Taiwan officially known as Republic of China has been self-ruled since 1950, but China considers Taiwan part of its land that must be reunited with mainland even by force.

The U.S hailed Tsai`s victory as demonstration of Taiwan`s robust Democratic system. Taiwan`s president Tsai Ing-Wen secures second term in office with 57,1% of votes. The vote is seen as a choice between moving closer to China or resisting push for reunification.

Tsai Ing-Wen told the supporters “today we have defended our democracy and freedom”.

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Home Depot is the largest home improvement retailer in the United States and the best run retailer in the world

So far, it has been a good earnings season with a higher than average seventy-five percent of S&P 500 companies that have reported beating expectations. That was strong enough to push the stock market to record highs.

On Tuesday 19, Home Depot will report earnings before market open. The report will be for the fiscal Quarter ending October 2019, and the consensus EPS for the quarter is $2,52, which is up from the same quarter last year at $2,51.

The Home Depot is the largest home improvement retailer in the United States, and considered to be the best run retailer in the world. I have been watching this stock for years and it`s interesting and funny to see that they beat estimates time after time.

Home Depot opened up two stores 40 years ago. In 1979, the first two stores, built in spaces leased from J.C Penny that werw originally Treasure Island «hypermarket». As of October 20, 2019, they have 2,285 locations and 413,000 employees.

The founders created a company to keep alive the values that were important to them; Values like respect among all people, excellent customer service and giving back to communities and society.

In December 2006. the Home Depot announced its acquistion of the Chinese home improvement retailer The Home Way. The acquisition gave the Home Depot an immediate presence in China, with 12 stores in six cities.

But the Home Depot didn`t succeed in China. They lack of success in China has been attributed t o the disconnect between The Home Depot`s do-it-yourself ethos and Chinese culture. The market in China is more of a do-it-for-me culture.

So, as of April 2011, Home Depot shut its last Beijing store, the fifth Home Depot to close in China in the previous two years. As of September 16, 2012, all seven of the box stores in China had been shut down, and they has no immediate plans to further expand its specialty stores in China.

The US-China trade war is risky but the impeachment is even more risky. They want to impeach a president that have done so much for its own people, and tax cuts and many reforms have boosted to U.S economy.

Strong consumer activity and low interest rate is helping companies like Home Depot, and this is why they beat earnings all the time. At least for the last two years. But according to DM Martin`s Research, the RMI (remodeling market index) and future bid activity have come off their 2017 peaks in the past several quarters.

The management doesn`t seems to be concerned about the demand. Last quarter they said; «Current health of the U.S consumer and a stable housing environment» was postive for them. Its difficult not to be bullish, and share repurchase can push the EPS higher.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Hong Kong falls into recession

The freedom-fighters continue to protest against the Communists in China, but it isn`t cheap. The Hong Kong economy shrank 2,9 percent YoY in the third quarter of 2019. They`re on the way down to recession for the first time since the third quarter of 2009.

The economy is declining while the government spending are growing at a faster pace. What a toxic mix. Government spending increased 5,3 percent while fixed investment declined 16,3 percent. Private consumption shrank 3,5 percent and exports of goods fell 7 percent.

The freedom-fighters in Hong Kong have used masks for months now, but today they celebrated Halloween. But the Hong Kong police fired tear gas into the crowd of masked Halloween protersters.

People in Hong Kong need to know that the rest of the world is supporting them, and everybody in this world must ask themselves what the value of money is compared to freedom? Readers of Shinebull.com know that money is worthless. Freedom isn`t.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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China`s success is driven by the U.S investment but America`s days of helping rebuild China are over

Some “smart” journalists reported to the world that Trump was a moron because of his tax cuts. How in the world can he afford to do that, the journalists said. Trump is the right man at the right place at the right time. Americans voted for the right man and the party.

We all know that the U.S economy is very strong and what Trump have done so far at the White House have boosted the economy. Pence said in a speech yesterday that the U.S has the strongest economy in the history of the world.

Not only that. Trump is also the first president to actually stand up to Communist China. “President Trump understands the Chinese like no president understood them, and he`s very good at dealing with gangsters,” former activist jimmy Lai said. Now, Beijing and Washington are working to resolve their differences.

Pence said he hoped the U.S could make a deal with China very soon. But he also said that America`s days of helping rebuild China are over. The Communists has been growing fast since the dot-com-bubble in 2000, and Pence said most of their success is driven by the U.S investment in China.

At the same time; the U.S deficit with China has grown fast too. How fair is that? The Communist China are growing fast while the U.S trade deficit with China are growing faster. Huh…

Trump have many times said that the U.S have rebuilt China over the past 25 years. But those days are over. History will show that president Donald Trump have changed that narrative forever.

“No longer will America and its leaders hope that economic engagement alone will transform Communist China`s Authoritarian State into a open and free society, that respects private property, the rule of law and international rule of commerce,” Pence said in his speech.

Instead, he said, “president Trump now recognizes China as a strategic and economic rival.”

Over the past year, president Trump have taken bold action to correct the failed policys of the past. All the strengthens America. All this to set America`s relationship on a fair and constructive course. All this for the good of both nations. And the rest of the world.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Fast delivery is very important to some e-commerce Giants

Amazon is expected to report earnings on Thursday 24 after market close, and the consensus EPS forecast for the quarter is $4,46, and that is below the reported earnings for the same quarter last year that came in at $5,75.

I have been watching Amazon for two decades and it`s a big surprice to see that the company is still interesting. The company has been growing since the late 90`s and have now become a huge conglomerate with many businesses on top of its core business.

Amazon increased the shipping cost but what happens when its drones are taking over?

Cloud computing is one of the biggest winners at the conglomerate at the moment, and that`s also one of the biggest reasons why investors are holding their shares. It`s not their e-commerce business I`m looking at right now. It`s simply AWS (Amazon Web Services).

AWS made up about two-thirds of Amazon`s operating income last quarter. 13% of Amazon`s revenue comes from AWS. This is one of the most interesting part of the conglomerate with its great business model.

AWS grew 49% in the same quarter last year, and last quarter AWS reported a 37% growth and that is still a very great number. But it costs. Last quarter, Amazon reported that they had invested heavily in AWS.

Amazon added more personnel to the marketing team as well as the AWS`s technical team. Money makes money, and these investments should pay off in the long run.

Amazon have big competitors out there and one of the biggest are Rakuten in Japan and Alibaba in China. I receive many packages from them all and free and fast delivery is critical important to them all.

Jeff Bezos knows it and that`s why they now are in direct competition with FedEx and UPS to name a few. Amazon have recently started to ship third-party goods through its own logistics system, and that`s probably why FedEx made a decision to cut ties with them. This is probably why FedEx also reported negative results in its recent earnings.

According to Rakuten, Amazon has gone from shipping 15% of its own packages in 2017 to 50% today. Will they continue to ship its own packages through its own logistics system, and what is the percentage?

The shipping cost accelerated and can increase. On top of that Amazon still have its one-day shipping strategy which is a strategy not all of the e-commerce giants can follow up. I receive many packages from Ebay and sometimes it can take weeks and months to see the item arrive. But they have a different strategy.

Investors should look at it in the long run and keep in mind that the shipping cost can drop when the drones are coming to play the game. But it remain to see when that is happening.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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