DHS concluded that the greater threat is not ISIS but domestic right-wing extremism.

There is no doubt that the democracy are under attack. Not only in the United States of America, but also in Europe. The future doesn`t look bright and there is no doubt that the society need a strong Union in the West. Munich Security Conference can do something with that.

Munich Security Conference is a unique global platform for the international elite to discuss security policy. «At the Munich Security Conference, we should seek to agree that development without security is unsustainable», Bono said earlier today.

But how bright is the future? Not so good according to Pentagon. The U.S military plans to take over America in 2030. In their new training video they claim that their current and past strategies can no longer hold. We are facing environments that the masters of war never foresaw.

 

Pentagon video – Megacities

 

It sounds like a thriller movie, but it isn`t. The video is a Pentagon training video created by the Army for U.S Special Operations Command, the U.S military plans to use armed forces to solve future domestic political and social problems.

What they are talking about is Martial law, packaged as a well-meaning and overriding concern for the nation`s security. It is a training video to be prepared for the future, bedeviled by «criminal networks,» «substandard infrastructure,» «religious and ethnic tensions,» «impoverishment, slums,» «open landfills, overburdened sewers,» a «growing mass of unemployed,» and an urban landscape in which the prosperous economic elite must be protected from the impoverishment of the have-nots.

What they see in the future is brutal and anarchic supercities filled with gangs of youth-gone-wild, a restive underclass, criminal syndicates, and bands of malicious hackers.» So, who are the enemy?

They are people who don`t support the government, people who live in fast-growing urban communities, people who may be less-off economically than the government and corporate elite, people who engage in protests, people who are unemployed and people who engage in crime.

In the eyes fo the U.S military, non-combatant are American citizens a.k.a domestic extremists a.k.a enemy combatants who must be identified, targeted, detained, contained and, if necessary, eliminated.

Martial law and FEMA camps can be just around the corner.

Jade Helm is well know, and some claim they will take over Texas, but training exercise Jade Helm is going to assist Special Operations Soldiers and leadership in refining the skills needed against an ever-changing foreign threat.

The Army says the size and scope of Jade Helm 15, a Special Operations exercise that begins in July, set it apart from other training exercises. Jade Helm runs from July 15 to September 15 2017.

Jade Helm military drills in small towns so that special operations forces can get «realistic military training» in «hostile» territory, and Live active shooter drill training exercises, carried out at schools, in shopping malls, and on public transit, which can and do fool law enforcement officials, students and bystanders into thinking it`s a real crisis.

You are hereby warned.

Billions are spent to fight terrorism and this profit-driven campaign to turn American citizens into enemy combatants is a technology sector that has been colluding with the government to create a Big Brother that is all-knowing, all-seeing and inescapable.

It`s not just the drones fusion centers, license plate readers, stingray devices and the NSA that you have to worry about.

You`re also being tracked by the black boxes in your cars, your cell phone, smart devices in your home, grocery loyalty cards, social media accounts, credit cards, streaming services such as Netflix, Amazon, and e-book reader accounts.

All this is funded by you. All this is funded with taxpayer dollars and carried out in broad daylight without so much as a general outcry from the citizenry. What exactly is the government preparing for?

Author John Whitehead said: Mind you, by «government,» Im not referring to the highly partisan, two-party bureaucracy of the Republicans and Democrats. Im referring to «government» with a capital «G,» the entranced Deep State that is unaffected by elections, unaltered by populist movements, and has set itself beyond the reach of the law.

I`m referring to the corporatized, militarized, entranced bureaucracy that is fully operational and staffed by unelected officials who are, in essence, running the country and calling the shots in Washington DC, no matter who sits in the White House.

This is the hidden face of a government that has no respect for the freedom of its citizenry.

The video above doesnt say something about the constitution, about the rights of the citizenry, and about the dangers of using the military to address political and social problems. Were already witnessing a breakdown of society on virtually every front.

Author John Whitehead are making it clear in his book; Battlefield America: The War on the American People, we`re already enemies of the state.

Be warned he said: in the future envisioned by the military, we will not be viewed as Republicans or Democrats. Rather, «we the people» will be enemies of the state.

For years, Mr Whitehead said, the government has been warning against the dangers of domestic terrorism, erecting surveillance systems to monitor its own citizens, creating classification systems to label any viewpoints that challenge the status quo as extremist, and training law enforcement agencies to equate possessing anti-government views as a domestic terrorist.

What the government failed to explain was that the domestic terrorists would be of the government`s own making, whether intentional or not.

«We the people» have become enemy #1, Whitehead said.

Is this what George Orwell warned us about in his book: 1984? Is this what Edward Snowden has warned us about?

In 2008, an Army War College report revealed that «widespread civil violence inside the U.S would force the defense establishment to reorient priorities in extremis to defend basic domestic order and human security. The report talked about terrorist attack, unforeseen economic collapse, loss of functioning political and legal order, purposeful domestic resistance or insurgency, pervasive public health emergencies, and catastrophic natural and human disasters.»

In 2009, reports by the Department of Homeland Security (DHS) surfaced that labelled right-wing and left-wing activists and military veterans as extremists (a.k.a terrorists) and called on the government to subject such targeted individuals to full-fledged pre-crime surveillance.

Ten years later, after spending billions to fight terrorism, the DHS concluded that the greater threat is not ISIS but domestic right-wing extremism.

 

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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Facebook are dealing with the music industry

Facebook has a lot of DAU`s and more and more people spend time watching videos. Facebook is a young company and so far they already have billions of video views. But Mark Zuckerberg want to prosper from this industry.

There is no doubt that YouTube is the most popular video-sharing company in the world. Many artist has started their carriere at YouTube and one of them is Justin Bieber. In 2016, YouTube gave the music industry $1 billion in ad revenue, and Facebook wants to join.

 

ftv

 

Streaming was a game changer on how media is bought. It changed how it`s consumed. It also changed who profits from it, and of course how much they all made in this industry. For the first time in 20 years, the music industry saw significant revenue growth in 2015.

The revenue from streaming is $2,9 billion world-wide, and revenue from video on demand rose almost 9% in 2015, and music clips can move about $50 – $70 billion from TV industry.

Facebook has nearly 2 billion users and still a growing advertising business, and a deal with the music industry can be a win-win agreement, which means billions in revenue from new sales for the music industry.

The interest in videos is growing and Facebook want to prosper from that, and that’s why they are so interested in music rights. Facebook moved billions in ad revenue from print and now many online firms have targeted TV.

Facebook are not alone on the market and they need to share some of the market with Twitter and Snapchat, but the biggest of them all is YouTube which is Faecbooks main rival. Googles YouTube channel said music is one of the most popular types of videos on their on-demand service.

TV networks and News organizations are experimenting with Facebook, just like they did with YouTube and this will continue. This is interesting because Facebook is big.

Thanks to streaming, the music industry is growing again and that is because of the paid streaming services from Apple and Spotify.

Facebook will probaby sign a deal with the music industry before the summer this year.

 

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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Will Snapchat be the next Facebook?

Snap is going public. No, I`m not talking about the pop stars with the super hit “I got the power”. This is something different. A different power. But how powerful are Snap Inc actually? Do you really think that Snapchat will be the next Facebook?

Let`s take a closer look at some real facts. I have made a picture of some of the most loved firms in the social media universe, and this time I will compare Snap with Facebook and Twitter. As you can see from the chart below, Snap look more like Twitter than Facebook. Take a look below.

 

 

compared

 

 

As you can see from the chart above, Snaps cost follow Snaps revenue. Its positive to see that their revenue grew from $59 million to $405 million. Thats a whopping 590% over the same time. But the drawback is their high cost structure. Their net operating profit after-tax fell from -$344 million in 2015 to -$498 million in 2016.

You do already here understand that Snap is not the same as Facebooks business model. Revenue goes up while their profit goes down. Snaps valuation is about $20-25 billion, with a revenue of $405 million, and an operating loss of -$520 million.

Facebooks valuation when they went public was much higher with $3,7 billion in revenue, and an operation income of $1,75 billion. Facebooks valuation at that time was $90-105 billion, but as you may know, the stock traded down after the IPO.

You also may know the story of Twitter. Right up, and right down again. Will Snap follow Twitter? Take a look at the numbers. They are very similar. Revenue was $448 million, with an operating loss of -$93 million.

Twitters valuation at that time was $18-25 billion, but people said it was too much. Many investors said the right valuation was half of that; only $10 billion. Snaps trailing sales valuation was 62x, which is about the same as Twitter`s 56x.

Twitter had 100 million DAUs when they went public, while Snap has about 158 million. What is that compared to Facebooks 483? It will be hard to be a new Facebook.

Snap are going public on Thursday.

 

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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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The parent of Snapchat are going public

Snapchat is one of the biggest favorite apps in the social media universe at the moment. Its founders Evan Spiegel and Bobby Murphy filed confidentially to go public with SEC late last year, and now they are ready to be traded on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker SNAP.

Snap`s revenue rose to $404,5 million, which is eight times higher than their revenue in 2015. In Q4 Snap had 158 million daily active users (up 48%), and many of my friends and family members are one of them. 2,5 billion Snaps are created every day.

 

snap

 

Snap Inc is a camera company, and in the SEC filings they say: “We blive that reinventing the camera represents our greatest opportunity to improve the way people live and communicate.

Our products empower people to express themselves, live in the moment, learn about the world, and have fun together».

Worldwide advertising spend is expected to grow from $652 billion in 2016 to $767 billion in 2020. The fastest growing segment is mobile advertising, which is expected to grow nearly 3x from $66 billion in 2016 to $196 billion in 2020.

Snap belive that one of the major factors driving this growth is the shift of people`s attention from their televisions to their mobile phones. According to Nielsen, people between the ages of 18 and 24 spent 35% less time watching traditional television in an average month during the second quarter of 2016 compared to the second quarter of 2010.

A huge difference between Facebook at Twitter is that Snap Inc doesnt have their own server farm, which makes it more expensive which means Snaps earnings can look much lower that those who have their own server farm.

Snap Inc lost $514 million in 2016, which is up from about $373 million. Some of that money goes to Google because Snap Inc rents storage and server space from them. New legislation that would change U.S, or foreign taxation of international business activities or other tax-reform policies could also seriously harm their business.

Benchmark Capital owns about 10% og the company. Lightspeed Venture Partners owns 8,3%, and Institutional Venture Partners owns 4%.

Snap are looking to raise up to $3 billion, and Snaps offering is being led by Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs. Morgan Stanley won the desired «lead left» position on the prospectus. The bank also led Facebooks initial public offering.

 

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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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The balance sheet assets of the six major central banks is up about 240%

All the worlds central banks are printing money like never before, and this is for the first time in history. The balance sheet assets of the six major central banks have just hit a new all-time record high of $17,3 trillion. Thats up from $4,987 trillion in May 2006.

People`s Bank of China (PBOC) has the largest balance sheet with total assets of $5,0 trillion, followed by the Federal Reserve with $4,4 trillion.

 

 

balancesheet

 

The SNB is at the bottom of the chart above, but it has the largest balance sheet as a percentage of GDP, with it currently up to 88,4% of GDP vs. 20% of GDP in May 2006.

The BoJ`s balance sheet is equal to 70% of GDP vs. 25% of GDP in May 2006.

The PBOC`s balance sheet is equal to 53% of GDP vs. 56% of GDP in May 2006

The Fed`s balance sheet is equal to 25% of GDP vs 6% of GDP in May 2006

The ECB`s balance sheet is equal to 25% of GDP vs. 13% of GDP in May 2006

The BoE`s balance sheet is equal to 22% of GDP vs. 6% of GDP in May 2006

The total assets of the world`s six major central banks is equal to 36% of their combined GDP, a new all-time record high vs. Only 14% of their combined GDP in May 2006, and well above the nine median of 26%!

Trumps goal is massive growth, and IMF in January raised its economic growth forecasts to 2,3% in 2017 and 2,5% in 2018, thanks to Donald Trumps plans to cut taxes and boost infrastructure spending. The World Bank will follow IMF with similar forecasts.

Trump`s bold plan is to create 25 million new American jobs in the next decade, which means it will only take 2% annual growth of the workforce to hit that target. Data shows us that 25 million jobs have never been created in a 10 year timeframe.

A 2% growth rate over 10 year will generate 25 million jobs, which means if the economic growth rate hits 2,5% it would take about 8 years. If the growth rate goes up to 3% per year it will take about 6 years. If the rate goes higher, Trump can reach his goal during his first period as a President.

I do not agree with Trump`s immigrant policy, but there is a drawback here; If Trump want to reach his goal, he need immigrants, because the number of people who are working dropped 3,7% over the past 10 years, and some of the reasons for that is the baby boomers demographic shift.

Janet Yellen also said she consider to hike the rates because the economy is improving. The Fed want to proceed with «normalizing» monetary policy, which means they want to have room to ease in case of a future shock.

President Donald Trump can help them to solve their fiscal policy by cutting tax rates and spend more money on infrastructure. At the same time, he need to keep the lid on federal spending. Will Donald Trump succeed? Betting against him have so far been a bad decision.

 

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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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