Category Archives: Stocks

43% of Morgan Stanley`s total revenue comes from wealthy individuals

You can clearly see how all the banks have different stories to tell, and the next bank to deliver earnings report on Thursday is Morgan Stanley. This is different from J.P.Morgan`s story. Morgan Stanley`s consensus EPS estimate is $1,16, which is -10,8% YoY.

The consensus Revenue Estimate is $10,02 Billion which is -5,6% YoY. 50% of Morgan Stanley`s total revenue comes from Institutional Securities. 43% of their total revenue comes from Wealth Management. 7% of total revenue is made from Investment Management.

There must be a lot of wealthy customers in Morgan Stanley`s portfolio, but wealthy induviduals is followed by financial services (brokerage, investment advisory, financial planning, insurance, securities-based loans etc) to medium-sized businesses and institutioons.

Morgan Stanley is headquartered at Broadway, Midtown Manhattan, New York and CEO James Gorman is not a big fan of Bitcoin, Libra or other crypto currencies. On Wednesday, we saw a Facebook hearings live from Capitol Hill and Mr Gorman is obviously not alone to be negative to crypto currencies.

In an interview with CNBC, he said “Psonally, I am not that exited about new exchanges for currencies or new forms of cryptocurrency. I`ve said this many times, an may be proven dead wrong about this. I don`t get it or see the need for another form of stored value. We have currencies and precious metals and reserve notes. Apparently, there`s a need there, right? But the fact that we are not in that doesn`t bother me at all,” Gorman said.

Fair value of the Morgan Stanley stock is about 20% higher than the current price. Citi upgraded Morgan Stanley to buy. Earning report will be released on Thursday before market open.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.
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Bank of America is “too big to fail” and its cost-cutting strategy is in focus

Bank of America is the second-largest bank in the U.S, and the company is expected to post quarterly earnings on Wednesday before market open. Bank of America is expected to earn $0,76 per share and that`s five cents ahead of the Wall Street.

If this number holds it would be a 12,7% change YoY. Their revenue are expected to be $23,04 billion and that is a whopping 1,9% from the same quarter last year.

The bank have benefited huge from a roring U.S economy and most of the profits is coming from its consumer bank, but all major business segments have increased the profits. All this thanks to healthy loan and deposit growth.

Its net interest income growth have also risen thanks to rising interest rates. Like all other banks, Fed`s change in policy is negative for the bank and a cut in interest rate will decrease NII. Lower interest rate will also trigger a recession, but that`s another story. The Fed is extremely dovish and that in turn will make the banks forward return to decline the next months.

Bank of America is the second-largest bank of the four «too big to fail» money center banks, and its P/E is only 10,85 with a dividend yield of 2,04%. The bank has a streak of 12 conssecutive quarters of beating EPS estimates on the line. The focus this time is its cost-cutting strategy.

The chart for the bank showed a golden cross in late March this year, but that has not been a great signal so far. It remain to see the stock to go higher.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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JPMorgan Chase & Co will report earnings while we are entering a rate-cutting cycle

The banks are in focus this week as they will report earnings with JPMorgan Chase coming out with their report Tuesday morning before the open. JPMorgan has outperformed its peers and their growth has been 18% per year last three years.

Last two years, JPMorgan Chase has beaten Earnings Per Share estimates 100% of the time. They have also beaten revenue estimates 100% of the time.

Analysts expect JPMorgan to earn $2,50 per share in the second quarter on revenue of $28,91 billion. JPMorgan earned $2,22 in the second quarter last year.

JPMorgan is different from Well Fargo which is also reporting earnings on Tuesday. JPMorgan Chase has moved up over 10% over the past year while Wells Fargo has faced a lot of obstacles, inkluding lack of their own CEO.

The banking industry is scary to me at the moment, and the most dangerous bank in the world is in Europe. Dutche Bank has been a desaster for a long time and the company are on the edge. A collapse could send the whole world in a negative trend.

We are also entering a rate-cutting cycle which is not good for the banks either. The margins will shrink and the earnings will decline while the rates are falling and the spread between the rates on loans and the rates paid out on deposits shrinks.

Morgan Stanley and Citi both downgraded the industry as a whole because of this development with rates, but JPMorgan is still a favorite.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Facebook has partnered with Visa and Paypal and they will launch Libra on Tuesday

I have been watching Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market for years now, and so far it has been a bumpy ride. Its not mainstream yet and it seems like Bitcoin is just for traders, and not a currency people around the world use to buy things with. But Facebooks Libra can be a gamechanger.

Mark Zuckerberg and his team is expected to provide details about its brand new cryptocurrency called Libra in a white paper set for release on Tuesday. Only a few trade with Bitcoin, but what do you think will happen if nearly 3 billion users on Facebook start to trade with Libra?

Facebook has partnered with companies like Visa, Paypal and Uber to name a few. They have all invested in the cryptocurrency and will help to oversee its use. Libra will be tied to several traditional fiat currencies in a bid to protect Libra from price volatility.

Bitcoin and the comming cryptocurrency Libra is not alone in the market. There are hundreds of other cryptocurrensies out there and there is more to come. What do you think will happen when Google and Amazon is joining the club?

Barclays analyst Ross Sandler predicted earlier this year that the digital currency could produce as much as $19 billion in new revenue in just two year for Facebook alone. It will be one of the most important milestones for Facebook in the history of the company.

Facebook can really help countries in need. Facebook`s Libra can provide a more stable market in areas with volatile currencies and unstable governments. It can be helpful for countries like Venezuela and other countries with ridiculous inflation.

Mark Zuckerberg`s brand new cryptocurrency platform could provide the embattled social media giant with a new revenue stream of historic proportions as it contends with a possible fedral antitrust probe and continued scrutiny over its data privacy practices.

Facebook`s long-awaited cryptocurrency payments plan will be exposed on Tuesday and analysts are bullish. This is a big and historic moment for Facebook and the world.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Uber and Bolt will compete in London and they have both a licence valid for 15 months

Uber is not alone in the market. Today, on Tuesday, Estonia-based Bolt launced in London. Uber will also face competition from Indian rival Ola which is backed by Softbank and a start-up backed by Chinese competitor Didi Chuxing.

Bolt, which is also know as Taxify have so far 20,000 registered drivers. In addition; the French app Kapten which is often called Chauffeur Privè, has also entered the market in London. Uber have huge competition with Ola in India and CEO and founder of Bolt, Markus Villig said Uber`s monopoly i London has come to an end.

Bolt are charging drivers much less to use its platform than Uber and that will be a huge challenge for Uber. Bolt will take 15% commission while Uber will take 25% commission for most drivers.

Bolt raised $175 million in funding from Daimler last year, along with funding from Transferwise and Chinese ride-hailing app Didi Chuxing.

The competition in the market can be seen in Uber`s revenue growth which have stalled over the past year. Lyft went public in March this year and Uber will face huge competiton in the U.S market.

The Softbank-backed food delivery company DoorDash has also been a national market share leader, and Uber have launched a pilot of its free-floating bike service called Junp in London. A food-delivery service called Uber Eats.

Uber won back a 15-month licence last year and so did Bolt. Uber was banned in London in 2017 because it was found to not be a «fit and proper» operator. The car-hailing app Bolt was also banned by Transport for London in 2017 because it did not have a licence. Bolt waited 18 months for its licence and now it is valid for 15 months.

London Mayor Sadiq Khan has defended the citys right to cap the number of Uber vehicles, and hes faced a lawsuit from drivers who are claiming racial descrimination over the city`s plans to charge them a daily congestion charge.

Forget about expensive taxi rides and slow public transport and move around fast and affordably. Your driver arrives in minutes.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

 

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