Euro Area`s main import partners are the United Kingdom with 10% and China with 12% of total imports

A no-deal Brexit is not only bad for the United Kingdom but also for the Euro Area. They will both loose on it and that`s why a win-win should be a goal for them both. Populist-Italy is already into a recession, and other Euro Area-countries can follow.

Main imports in Euro Area are energy, manufactured goods and machinery. Main import partners are China with 12 percent of total imports and United Kingdom with 10 percent. Imports rose 1,9 percent in December 2018, while exports fell 2,5 percent in the same period.

According to Comtrade`s database, United Kingdom take most of their imports from Germany. 14 percent of their import comes from Germany and a no-deal Brexit means less German cars sold in the U.K. Total value of German imports came in at $89.23B in 2017.

9,5 percent of the import comes from China and 9,4 percent comes from the United States. Both of them outside of the Euro Area. The value of the import from China was 59,78B, and 59,75B from the U.S in 2017.

When it comes to export, the U.K`s biggest trading country is the United States which account for 14 percent. Second is Germany with 11 percent with France on third with 7,6 percent. Total value of exports to the U.S is $59,09B. Germany; $46,64B.

As you can see, the U.K are in balance with the U.S but when it comes to Germany they buy twice as much as the sell to the Germans. In other words they have a trade deficit with Germany. A no-deal Brexit can end up with less BMW and WV cars and more Tesla`s in the U.K.

German factories will lose money and market shares while other brands and countries will prosper. We will face a radical shift in the trade balance.

56 percent of the U.K exports goes to Europe while 40 percent goes to Asia and America. The economy is slowing down and the British economy grew by 0,2 percent on quarter in the three months to December last year. In comparison; the U.S economy advanced an annualized 3,4 percent.

The U.K trade deficit decreased to GBP 0,32 billion in December of 2018. Imports declined 1,6 percent to GBP 55,85 billion and exports fell at a slower 1 percent to GBP 52,62 billion. Balance of trade reached an all time low of -5749 GBP million in October of 2013.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

 

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No-deal Brexit means less Italien Prosecco for the Britons

No deal is not only bad for the United Kingdom but also for the European Union as well. No deal will make them both suffer economically. Populist-Italy is already into a recession and a no deal will not make it any better.

A no deal means less Italian Prosecco for the U.K. Britons bought a record 164 million bottles of champagne and sparkling wine last year, but the effects of Brexit has hit Prosecco long time ago. For the first time in over a decade, exports of Prosecco to the U.K are slowing.

Prosecco is made from Glera grapes grown in the area surrounding the village of Prosecco near Trieste in north-east Italy. In 2015, Prosecco overtook champagne as Britain`s favorite sparkling wine, but it seems like the popularity has peaked for a while.

According to UHY Hacker Young, the Prosecco sales increased by only 5% compared with the previous year which is the smallest annual sales growth since 2011. A 5% decrease in sales isn`t bad, but it is bad compared to several yars of double-digit growth, and this can only be the beginning if we se a no deal between the U.K and the E.U.

Britons consumed 112,7 million bottles of DOC Prosecco in 2016 and exports to the U.K, U.S and Germany accounted for 75% of the sales.

If Boris Johnson want a bottle of Prosecco on Valentines day, he have a great chance to buy it at a normal price, but it can be one of the last chances because a no-deal Brexit will stifle trade and limit choice.

A deal win-win deal will help them both. Italy will sell more bottles of Prosecco and Britons will continue to enjoy a wide range of quality sparkling wines on Christmas eve later on this year. A deal without tariffs.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Trump`s agenda is not a Republican agenda or a Democrat agenda, but It is the agenda of the American people

President Donald Trump delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday and here is some of the highlights from the speech;

We meet tonight at a moment of unlimited potential. As we begin a new Congress, I stand here ready to work with you to achieve historic breakthroughs for all Americans.

Millions of our fellow citizens are watching us now, gathered in this great chamber, hoping that we will govern not as two parties but as one Nation.

The agenda I will lay out this evening is not a Republican agenda or a Democrat agenda. It is the agenda of the American people.

Many of us campaigned on the same core promises: to defend American jobs and demand fair trade for American workers; to rebuild and revitalize our Nation’s infrastructure; to reduce the price of healthcare and prescription drugs; to create an immigration system that is safe, lawful, modern and secure; and to pursue a foreign policy that puts America’s interests first.

There is a new opportunity in American politics, if only we have the courage to seize it. Victory is not winning for our party. Victory is winning for our country.

This year, America will recognize two important anniversaries that show us the majesty of America’s mission, and the power of American pride.

In June, we mark 75 years since the start of what General Dwight D. Eisenhower called the Great Crusade — the Allied liberation of Europe in World War II. On D-Day, June 6, 1944, 15,000 young American men jumped from the sky, and 60,000 more stormed in from the sea, to save our civilization from tyranny.

In the 20th century, America saved freedom, transformed science, and redefined the middle class standard of living for the entire world to see. Now, we must step boldly and bravely into the next chapter of this great American adventure, and we must create a new standard of living for the 21st century. An amazing quality of life for all of our citizens is within our reach.

We can make our communities safer, our families stronger, our culture richer, our faith deeper, and our middle class bigger and more prosperous than ever before.

But we must reject the politics of revenge, resistance, and retribution — and embrace the boundless potential of cooperation, compromise, and the common good.

Together, we can break decades of political stalemate. We can bridge old divisions, heal old wounds, build new coalitions, forge new solutions, and unlock the extraordinary promise of America’s future. The decision is ours to make.

We must choose between greatness or gridlock, results or resistance, vision or vengeance, incredible progress or pointless destruction.

Tonight, I ask you to choose greatness.

In just over 2 years since the election, we have launched an unprecedented economic boom — a boom that has rarely been seen before. We have created 5.3 million new jobs and importantly added 600,000 new manufacturing jobs — something which almost everyone said was impossible to do, but the fact is, we are just getting started.

Wages are rising at the fastest pace in decades, and growing for blue collar workers, who I promised to fight for, faster than anyone else. Nearly 5 million Americans have been lifted off food stamps. The United States economy is growing almost twice as fast today as when I took office, and we are considered far and away the hottest economy anywhere in the world. Unemployment has reached the lowest rate in half a century. African-American, Hispanic-American and Asian-American unemployment have all reached their lowest levels ever recorded. Unemployment for Americans with disabilities has also reached an all-time low. More people are working now than at any time in our history — 157 million people at work.

We passed a massive tax cut for working families and doubled the child tax credit.

We virtually ended the estate, or death, tax on small businesses, ranches, and family farms.

We eliminated the very unpopular Obamacare individual mandate penalty — and to give critically ill patients access to life-saving cures, we passed right to try.

My Administration has cut more regulations in a short time than any other administration during its entire tenure. Companies are coming back to our country in large numbers thanks to historic reductions in taxes and regulations.

We have unleashed a revolution in American energy — the United States is now the number one producer of oil and natural gas in the world. And now, for the first time in 65 years, we are a net exporter of energy.

Members of Congress: the State of our Union is strong. Our country is vibrant and our economy is thriving like never before.

On Friday, it was announced that we added another 304,000 jobs last month alone — almost double what was expected. An economic miracle is taking place in the United States — and the only thing that can stop it are foolish wars, politics, or ridiculous partisan investigations.

If there is going to be peace and legislation, there cannot be war and investigation. It just doesn’t work that way!

We must be united at home to defeat our adversaries abroad.

As we have seen, when we are united, we can make astonishing strides for our country. Now, Republicans and Democrats must join forces again to confront an urgent national crisis.

The Congress has 10 days left to pass a bill that will fund our Government, protect our homeland, and secure our southern border.

Now is the time for the Congress to show the world that America is committed to ending illegal immigration and putting the ruthless coyotes, cartels, drug dealers, and human traffickers out of business.

As we speak, large, organized caravans are on the march to the United States. We have just heard that Mexican cities, in order to remove the illegal immigrants from their communities, are getting trucks and buses to bring them up to our country in areas where there is little border protection. I have ordered another 3,750 troops to our southern border to prepare for the tremendous onslaught.

This is a moral issue. The lawless state of our southern border is a threat to the safety, security, and financial well being of all Americans. We have a moral duty to create an immigration system that protects the lives and jobs of our citizens. This includes our obligation to the millions of immigrants living here today, who followed the rules and respected our laws. Legal immigrants enrich our Nation and strengthen our society in countless ways. I want people to come into our country, but they have to come in legally.

Tonight, I am asking you to defend our very dangerous southern border out of love and devotion to our fellow citizens and to our country.

No issue better illustrates the divide between America’s working class and America’s political class than illegal immigration. Wealthy politicians and donors push for open borders while living their lives behind walls and gates and guards.

The savage gang, MS-13, now operates in 20 different American States, and they almost all come through our southern border. Just yesterday, an MS-13 gang member was taken into custody for a fatal shooting on a subway platform in New York City. We are removing these gang members by the thousands, but until we secure our border they’re going to keep streaming back in.

Year after year, countless Americans are murdered by criminal illegal aliens.

I’ve gotten to know many wonderful Angel Moms, Dads, and families — no one should ever have to suffer the horrible heartache they have endured.

In the last 2 years, our brave ICE officers made 266,000 arrests of criminal aliens, including those charged or convicted of nearly 100,000 assaults, 30,000 sex crimes, and 4,000 killings.

Special Agent Hernandez, please stand: We will always support the brave men and women of Law Enforcement — and I pledge to you tonight that we will never abolish our heroes from ICE.

In the past, most of the people in this room voted for a wall — but the proper wall never got built. I’ll get it built.

This is a smart, strategic, see-through steel barrier — not just a simple concrete wall. It will be deployed in the areas identified by border agents as having the greatest need, and as these agents will tell you, where walls go up, illegal crossings go way down.

San Diego used to have the most illegal border crossings in the country. In response, and at the request of San Diego residents and political leaders, a strong security wall was put in place. This powerful barrier almost completely ended illegal crossings.

The border city of El Paso, Texas, used to have extremely high rates of violent crime — one of the highest in the country, and considered one of our Nation’s most dangerous cities. Now, with a powerful barrier in place, El Paso is one of our safest cities.

Simply put, walls work and walls save lives. So let’s work together, compromise, and reach a deal that will truly make America safe.

No one has benefitted more from our thriving economy than women, who have filled 58 percent of the new jobs created in the last year. All Americans can be proud that we have more women in the workforce than ever before — and exactly one century after the Congress passed the Constitutional amendment giving women the right to vote, we also have more women serving in the Congress than ever before.

As part of our commitment to improving opportunity for women everywhere, this Thursday we are launching the first ever Government-wide initiative focused on economic empowerment for women in developing countries.

To build on our incredible economic success, one priority is paramount — reversing decades of calamitous trade policies.

We are now making it clear to China that after years of targeting our industries, and stealing our intellectual property, the theft of American jobs and wealth has come to an end.

Therefore, we recently imposed tariffs on $250 billion of Chinese goods — and now our Treasury is receiving billions of dollars a month from a country that never gave us a dime. But I don’t blame China for taking advantage of us — I blame our leaders and representatives for allowing this travesty to happen. I have great respect for President Xi, and we are now working on a new trade deal with China. But it must include real, structural change to end unfair trade practices, reduce our chronic trade deficit, and protect American jobs.

Another historic trade blunder was the catastrophe known as NAFTA.

I have met the men and women of Michigan, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Indiana, New Hampshire, and many other States whose dreams were shattered by NAFTA. For years, politicians promised them they would negotiate for a better deal. But no one ever tried — until now.

Our new U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement — or USMCA — will replace NAFTA and deliver for American workers: bringing back our manufacturing jobs, expanding American agriculture, protecting intellectual property, and ensuring that more cars are proudly stamped with four beautiful words: made in the USA.

Tonight, I am also asking you to pass the United States Reciprocal Trade Act, so that if another country places an unfair tariff on an American product, we can charge them the exact same tariff on the same product that they sell to us.

Both parties should be able to unite for a great rebuilding of America’s crumbling infrastructure.

I know that the Congress is eager to pass an infrastructure bill — and I am eager to work with you on legislation to deliver new and important infrastructure investment, including investments in the cutting edge industries of the future. This is not an option. This is a necessity.

The next major priority for me, and for all of us, should be to lower the cost of healthcare and prescription drugs — and to protect patients with pre-existing conditions.

Already, as a result of my Administration’s efforts, in 2018 drug prices experienced their single largest decline in 46 years.

But we must do more. It is unacceptable that Americans pay vastly more than people in other countries for the exact same drugs, often made in the exact same place. This is wrong, unfair, and together we can stop it.

I am asking the Congress to pass legislation that finally takes on the problem of global freeloading and delivers fairness and price transparency for American patients. We should also require drug companies, insurance companies, and hospitals to disclose real prices to foster competition and bring costs down.

No force in history has done more to advance the human condition than American freedom. In recent years we have made remarkable progress in the fight against HIV and AIDS. Scientific breakthroughs have brought a once-distant dream within reach. My budget will ask Democrats and Republicans to make the needed commitment to eliminate the HIV epidemic in the United States within 10 years. Together, we will defeat AIDS in America.

Tonight, I am also asking you to join me in another fight that all Americans can get behind: the fight against childhood cancer.

To help support working parents, the time has come to pass school choice for America’s children. I am also proud to be the first President to include in my budget a plan for nationwide paid family leave — so that every new parent has the chance to bond with their newborn child.

To defend the dignity of every person, I am asking the Congress to pass legislation to prohibit the late-term abortion of children who can feel pain in the mother’s womb.

Let us work together to build a culture that cherishes innocent life. And let us reaffirm a fundamental truth: all children — born and unborn — are made in the holy image of God.

The final part of my agenda is to protect America’s National Security.

Over the last 2 years, we have begun to fully rebuild the United States Military — with $700 billion last year and $716 billion this year. We are also getting other nations to pay their fair share. For years, the United States was being treated very unfairly by NATO — but now we have secured a $100 billion increase in defense spending from NATO allies.

As part of our military build-up, the United States is developing a state-of-the-art Missile Defense System.

For example, decades ago the United States entered into a treaty with Russia in which we agreed to limit and reduce our missile capabilities. While we followed the agreement to the letter, Russia repeatedly violated its terms. That is why I announced that the United States is officially withdrawing from the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty, or INF Treaty.

Perhaps we can negotiate a different agreement, adding China and others, or perhaps we can’t — in which case, we will outspend and out-innovate all others by far.

And Chairman Kim and I will meet again on February 27 and 28 in Vietnam.

Two weeks ago, the United States officially recognized the legitimate government of Venezuela, and its new interim President, Juan Guaido.

We stand with the Venezuelan people in their noble quest for freedom — and we condemn the brutality of the Maduro regime, whose socialist policies have turned that nation from being the wealthiest in South America into a state of abject poverty and despair.

Here, in the United States, we are alarmed by new calls to adopt socialism in our country. America was founded on liberty and independence — not government coercion, domination, and control. We are born free, and we will stay free. Tonight, we renew our resolve that America will never be a socialist country.

One of the most complex set of challenges we face is in the Middle East.

Our approach is based on principled realism — not discredited theories that have failed for decades to yield progress. For this reason, my Administration recognized the true capital of Israel — and proudly opened the American Embassy in Jerusalem.

As a candidate for President, I pledged a new approach. Great nations do not fight endless wars.

My Administration has acted decisively to confront the world’s leading state sponsor of terror: the radical regime in Iran.

To ensure this corrupt dictatorship never acquires nuclear weapons, I withdrew the United States from the disastrous Iran nuclear deal. And last fall, we put in place the toughest sanctions ever imposed on a country.

We will not avert our eyes from a regime that chants death to America and threatens genocide against the Jewish people. We must never ignore the vile poison of anti-Semitism, or those who spread its venomous creed. With one voice, we must confront this hatred anywhere and everywhere it occurs.

We must keep America first in our hearts. We must keep freedom alive in our souls. And we must always keep faith in America’s destiny — that one Nation, under God, must be the hope and the promise and the light and the glory among all the nations of the world!

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

 

 

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Former FBI Director Rober Mueller is one of the “Creeps on a mission” to destroy president Trump

Former FBI Director Robert Mueller is now investigating President Donald Trump. Now, he is unelected and the most powerful man in the United States of America. He can do what he want, and last week, he and 29 men from the SWAT-team attacked Roger Stone. Why? Because he lied.

But who is the real BIG liar here? You will be shocked if you read Author Sidney Powell`s book; «Licensed to lie,» and if half of the book is true, which it is, the U.S has a real big problem, and the problem is their own people like Robert Mueller.

Who did Mueller choose as his «first lieutenant?» None other than Andrew Weissmann. The lead villain in this true thriller of a book that names those who corrupted justice and obtained convictions by any means necessary.

Do you really think you know how the U.S Department of Justice works? Think again!

MainStream Media have told us all that President Donald Trump is a liar. They have also told us that he is narcissistic. But who is the liar actually? And who is narcissistic? Do you still think it is Trump? Think again.

Licensed to lie reveals the strong-arm, illegal, and unethical tactics used by headline-grabbing federal prosecutors in their narcissistic pursuit of power to the highest halls of the U.S government.

So, what happens when rogue prosecutors hide evidence, make up crimes and judges are biased?

Powell write that “overzealous, ambitious, narcissistic, and dishonest prosecutors destroyed innocent people while they deliberately withheld evidence they knew contradicted their cases.” It is a small powerful group that broke the law to win cases.

Powell is labeled as one of the best lawyers in the U.S and she played a minor role on the Arthur Andersen appellate team and the lead role in the post-trial defense of Enron Barge defendant, and former Merrill Lynch executive, Jim Brown.

The story we know from MSM about Enron and Arthur Andersen isn`t true, and the truth is far more shocking than we like to know. But nobody know this case better than Sidney Powell and she tells the whole story in her book “Licensed to lie.”

She covers most or all of the Enron Task Force sins that have long been the subject of controversy in the white-collar defense bar, including the practices of; providing mere summaries, rather than full interview reports, of exculpatory materials to the defense; withholding certain exculpatory information altogether;

withholding agent notes of witness interviews; creating composite 302s that fail to reveal changing witness statements over time; designating potential defense witnesses as targets, in effect threatening them with prosecution if they testify; convincing compliant trial judges to approve clearly faulty jury instructions.

This is the inside story of the most high-profile prosecutions of the last decade. A gruesome suicide, a likely murder, a tragic plane crash, wrongful imprisonment, and gripping courtroom scenes draw readers into this compelling story of the corrupted prosecutions of Arthur Andersen, Merrill Lynch executives, and Senator Ted Stevens.

This book provides a frightening perspective on justice and who should be accountable when evidence is withheld and prosecutors break the law?

You can buy a “Creeps on a mission” T-shirt to support Rule of Law & President Trump. It is artwork of Mueller, Comey, McCabe, Strzok, Page, Weissmann and Ohr.

Why not add the MSM? They still don`t understand that the Mueller investigation of the President is its own crime. They are all Creeps on a mission to destroy president Trump.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Roger Stone was taken to jail by Robert Mueller`s Gestapo witch-hunt team

Roger Stone was arrested last week, but it is the way he was arrested that got people angry. The SWAT-team was armed and 29 armed police men were surrounding Stone`s house which is worse than the Osama Bin Laden case.

There is something wrong if you don`t see that this is wrong. The most powerful man in America, Robert Mueller, who is an unelected prosecutor pick out weak people and link them to Trump and his Russian collusion case.

Robert Mueller wants to crush people and make a case which is designed to send a political message.

This is not how Democracies are supposed to work.

What we see is a terrible power abuse and Robert Mueller is a hero to the press corps. That is what we call collusion, and this is also why people now are watching the Deep State more than ever. Unfortunately, this is not the first time we have seen similar case like that.

About 15 years ago, a similar case happened in Norway. The police force and the Main Stream Media killed Tore Toenne who was one of the greatest politicians in Norway. They surrounded his house, just like Roger Stone, and Tore Toenne committed suicide.

All this happened because of some pocket-money. The case was on the front page of the newspapers every day in weeks and all this because he received money from the government while he was working and earning money from a private company.

They treated Tore Toenne like he was Osama Bin Laden. Maybe ten times worse. Police men behind every tree in his garden. So was the journalists. They were everywhere and they acted like a paparazzi team.

You don`t have to be a psychiatrist to understand that this is wrong. Armed police force with the press corps behind their back attacking weak unarmed peaceful people has nothing to do in a democracy. This is disgraceful. A shame.

You dont have to be a psychiatrist to understand that they ruins people like this, and Im not talking about money, but integrity which is a fundamental right. To break that law is a lack of respect.

They terrorise people and destroy their self-esteem, self-image, self-acceptance, ego and existence. Their goal is to crush people and we can ask our self; what is a human being worth? What is the value of a human being?

The ancient Greeks seemed to know more about values that we do today. Philosophers and theologists used to be concerned with values, but they lost their way. Values today are more in the domain of judiciary, improvisers, and mentors of various kinds.

Some people care more about their goals than values. They very often does not actually see the other person.

Morality and ethics is about the accumulation of wisdom about how to live well and how to treat others as part of living well. The real big problem today is that some powerful people know less about their values than they do about their feelings and/or goals.

Values ground all choices and those who think of themselves as goal-directed are not getting at the truth about themself because values isnt goals or feelings or fear. People who focus on action-guiding ideas that arent values, have some of the worst values.

Values are the guiding principles of our lives. They are essential for positive human behaviour and actions in our daily lives. Basic human values refer to those values which are at the core of being human.

The values which are considered basic inherent values in humans include truth, honesty, loyalty, love and peace, because they bring out the fundamental goodness of human beings and society at large.

For the social contract that binds us, society means the right to force hospitalization, prison, even death penalty for those with markedly reduced levels of rational autonomy, which is the essence of health in a world where evolution and consensus dictate that life is better than death, health is better than madness, health is better than disease, love is better than hatred and good is better than evil.

Some people are good and some people are bad. Some have good behaviour and some have bad, but values in any form distinguish humans from the rest of the nature.

On MSNBC, they said that Roger Stone is like Trump; a political con man. On CNN, they said if you look at the dictionary and search for scumbag, you will see a picture of Roger Stone. Navarro said Stone is a horrible human being, a thug and a bully.

Barefoot Roger Stone was taken to jail. A great goal for Mueller and a great “story of value” for “the Destroy Trump Media.”

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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