Category Archives: Emerging markets

China`s growth is the weakest since 1992 and the pace of global economic activity remains weak as well

The worlds fastest-growing region is slowing and show sign of a darkening global outlook. Just look at Chinas Q3 growth. It`s the weakest growth in 28 years. The Chinese economy advanced 6% YoY in Q3 2019 and that is the weakest since 1992.

China have a trade tension with the U.S, weakening global demand and alarming off-balance-sheet borrowings by local governments. IMF said on Friday that the growth can get worse, but Japanese Finance Minister Taro Aso said «All policy tools must e used to achieve sustainable growth.»

In its World Economic Outlook report on Tuesday, the IMF cut its economic growth forecast for the Asia-Pacific region to 5,0% for this year and 5,1% for 2020, and that is the slowest pace of expansion since the global financial crisis.

A faster-than-expected slowdown in Chinas economic growth could also generate negative spillovers in the region, as many Asian countries have supply chains closely tied to China, the IMFs Rhee said.

The IMF slashed China`s growth forecast to 6,1% for this year and 5,8% for 2020, pointing to the impact from the trade conflict and tighter regulation to address excess debt. But China is not alone.

The pace of global economic activity remains weak, and after slowing sharply in the last three quarters of 2018, momentum in manufacturing activity, in particular, has weakened substantially, to levels not seen since the global financial crisis.

Rising trade and geopolitical tensions have increased uncertainty about the future of the global trading system and international cooperation more generally, taking a toll on business confidence, investment decisions, and global trade.

A natable shift toward increased monetary policy accommodation, through both action and communication, has cushioned the impact of these tensions on financial market sentiment and activity, while a generally resilient service sector has supported employment growth.

To strengthen resilience, policymakers should address financial vulnerabilities that pose risks to growth in the medium term.

Making growth more inclusive, which is essential for securing better economic prospects for all, should remain an overarching goal.

A positive cheerleader like Trump is the right man to reach that goal. Not the Media-Mob-Clowns talking about recession ever day. What is Trump doing for his country? What about the Media Mob?

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.
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Huawei launched the world`s fastest 5G foldable phone Mate X on Monday

Samsung wont be alone on the market for foldable phones. Yesterday, Huawai launched the worlds fastest foldable 5G phone and the price for this awesome product is $2,600. Its a stiff price but its worth it.

You can supercharge the foldable phone called Huawei Mate X for 85 percent battery time in only 30 minutes, and so far Mate X looks like a better phone than Samsungs Galaxy Fold. It is thinner with the Folcon Wing design and have a bigger screen. Samsung will start selling Galaxy Fold on April 26, while Huaweis Mate X will be on the market in the middle of 2019.

Samsung and Huawai will not be the only one on the foldable market as we already know that other Chinese companies are on the way with their version of a brand new foldable phone. Huawei is a leading global provider of information and communications technology (ICT) infrastructure and smart devices and they are building a fully connected, intelligent world.

The synergy with a phone and tablet unlocks future potential to enhance your life everyday. Mate X has many sophisticated cameras and incredible power. You will have more power to work on projects, watch movies and play all your favorite games.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

 

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Jamie Dimon said he would fire any employee trading bitcoin for being “stupid” and Prince Alwaleed belive it is a bubble and Enron in the making

I wrote about Bitcoin four years ago. At that time it was only a digital currency that no one knew something about. Now it is on the way to be mainstream. The price have skyrocketed thanks to a massive campaign.

Bitcoin was registered in August 18, 2008. It follows the ideas set out in a white paper by the mysterious Satoshi Nakamoto. The first bubble started in October 3rd, 2010. The BTC price was only $0,06. Then the price crashed down to $0,01, and a massive buying frenzy started. Now, the price is just below $6,000.

Some people love it, and some people dont. One of those who dont like bitcoin is JPMorgan Chase & Co CEO Jamie Dimon. He said he would fire any employee trading bitcoin for being “stupid.”

Saudi billionaire Prince Alwaleed do agree. They are both joining the long line of skeptics saying bitcoin is a bubble, and Prince Alwaleed said “I just dont belive in this bitcoin thing. I think its just going to implode one day. I think this is Enron in the making,” Alwaleed told CNBC.

He also said “It just doesnt make sence. This thing is not regulated, its just not under control, it`s not under the supervision” of any central bank, he said.

My computers are full of bitcoin ads. It says; “millions are buying bitcoin.” Some pro`s in the mainstream media are telling people to invest in bitcoin and specially hedge funds and other traders in Norway.

The Swedish government has successfully auctioned off some bitcoin a few days ago, collecting more than the prevailing market rate in the sale. The 0,6 BTC, along with an equal amount of bitcoin cash, which was not previously disclosed, were sold by the Kronofogden during a week-long auction for a total of 43,000 kroner.

Kronofogden is not the first government agency to sell seized bitcoin. A few weeks ago, the U.S department of Justice formally took possession of $48 million it accrued through the sale of 144,336 bitcoins since the closure of the Silk Road dark market.

China`s big government and banks have banned Bitcoin, and its growing popularity in China may have caused the government to begin to perceive it as a threat to local currency, especially as Chinese investors bought up bitcoin a bet against the yuan last year.

China is home to vast and lucrative cryptocurrency mining operations for both Bitcoin, Ethereum, and other cryptocoins. Three Chinese exchanges like Bitfinex, OkCoin and BTCC, made up over 45 percent of the global market share over the last two months.

Co-founder and CEO of BTCC, Bobby Lee said it must be fake news because the exchange was operating normally.

Many supporters belive that Bitcoin is the future. Those who endorse it are of the view that it facilitates a much faster, no-fee payment system for transactions across the globe. It is not backed by any government or central bank.

Bitcoin can be exchanged for traditional currencies; in fact, its exchange rate against the dollar attracts potential investors and traders in currency plays. Another reason for its popularity is that they can act as an alternative to national fiat money and traditional commodities like gold.

All this is a huge competition to banks and central banks, and can make instability.

To make it short; the market crashed in 1929 and Ben Bernanke have studied it for a long time. When the market crashed in 2008, Ben Bernanke started to stimulate the economy with its QE program. He «printed» money. In other words; he saved the world.

Crypto currencies are not regulated and if crypto currencies is the future, we can already now predict how it can end if the market is crashing……

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Filed under Commodities, Emerging markets, Politics, Quantitative Easing, Uncategorized

India`s Prime Minister Narendra Modi is doing something right and they can surpass China very soon

Theresa May is negotiating with the European Union and investors are concerned about a hard landing on these Brexit deals. It`s difficult to know exactly the outcome of the Brexit deal but what we do know is that the British economy grew 1,7% YoY in the second quarter of 2017.

Not so much compared to Chinas 6,9% growth, which is the best G20 country followed by India at 5,7%. Britains economy fell from 2,0% to 1,7% and that is the opposite direction of India`s growth. Can India grow by a greater margin than China this year?

 

 

According to IMF, Indias economy will grow by a greater margin than China in 2017. Not only that. Indias innovation growth rate is expected to rise significantly over the next 15 years, placing it ahead of Russia and close to surpassing China, according to a new report.

China is the leading nation in terms of innovation among BRICS countries, but India`s Prime Minister Narendra Modi must be doing something right. India is set to see a surge in innovation and could surpass China by the end of the next decade.

According to Chinas Science Technology Exchange Center, Indias innovation growth rate is expected to rise significantly over the next 15 years, placing it ahead of Russia.

India`s economy is expected to grow by 7,2% in 2017, according to IMF. A new study highlights the growth that can be expected in intellectual advances, such as science and technology, which are often perceived as indicators of future growth.

It`s BRICS Innovation Competitiveness Report 2017 predicted that the innovation competitiveness of India would see a significant rise with its growth rate probably surpassing China between 2025 – 2030.

What is India`s Prime Minister Narendra Modi actually doing right? He has been taking notable steps forward in innovation, supported by a reform agenda.

Government schemes such as Digital India, which expands the countrys online infrastructure, and StartUp India, which promotes financial backing for entrepreneurs, have been unveiled to boost the countrys innovation and technology sectors.

India`s growing information technology and scientific expertise have also helped turn it into an increasingly dominant outsourcing hub.

So far, China is still the leader in terms of innovation competitiveness among BRICS nations, followed by Russia, South Africa, Brazil and India.

Europe is struggling to follow. Ireland is the best country with its 6,10% growth, followed by Romania with 5,9% growth and Estonia with 5,7% growth YoY.

At the bottom in Europe we find Norway with only 0,20% growth, Macedonia by its 0% and at the very bottom Liechtenstein with negative -1,9% growth.

Monaco, Liechtenstein and Luxemburg are the richest countries in the world measured by GDP per capita.

 

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Brazil`s Auto Sales jumped 39,4 percent to 189 vehicles last month

Brazil has been struggling for a while now. First of all with Dilma Rousseff and her corruption scandal involving the state-controlled oil company Petrobras. All this on top af a terrible recession. Since the Workers’ Party came to power in 2003, there has been a series of corruption scandals in Brazil.

Operation Car Wash has uncovered a widening corruption scandal with dozens of political accused of paying or receiving kickbacks. Former President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has been named in connection with the investigation. Let`s take a look at some positive things in Brazil right now.

Auto sales in Brazil jumped 39,4 percent to 189 vehicles last month. Sales rebounded for passenger cars (39 percent vs -8 percent in February). Compared to a year ago, auto sales fell 5,6 percent. Brazil had an all-time high of 420 thousand in 2012.

 

 

Brazil had an all-time high trade surplus in March this year. Brazil recorded a USD 7,145 million trade surplus, which is higher than a USD 4,435 million surpluses in 2016. Exports jumped 25,6 percent YoY and imports rose at a slower 11,9 percent.

Inflation in Brazil is also going the right direction. It rose by 4,76 percent in the year to February 2017, which is down from an increase of 5,35 percent in previous month. It`s also lower than a year ago at 9,39 percent.

Brazil is the largest country in both South America and Latin America. Its the worlds fifth largest country by both area and population of 200,4 million citizens. Unfortunately, the unemployment rate is going the wrong direction.

It reached an all-time high of 13,2 percent in the quarter ended February this year. Brazil has been the largest producer of coffee for the last 150 years. Can they fix the problems? Their economy has not been growing since 2014.

The Brazilians economy shrank 2,5 percent YoY in the fourth quarter of 2016. GDP has been negative for eleven straight quarters and they face a sharp drop in both household consumption and fixed investment.

You can clearly see how bad economy are going hand in hand with crime and frustration. Everybody blame each other for everything and politicians are always a target.

A jump in their auto sales is music in samba ears.

 

 

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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