Category Archives: Stocks

EU passenger car registrations increased +11,2% which is an all-time high

EU is selling cars like never before. According to ACEA, EU passenger car registrations increased significantly, totaling 1,891,583 units, which is up +11,2 percent in March this year. This is an all-time high.

All the big five markets recorded very strong performances during the month, with Italy (+18,2%), Spain (+12,6%) and Germany (+11,4%) posting double-digit percentage gains, followed by the UK (+8,4%) and France (+7,0%).

 


This level of growth is mainly due to Easter falling in March last year and in April this year. The demand for passenger cars from January to March 2017 increased by 8,4 percent, totaling 4,141,269 units.

Italy (+11,9%), Spain (+7,9%), Germany (+6,7%), the United Kingdom (+6,2%) and France (+4,8%) all saw their markets grow during the first three months of the year, contributing to the overall upturn in the EU market.

The growth in car sales rose «only» 2,2 percent in February this year. The demand fell in several big markets and sales of volume brands Volkswagen and Peugeot slumped. Volkswagen AG, which is the biggest manufacturer, continued to lose market share, falling down to 10,4 percent.

Volkswagen new car sales fell 6,6 percent in February, and the sales of the larger Volkswagen group, which includes Audi, Porche, Skoda and SEAT, fell 1,1 percent.

The sports car brand Jaguar in the Jaguar Land Rover Group was again the fastest growing automaker in Europe. New Jaguar sales surged about 52 percent in February, which is much better than their competitors like BMW, Audi, Daimler AG`s Mercedes and Porsche.

 

 

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Facebook are dealing with the music industry

Facebook has a lot of DAU`s and more and more people spend time watching videos. Facebook is a young company and so far they already have billions of video views. But Mark Zuckerberg want to prosper from this industry.

There is no doubt that YouTube is the most popular video-sharing company in the world. Many artist has started their carriere at YouTube and one of them is Justin Bieber. In 2016, YouTube gave the music industry $1 billion in ad revenue, and Facebook wants to join.

 

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Streaming was a game changer on how media is bought. It changed how it`s consumed. It also changed who profits from it, and of course how much they all made in this industry. For the first time in 20 years, the music industry saw significant revenue growth in 2015.

The revenue from streaming is $2,9 billion world-wide, and revenue from video on demand rose almost 9% in 2015, and music clips can move about $50 – $70 billion from TV industry.

Facebook has nearly 2 billion users and still a growing advertising business, and a deal with the music industry can be a win-win agreement, which means billions in revenue from new sales for the music industry.

The interest in videos is growing and Facebook want to prosper from that, and that’s why they are so interested in music rights. Facebook moved billions in ad revenue from print and now many online firms have targeted TV.

Facebook are not alone on the market and they need to share some of the market with Twitter and Snapchat, but the biggest of them all is YouTube which is Faecbooks main rival. Googles YouTube channel said music is one of the most popular types of videos on their on-demand service.

TV networks and News organizations are experimenting with Facebook, just like they did with YouTube and this will continue. This is interesting because Facebook is big.

Thanks to streaming, the music industry is growing again and that is because of the paid streaming services from Apple and Spotify.

Facebook will probaby sign a deal with the music industry before the summer this year.

 

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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Will Snapchat be the next Facebook?

Snap is going public. No, I`m not talking about the pop stars with the super hit “I got the power”. This is something different. A different power. But how powerful are Snap Inc actually? Do you really think that Snapchat will be the next Facebook?

Let`s take a closer look at some real facts. I have made a picture of some of the most loved firms in the social media universe, and this time I will compare Snap with Facebook and Twitter. As you can see from the chart below, Snap look more like Twitter than Facebook. Take a look below.

 

 

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As you can see from the chart above, Snaps cost follow Snaps revenue. Its positive to see that their revenue grew from $59 million to $405 million. Thats a whopping 590% over the same time. But the drawback is their high cost structure. Their net operating profit after-tax fell from -$344 million in 2015 to -$498 million in 2016.

You do already here understand that Snap is not the same as Facebooks business model. Revenue goes up while their profit goes down. Snaps valuation is about $20-25 billion, with a revenue of $405 million, and an operating loss of -$520 million.

Facebooks valuation when they went public was much higher with $3,7 billion in revenue, and an operation income of $1,75 billion. Facebooks valuation at that time was $90-105 billion, but as you may know, the stock traded down after the IPO.

You also may know the story of Twitter. Right up, and right down again. Will Snap follow Twitter? Take a look at the numbers. They are very similar. Revenue was $448 million, with an operating loss of -$93 million.

Twitters valuation at that time was $18-25 billion, but people said it was too much. Many investors said the right valuation was half of that; only $10 billion. Snaps trailing sales valuation was 62x, which is about the same as Twitter`s 56x.

Twitter had 100 million DAUs when they went public, while Snap has about 158 million. What is that compared to Facebooks 483? It will be hard to be a new Facebook.

Snap are going public on Thursday.

 

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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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The parent of Snapchat are going public

Snapchat is one of the biggest favorite apps in the social media universe at the moment. Its founders Evan Spiegel and Bobby Murphy filed confidentially to go public with SEC late last year, and now they are ready to be traded on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker SNAP.

Snap`s revenue rose to $404,5 million, which is eight times higher than their revenue in 2015. In Q4 Snap had 158 million daily active users (up 48%), and many of my friends and family members are one of them. 2,5 billion Snaps are created every day.

 

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Snap Inc is a camera company, and in the SEC filings they say: “We blive that reinventing the camera represents our greatest opportunity to improve the way people live and communicate.

Our products empower people to express themselves, live in the moment, learn about the world, and have fun together».

Worldwide advertising spend is expected to grow from $652 billion in 2016 to $767 billion in 2020. The fastest growing segment is mobile advertising, which is expected to grow nearly 3x from $66 billion in 2016 to $196 billion in 2020.

Snap belive that one of the major factors driving this growth is the shift of people`s attention from their televisions to their mobile phones. According to Nielsen, people between the ages of 18 and 24 spent 35% less time watching traditional television in an average month during the second quarter of 2016 compared to the second quarter of 2010.

A huge difference between Facebook at Twitter is that Snap Inc doesnt have their own server farm, which makes it more expensive which means Snaps earnings can look much lower that those who have their own server farm.

Snap Inc lost $514 million in 2016, which is up from about $373 million. Some of that money goes to Google because Snap Inc rents storage and server space from them. New legislation that would change U.S, or foreign taxation of international business activities or other tax-reform policies could also seriously harm their business.

Benchmark Capital owns about 10% og the company. Lightspeed Venture Partners owns 8,3%, and Institutional Venture Partners owns 4%.

Snap are looking to raise up to $3 billion, and Snaps offering is being led by Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs. Morgan Stanley won the desired «lead left» position on the prospectus. The bank also led Facebooks initial public offering.

 

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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Tesla and Fiat Chrysler is up about 80% since the election

The focus now is how Donald Trumps policies are going to "Make America Great again". One of the first things Trump did was to shut down the TPP agreement, which is favoring TPPs laws before the constitution.

Trump do not blame Obama for this TPP agreement because this is something that has been negotiated in decades. Trump is a business man and he do things he belive is right for the American people.

 

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Trump can start a new global trade war and that means off for global equities, but what will happen if he starts a tax-cutting war? Countries around the world will start to compete to lower tax rates and that will probably make companies to invest and hire more, which is positive for equities.

President Trump has tweeted a lot about the automotive industry over Twitter, and after a few hours in the White house, he made a point to meet with the chief executives of Tesla and Fiat Chrysler. What Mr Trump want is to press the companies to build more vehicles in the U.S and hire more Americans into manufacturing jobs.

Reduced corporate taxes will surely please executives. If the automotive industry work together with the government, it will improve the environment and jobs creation and the competitiveness of manufacturing.

Trump`s decision to withdraw from the TPP is a largely symbolic move since it was unlikely to pass Congress. It was a strong symbol of his desire to implement policies that improve competitiveness and a new renaissance in American manufacturing.

The mother of all trade barriers is currency manipulation, and TPP failed in meaningfully dealing with that, and the automotive industry appreciate Trump`s courage to walk away from a bad trade deal.

Tesla and Fiat Chrysler combined is up about 80% since the election. Tesla has been a great rally since the beginning of December last year. It has so far been a great ride since its IPO in 2010, and now the average analyst`s recommendation is a Hold.

Fiat Chrysler look very cheap but a new scandal casting a shadow over the company. The company has doubled its value in a very few months but the scandal makes it risky for investors at the moment.

Trump met Tesla`s chief executive Elon Musk and the President told executives that he intends to eliminate a majority of regulations and «massively» cut corporate taxes, but that in return those companies must keep production domestic and preserve American jobs.

Trump told the CEO`s to device a «series of actions» within 30 days.

 

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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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