Tag Archives: Nasdaq

If this a an average bear market we will se it bounce very soon

It has been a brutal stock sell off in December and so far in 2019, and MSM is telling you that we are officially in a bear market. It seems like the market is pricing in a recession, but it can be too early to say so.

The 10-year Treasury remain below 3 percent and the FED shouldn`t raise rates for the 10th time in 2019. If they push the hold button, I think the market will be happy and bullish again. Just look at the healthy job market and the strength of the U.S economy.

December 2018 was the worst December for the Dow since 1931, but if we avoid a recession I think investors are lucky to have a lot of cheap stocks. It is a China-U.S trade war, and the global economy is in a growth slowdown, but that doesn`t automatically mean recession.

We can see a support for the S&P 500 very soon, and this is also a point were investors pay for their insurance. And that is also a point were the bear market ends. Technical analysis tells us that if this is the right thing right now, a drop to around 2,300 points would likely spark a bounce from here.

Statistically, the average bear market stops right after, or right before it officially began. It remain to see that this is happening again. A closer look at the 48-month SMA, the market failed to bounce in August 2008 which led to the biggest drop since the Great Depression. The same happened in 2001.

Is this drop a new 2001 or 2008? If not, we can see a support just like it did in 1987, 1990 and 2016. The S&P 500 has lost 20,2 percent, and the Dow is down 19,4 percent, while Nasdaq is down 23,9 percent. The Russell 2000 is down 27,3 percent, so the coming days will be interesting. Anyway; this a great moment for day traders.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

 

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The worst Christmas Eve ever followed by the biggest one-day point gain on record

Christmas eve 2018 was the worst ever, and I`m talking about the stock market. Stocks was hit hard and saw the worst Christmas Eve declines ever and MSM blamed on Trump and his attack on the FED.

The bull was fighting back on the boxing day and Nasdaq had its best day since 20019. Not only that; The Dow saw its biggest one-day point gain on record. It was a massive jump for many of the tech stocks which means great days for day traders.

Nasdaq jumped nearly 6 percent were Amazon skyrocketed about 10 percent. Facebook and Netflix with a whopping 8 percent, and Apple up more than 7 percent. Alphabet class A was also up nearly 7 percent. What a day. What a Santa Rally.

Microsoft is down 15 percent from the top but is still 15 percent up YTD. Tuesday, President Trump said that this can be a good time to buy stocks. A closer look at Apple tells us that the tech Giant is near 200 MA and can be a great buying point. So can be said about Alphabet. Two stocks that day traders jumped into earlier today.

The volatility is up over 200 percent this year and it seems like this will continue. Some people are bullish while some people are bearish, and that`s how it is right now. A real fight between the bear and the bull. Awesome.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

 

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This is the best start for the S&P 500 in nearly 20 years

What a great start of the year 2018. The best weekly gain in more than a year and the bull market continue to surprise many investors. Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped over 25,000 and nearly all of the 100 companies in the Nasdaq rose.

It is also the best start for the S&P 500 since 1999. Analysts forecasts looks pretty good and economic fundamentals are strong enough to lift the stocks higher. President Trump`s tax cut will also be good for the stock market.

It is difficult to find any reasons for a backdrop in the market. A rate hike or two wont stop investors to continue the party. What they really like is Mr Trump`s lower corporate taxes and that will not only help the U.S but also the global economic growth.

U.S stocks are looking good but European stock look even better. A great rally in European stocks so far is based on growth data for the Euro Zone. Services PMI data showed the Euro area was near its best growth in 7 years.

It has been a boost for STOXX 600 and we can thank European banks like Bank Santander and BNP Paribas for that. The outlook for European equities looks good and it is estimated a close to 10% earnings growth in 2018.

 

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Cboe is the first to trade with bitcoin futures

Bitcoin has so far been a great deal for many investors in 2017. The price have skyrocketed, and something is about to change right now. Cboe Global Markets, which is the Chicago-based exchange group, launched bitcoin futures on Sunday. That can be a game changer.

Cboe President Chris Concannon is also planning to launch other cryptocurrency`s, and other firms like CME Group has hinted they will launch bitcoin futures very soon, but most of them have a “wait and see” approach.

 

 

As you can see from the chart above, the price is down. The new product will give investors the opportunity to pay a high price for its insurance, and its traders must put a lot of money on the table for their bets.

Bitcoin can be very volatile, and Cboe knows that. Traders are required to have 44% of the bitcoin settlement price set aside for their bet. This is a down-payment for their risk, and margins for the futures are under 10%. VIX margins can get up to 50% because of their risk.

Many are negative to bitcoin, and TD Ameritrade is taking a «wait and see» approach and wont provide the product for clients. Nor will Fidelity, Etrade and Charles Schwab. Two of the largest brokers; JPMorgan and Citigroup didnt start to participate in the market Sunday. Nor did Societe Generale, Interactive Brokers and Wedbush, according to Financial Times.

But anyway, Wall Street are watching the market, and so far there are a number of concerns over Gemini and that is low volumes on the exchange and system outages. Gemini is the cryptocurrency exchange founded by the Winklevoss twins. Cboe is basing its bitoin contracts on pricing on Gemini.

Gemini is still very small and the exchange sees only 1,4% of trading in the entire bitcoin market, and its activity can`t paint an accurate picture of the broader crypto-market. With its low volume and the lack of liquidity, it is also very easy to manipulate.

Cryptocurrency volumes topped as much as $26 billion in a single trading day, but trading firms are under pressure to enhance their technology. The ticker code for bitcoins is XBT and the trading began yesterday, on Sunday, December 10, 2017.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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The total value of publicly-traded securities that have switched from NYSE to Nasdaq is more than $1 trillion

Nasdaq is an American stock exchange and it is the second-largest exchange in the world by market capitalization, behind the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE). Nasdaq was founded in 1971 and when the Nasdaq Stock Market began trading, it was the world`s first electronic stock market.

NYSE, also nicknamed «The Big Board», is the world`s largest stock exchange by market capitalization of its listed companies at US $21,3 trillion as of June 2017. NYSE was founded 225 years ago, but they are losing to Nasdaq.

 

 

Don`t forget that both Nasdaq and NYSE are helping great companies do great things. They help companies raise capital that raises the world.

Many companies are switching from NYSE to Nasdaq, and more than 300 firms have jumped from NYSE to Nasdaq since 2005, which means that the total value of publicly-traded securities that have switched is more than $1 trillion.

Nasdaq is the home to the largest tech and biotech companies from Apple to Gilead Sciences. NYSE is the home for companies like Ford and Exxon but they also have some tech companies like Snap.

A company is listed on the stock exchange because of their need for money and hopefully growth, but a company will not be more valuable on Nasdaq vice vers NYSE for instance. So, why are they changing the stock exchange?

It can be many reasons. Kraft Foods had a cost-cutting reason. The tech-oriented roster at Nasdaq was the main draw for T-Mobile.

The increase in Nasdaq listings transfers including T-Mobile, CSX, Kraft Heinz, Marriott and many others is a signal of the growing momentum of publicly-traded sector leaders to the market.

Companies are also switching from Nasdaq to NYSE. More than $1 trillion in market cap is transferred from Nasdaq to NYSE since year 2000.

The tech-company Blackberry Ltd will transfer from Nasdaq to NYSE on October 16 this year. Marriott International Inc is the largest publicly traded hotel chain in the U.S, and they are moving to Nasdaq Stock market from the NYSE.

 

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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