Tag Archives: Russia

Investors has poured billions of dollars into the European stock market and now they are on the edge again

It is two things to watch out for tomorrow. First of all we have the U.K snap election, and then we have Former FBI Director James Comey who will appear before a Senate panel in his first public testimony since President Donald Trump fired him.

Theresa May shocked the world with her «emergency election», and the decision seems to be very odd. But there is no doubt that this election is all about “Brexit”. Boris Johnson said only May can fix Brexit.

 

 

This is very important to investors as the “Brexit” decision and the outcome of the snap election is a make or break in the market. Take a look at the market. Investors has poured billions of dollars into the European stock market.

The tension is high and there is no secret that someone wants to kill “Brexit”, and if they succeed, the market will crash and burns. The other outcome is when “Brexit” lives which means a huge rally for the rest of this summer.

Investors are on the edge again. The death of “Brexit” could plunge Europe into chaos.

According to BBC, there is a shift in the campaign patterns of both parties after a May U-turn on social care funding. But in the wake of the Manchester and London terror attacks national polling averages have shown that Mays Conservatives retain a solid lead over Corbyns Labour.

Polling average puts Labour 9 points behind the Conservative party. Conservatives 45% and Labour 34%.

May`s majority can be wiped out with a 2 percent swing from the Conservatives to Labour and Labour will gain 10 seats. But we have learned from the polls before “Brexit” last year that the polls in the U.K is not perfect, which means a lot of things can happen.

In addition to the election, we also have the Popes private meeting with Britains top brass. A financial «Fault line» which is worth billions and ready to crack open on June 8. I`m not gonna talk more about that but rather say something about James Comey who will testify on June 8.

This is the first testimony since Hillary Rodham Clinton`s testimony to a House committee investigating the 2012 attacks in Benghazi, Libya. The Benghazi committee hearing came to an end after 11 hours.

Comey will speak to an open hearing of the Senate Intelligence Committee followed by a closed session. The hearing is part of the panel`s probe into alleged Russian meddling in the 2016 election and any possible ties between the Trump campaign and the Kremlin.

Comey was abruptly fired last month while overseeing the FBIs own investigation of alleged Russian interference. The White House has given shifting explanations about Trumps motives for firing Comey.

The administration initially said Trump acted on the Justice Department`s recommendation, though Trump himself later said he would have fired Comey «regardless» and was thinking of the «Russia thing» when he decided to do so.

JUNE 8 IS A GREAT DAY!

 

 

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

 

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Just 32% of Americans have “great deal” or “fair amount” of trust in the media

Media are attacking President Donald Trump, but it seems like people isnt listening anymore. A Gallup poll from September found that just 32% of Americans have «great deal» or «fair amount» of trust in the media, which is the lowest level in the polls history.

Media are in trouble!

What tools do the establishment have if people dont belive media anymore? And what tools do the establishment have if people dont have faith in politicians anymore?

 

(RT: 26 April 2011)

You can see how media are turning things up side down. So are the politicians who have always lied. It was much more easy to lie when there where fewer media outlets. The lies was shaped and tempered by the media.

The most embarrassing lie was during the terror attack on twin towers. Former President Bush said Iraq had weapons of mass destruction, but that was a BIG lie. There were no reason to attack Iraq and people went angry because of that.

The demonstration against the war in Iraq was huge in the United States, but not only that. It is the biggest we have seen in modern history in Europe. Here is what made people pissed: The establishment didn`t listen to the people.

On top of that, people went angry at terrorists for making them feel afraid. The terrorist came as a direct result of the attack in Iraq and the killing of their leader Saddam Hussein. But it didn`t stop here. Next war was underway.

Who wrote about the war in Libya? The Media was silent like never before. We didnt hear much about it, but they bombed Libya and killed Gaddafi. People went even more angry, but it didnt stop here.

Pictures and videos from the killing of ambassador Chris Stevens who was raped and sadomized before murder made people more angry. They went crazy when they heard it took so much time before the support came to the consulate. Fox News sources said CIA in Benghazi during consulate attack denied help. Maybe Mr Stevens could be alive today?

It doesn`t help to know that the United States created al-Qaeda. It is a shame to know that ISIS is also created by the United States.

The point is that the people was against it. So are President Donald Trump. He said Saddam and Gaddafi was a big mistake. Media want us to know that Putin and Russia is dangerous, but how dangerous are they?

In 2011, Putin said: Who gave NATO right to kill Gaddafi? Who gave coalition forces in Libya the right to eliminate Gaddafi? Thats the question Vladimir Putins been asking, during an official visit to Denmark.

The Russian Premier also said NATO`s effectively joined one of the warring sides in the conflict. And more responsible action should be taken instead, Putin said.

What kind of dangerous man is saying things like that?

Take a trip to Africa and ask people about Gaddafi. They saw up to him. Gaddafi was the king of Africa. A big star. Putin didnt join NATO in Libya. He said it isnt right. Its crime, he said. They also killed Gaddafis son. What have he done? People in the West are not proud of this. They are angry.

We can see a clear picture when we know that Edward Snowden is hiding in Russia. He exposed mass surveillance by the NSA (National Security Agency). They spy on ordinary people and this is lack of people`s freedom and liberty. People are not proud of this. They are angry.

President Donald Trump like Putin who is hiding Snowden, and Putin was celebrating Trump`s victory last week.

People are not proud, and therefore, Mr Trump want to Make America great again! Good luck.

 

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The World`s biggest oil producer

The United States has surpassed Saudi Arabia as the world`s biggest oil producer in 2014. The oil shale revolution has started to change the economy as the U.S produced 90% of the energy it consumed last year.

India has recorded the highest growth in energy consumption among major economies.

BP said the U.S shale revolution helped it overtake Saudi Arabia as the world`s biggest oil producer and surpass Russia as the world`s largest producer of oil and gas.

 

crude-oil

 

On the other hand, Chinese growth in consumption slowed to its lowest level since 1998 as the economy rebalance away from energy intensive sectors, though China remained the world`s largest growth market for energy.
The United States produced 15,9 percent more oil in 2014 at 11,6 million barrels of oil per day to topple Saudi Arabia`s 11,5 million bpd production, according to BP Plc`s Statistical Review of World Energy released today.
Russia was placed third with 10,8 million bpd oil production.
The United States surpassed Russia as the world`s largest producer of oil and gas, and they produced 1,250,4 million tons of oil and oil equivalent natural gas last year. This compared with Russia`s 1,062 million tons of oil equivalent. According to BP, world primary energy consumption slowed markedly, with growth of just 0,9 percent last year, a lower rate than at any time since the late 1990`s.
BP Group Chief Executive Bob Dudley said: “The eerie calm that had characterised energy markets in the few years prior to 2014 came to an abrupt end last year. However, we should not be surprised or alarmed.”
“These events may well come to be viewed as symptomatic of a broader shifting of the tectonic plates that make up the energy landscape, with significant developments in both the supply of energy and its demand. Our task as an industry is to meet today’s challenges while continuing to invest to meet tomorrow`s demand, safely and sustainably,» he added.

 

It seems like Saudi Arabia has a new strategy. They are pumping more oil despite weak oil prices, and their acute pressure to cut production is off. The heavyweight of OPEC is less concerned about the price of crude oil, and more concerned about delivering fuel to its growing economy.

Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates are also drilling at record rates, while Iraq is shrugging off widespread civil conflict to increase production. Even Iran is preparing plans to develop more oil fields. The surging output has taken much of the mystery out of what the delegates of the 12 OPEC countries will do when they assemble in Vienna this week to set production levels for the next six months.

The oil prices is stable at around $60 a barrel, and OPEC has already pushed the cartel`s output 3 percent above the current target, and production appears to be heading even higher. Saudi Arabia was the primary force that made OPEC the swing producer in global markets, for decades.

«Is Saudi Arabia still willing to play the swing producer and juggle the whole domestic economy, refineries, power plants, desalination, petrochemicals, just to meet the expectations of either OPEC or no-OPEC producers? The answer is no, obviously not,» said Sadad Ibrahim al-Husseini, a former executive vice president for Saudi Aramco, the state oil company.

After Saudi Arabia`s production peaked in 1980, it cut supplies later in the decade and again in the 90`s to top up prices. The Saudis followed the same playbook when oil prices briefly sank during the 2008 global financial crisis and the economy slump the next year.
When political turmoil rocked Libya, another producer, during the Arab Spring, Saudi Arabia increased production to keep markets and its own revenue stable.

Energy consumption in Saudi Arabi is growing and its growing at an average of 6 percent over the last decade, while any shift to nuclear power or renewable sources like solar has been slow.

«No cut is coming,» said Rene G. Ortiz of Ecuador, a former secretary-general of OPEC. «Each and every country, and particularly the Saudis and the other monarchies of the gulf, will protect their market share and increase their market share as much as possible,» he said.

Chesapeake Energy Corp and Exxon Mobil Corp are both shale drillers. They both spent about $120 billion last year in the U.S, and the surge in output and a slowdown in the demand have pushed crude oil prices down.
The number of rigs drilling in shale fields are down by half from an October peak, BP Chief Executive Officer Bob Dudley said.

«The shale revolution hasn`t run out of steam in the U.S,» Dudley said.

 

 


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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication. UA-63539824-1.

 

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Australia is expected to be the world`s biggest

China has a serious problem, and that is the pollution. You have probably been there, or seen some pictures from a very cloudy China? Some days in China is described as life threatening. People walk around in the city with masks and look like zombies from another planet.

LNG 3

The Chinese government need to do something very fast, and one thing they have decided to do is to slow down the crude oil consumption. Therefore, China`s demand for natural gas will increase and they need to pay a heavy price, simply because of the supply and demand in the market right now.

They need to buy more than they can produce, and that is a recipe for energy disaster for them, because they must import more natural gas, which gives the rest of the world an energy boom, and that is a game changer for the natural gas industry.

The Chinese government must act fast, because of the rising costs from pollution related illnesses. Their natural gas reserves aren`t the biggest problem for them, but their pipline infrastructure is weak, in addition to the location of the reserves and the inadequate technology to extract these reserves.

Exxon Mobile says in a study that China`s natural gas consumption will almost triple this decade to 14 Tcf (trillion cubic feet). China produced only 3,3 Tcf last year, while their consumption of natural gas was 5 Tcf, and the gap between supply and demand is growing fast.

It`s estimated that natural gas will provide 10% of all the energy used in China by 2020. Some of that will be made in China, but most of it will have to come from imports. If you think that this is a great opportunity, you have to think again, because who will profit from this boom? Putin`s Russia and Australia will!

Gazprom signed a 30-year deal to supply China with 1,3 Tcf of natural gas per year, starting in 2019, and that contract is worth $400 billion. The gas will come from Gazprom`s prolific fields in Siberia.

The Australian Woodside Petroleum will also profit from it, because they are close to China`s LNG operations that is already up and running. They have piplines on Australia`s West Coast, and they have invested over $200 billion in LNG operations. Australia is expected to unseat the current LNG leader, Qatar in the next few years.

Qatar is the world`s biggest supplier of LNG, and by 2020, the U.S will account for about 11% of the total LNG exports. Australia has a massive potential to become a big exporter of LNG, as they are Asia`s closest source of LNG. We are talking about South Korea, China and Japan, and that`s the main reason why Australia will become the world`s biggest supplier of LNG in a few years.

LNG exports will displace iron ore as the biggest source of Australia`s export growth in the next years. It`s expected that Australia will export 80 million tons of LNG by 2018. According to Australia`s Bureau of Resources and Energy Economics, earnings from LNG projects are forecast to increase five times. More than $49 billion through June 2018.

Australian gas output will rise to 100 million metric tons by 2018. It`s gas exports are expected to increase to 81% of production by 2018 (53% in 2012), they has more new LNG plants under construction than any other country, including the United States. The new projects will add 61,4 million tons of LNG capacity by June 2018, and they will have 85,8 million tons of capacity by that date. There are only 17,8 million tons of LNG capacity under construction in the U.S.
Another country`s that can become massive LNG exporters in the future is Canada and Africa. The problem in both country`s right now is their infrastructure. I will write about that later in a new article from shiny bull.

 

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Crimea vote

It`s all up and green in Europe today. We see a cautious rally after Crimea vote. The opening in U.S today will be mixed, but it can change later on today. Obama spoke to Putin after the vote, and Putin pointed that the vote is legal.

Moscow city

(picture: Mosow city)

The U.S and EU warn Russia against moving to annex Crimea, and today mull sanctions. Gold is declining to $1378,60. I think this is some profit-taking pressure from recent gains that saw prices hit a six-month high overnight.

 

The vote in Crimea should not be a big surprise. The Russian parliament said it would move fast to annex the Crimean region. Any escalation of tensions in Ukraine would quickly put risk-aversion back into the markets.

 

Now, we should look for the possible sanctions against Russia. If the U.S and EU slap Russia`s hands with diplomatic and economic sanctions, we will see the Russian stock market in a big drop. We saw the stock market in Russia plummeted earlier with a drop of -20% in on single day.

 

That was more expensive than the Olympic Games in Sotsji. Not good for a company that went bankrupt in 1998. The economy is the eight largest economy in the world. They have an abundance of natural resources, including timber, precious metals, and particularly fossil fuels (oil, natural gas and coal) that can be developed without the constraint of OPEC production quotas and other rules.

 

Russia in not a OPEC member. Russia`s oil and gas production have been not only a primary source of Russia`s economic growth but also a geostrategic lever in the country`s relationship with Europe and Asia.

 

Russia has undergone significant changes since their collapse in 1998. They have moved from a centrally planned economy to a more market-based and globally integrated economy. The economy is more privatized in many sectors now.

 

Russia`s capital, Moscow, had the highest number of billionaires of any city in the world, and the Russian government predicts growth rates for future years at 2,5% of GDP. Putin and his friends are often criticized for their «loan-for-shares» scheme that turned over major state-owned firms to politically connected «oligarchs» has left equity ownership highly concentrated.

 

It`s a big country and it all collapsed and went bankrupt in 1998. As we all know, U.S is also a big country, with a lot of problems. Do people around the world really know how serious the problems in the U.S is? I hope so, because everyone should be prepared and protect themselves.

 

Reports today:

 

08:30 AM ET Empire State Manufacturing Index
09:15 AM ET Capacity Utilization Rate
09:15 AM ET Industrial Production m/m
10:00 AM ET NAHB Housing Market Index

 

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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