Tag Archives: Brazil

India`s Prime Minister Narendra Modi is doing something right and they can surpass China very soon

Theresa May is negotiating with the European Union and investors are concerned about a hard landing on these Brexit deals. It`s difficult to know exactly the outcome of the Brexit deal but what we do know is that the British economy grew 1,7% YoY in the second quarter of 2017.

Not so much compared to Chinas 6,9% growth, which is the best G20 country followed by India at 5,7%. Britains economy fell from 2,0% to 1,7% and that is the opposite direction of India`s growth. Can India grow by a greater margin than China this year?

 

 

According to IMF, Indias economy will grow by a greater margin than China in 2017. Not only that. Indias innovation growth rate is expected to rise significantly over the next 15 years, placing it ahead of Russia and close to surpassing China, according to a new report.

China is the leading nation in terms of innovation among BRICS countries, but India`s Prime Minister Narendra Modi must be doing something right. India is set to see a surge in innovation and could surpass China by the end of the next decade.

According to Chinas Science Technology Exchange Center, Indias innovation growth rate is expected to rise significantly over the next 15 years, placing it ahead of Russia.

India`s economy is expected to grow by 7,2% in 2017, according to IMF. A new study highlights the growth that can be expected in intellectual advances, such as science and technology, which are often perceived as indicators of future growth.

It`s BRICS Innovation Competitiveness Report 2017 predicted that the innovation competitiveness of India would see a significant rise with its growth rate probably surpassing China between 2025 – 2030.

What is India`s Prime Minister Narendra Modi actually doing right? He has been taking notable steps forward in innovation, supported by a reform agenda.

Government schemes such as Digital India, which expands the countrys online infrastructure, and StartUp India, which promotes financial backing for entrepreneurs, have been unveiled to boost the countrys innovation and technology sectors.

India`s growing information technology and scientific expertise have also helped turn it into an increasingly dominant outsourcing hub.

So far, China is still the leader in terms of innovation competitiveness among BRICS nations, followed by Russia, South Africa, Brazil and India.

Europe is struggling to follow. Ireland is the best country with its 6,10% growth, followed by Romania with 5,9% growth and Estonia with 5,7% growth YoY.

At the bottom in Europe we find Norway with only 0,20% growth, Macedonia by its 0% and at the very bottom Liechtenstein with negative -1,9% growth.

Monaco, Liechtenstein and Luxemburg are the richest countries in the world measured by GDP per capita.

 

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Brazil`s Auto Sales jumped 39,4 percent to 189 vehicles last month

Brazil has been struggling for a while now. First of all with Dilma Rousseff and her corruption scandal involving the state-controlled oil company Petrobras. All this on top af a terrible recession. Since the Workers’ Party came to power in 2003, there has been a series of corruption scandals in Brazil.

Operation Car Wash has uncovered a widening corruption scandal with dozens of political accused of paying or receiving kickbacks. Former President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has been named in connection with the investigation. Let`s take a look at some positive things in Brazil right now.

Auto sales in Brazil jumped 39,4 percent to 189 vehicles last month. Sales rebounded for passenger cars (39 percent vs -8 percent in February). Compared to a year ago, auto sales fell 5,6 percent. Brazil had an all-time high of 420 thousand in 2012.

 

 

Brazil had an all-time high trade surplus in March this year. Brazil recorded a USD 7,145 million trade surplus, which is higher than a USD 4,435 million surpluses in 2016. Exports jumped 25,6 percent YoY and imports rose at a slower 11,9 percent.

Inflation in Brazil is also going the right direction. It rose by 4,76 percent in the year to February 2017, which is down from an increase of 5,35 percent in previous month. It`s also lower than a year ago at 9,39 percent.

Brazil is the largest country in both South America and Latin America. Its the worlds fifth largest country by both area and population of 200,4 million citizens. Unfortunately, the unemployment rate is going the wrong direction.

It reached an all-time high of 13,2 percent in the quarter ended February this year. Brazil has been the largest producer of coffee for the last 150 years. Can they fix the problems? Their economy has not been growing since 2014.

The Brazilians economy shrank 2,5 percent YoY in the fourth quarter of 2016. GDP has been negative for eleven straight quarters and they face a sharp drop in both household consumption and fixed investment.

You can clearly see how bad economy are going hand in hand with crime and frustration. Everybody blame each other for everything and politicians are always a target.

A jump in their auto sales is music in samba ears.

 

 

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Olympic Games starts in Brazil while the GDP is declining

The Olympic Games starts today and will last until 21 August 2016, and the host is Rio de Janeiro. A beautiful place on earth, but if you ask some people there, they have another view. They are against it.

Hundreds of demonstrators demonstrated earlier on Friday, and blocked roads in Copacabana. They protested against the government and the cost of hosting the event. Nothing has obviously changed since last time I wrote about Brazil during the World Cup in 2014.

 

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People were angry at that time and so is it now. They feel angry because they belive the Brazilian government should spend money on other things than World Cup and now Olympic Games. Brazil still have serious problems with crime.

Brazil still has above-average levels of violent crime and particularly high levels of gun violence and homicide. WHO estimated the number of 32 deaths per 100,000 inhabitants, which is one of the highest rates of international homicide of the world.

There are differences between the crime rates in the Brazilian states. While in Sao Paulo the homicide rate registered in 2013 was 10,8 deaths per 100,000 inhabitants, in Alagoas it was 64,7 homicides per 100,000 inhabitants.

Brazil also has high level of incarceration and the third largest prison population in the world (behind only China and the United States), with an estimated total of approximately 700,000 prisoners around the country (June 2014), an increase of about 300% compared to the index registered in 1992.

Brazil is the largest country in both South America and Latin America. As the world`s fifth-largest country by both area and population, it is the largest country to have Portuguese.

Brazil was inhabited by numerous tribal nations prior to the landing on 1500 of explorer Pedro Alvares Cabral, who claimed the area for the Portuguese Empire. Brazil remained a Portuguese colony until 1808, when the capital of the empire was transferred from Lisbon to Rio de Janeiro.

In 1815, the colony was elevated to the rank of kingdom upon the formation of the United Kingdom of Portugal, Brazil and the Algarves. Independence was achieved in 1822 with the creation of the Empire of Brazil, a unitary state governed under a constitutional monarchy and a parliamentary system.

The ratification of the first constitution in 1824 led to the formation of a bicameral legislature, now called the National Congress. The country became a presidential republic in 1889 following a military coup dètat.

An authoritarian military junta came to power in 1964 and ruled until 1985, after which civilian governance resumed. Brazil`s current constitution, formulated in 1988, defines it as a democratic federal republic.

The federation is composed of the union of the Federal District, the 26 states, and the 5,570 municipalities.

(PPP) as of 2015. A member of the BRICS group, Brazil until 2010 had one of the world`s fastest growing economies, with its economic reforms giving the country new international recognition and influence.

Brazils national development bank plays an important role for the countrys economic growth.

The country has been the largest producer of coffee for the last 150 years.

 

 

 

GDP-Brazil

 

 

Now, things have turned upside down, and it has been a sharp and quick drop for the Brazilian economy and for Ms Dilma Rousseff. Brazil`s economic woes started in 2011, when China began to decelerate and Brazilian commodities began losing value.

Brazil`s GDP YoY is -5,40%, and their Interest rate is 14,25% with a jobless rate of 11,30%.

There is something strange here.

Argentina and Venezuela is not far away from Brazil, and if we scrutinize the numbers we can see that they have something in common. The Interest rate and Inflation rate is very high.

In Brazil, the Interest rate is 14,25%, but in Venezuela, the Interest rate is 21,36%. In Argentina; 30,25%. Not only that. Take a look at the Inflation rate; in Argentina it is 40,50%, but in Venezuela it is 180,90%. Can you belive that? The Inflation rate in Venezuela is 180,90%! Wow.

Its not so bad for the growth in Argentina, but Venezuela is in same boat as Brazil when it comes to growth. GDP in Brazil is -5,40% and in Venezuela it is -7,10%. Argentinas GDP YoY is 0,49%. Not much, but they`re on the right side.

By comparison; Chinas GDP is 6,70%, and Indias GDP is 7,90%.

It went wrong for both Brazil and Venezuela, but this can also happen in your country. Remember that.

 

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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Brazil and World Cup 2014

Now it is time for some action in Brazil. The opening match is between Brazil and Kroatia later on today. I will watch this match from Sâo Paulo live today and I think the pressure is on Brazil and their new superstar Neymar.

Brazil`s GDP is 4,3% in 2014. In 2010 their GDP was 7,53%, and that`s pretty good. Despite that growth, many people in Brazil is poor. Brazil ranks 49,3 in the Gini coefficient index, with the richest 10% of Brazilians receiving 42,7% of the nation`s income, while the poorest 34% receive less than 1,2%!

Brazil has serious problems with crime and roughly 23,8 homicides per 100,000 residents, muggings, robberies, kidnappings and gang violence are common. Police brutality and corruption are widespread.

We will probably not see much of Brazil`s slums on TV during the World Cup 2014. Poverty in Brazil is most visually represented by the various favelas, slums in the country`s metropolitan areas and remote upcountry regions that suffer with economic underdevelopment and below-par standards of living. Many people in Brazil feel angry about the World Cup 2014, as they belive the Brazilian government should spend money on other things that a World Cup.

This is the dark side of Brazil right now. Brazil has a huge business opportunity, and are among the favorite country`s in the Emerging Markets sector. Let`s see the bright side and sing along with Pitbull ft. Jennifer Lopez and Claudia Leitte and their hit song: WE ARE ONE!

Let`s talk about soccer. The dominant system in 2010 and 2012 was 4-2-3-1, and this will probably be the most utilised formation this time around too. There is a decent amount of variety across the 32 teams, and not everyone will deploy a four-man defence.

Jurgen Klinsmann has been experimenting with a diamond midfield system in order to get the best from the USA`s rampaging central midfielder Michael Bradley. Italy`s Cesare Prandelli could also use a diamond, or a 3-5-2 system, as the Italians remain the masters of tactical unpredictability. USA could be one of the most tactically distinct sides, with the use of a diamond.

Brazil`s Fred scored five goals in five games at the Confederations Cup last year. His role in Luiz Felipe Scolari`s side is to win aerial battles, hold up the ball and create space for Neymar, who cuts inside from the left. Neymar is Brazil`s new superstar and I really look forward to see him live on TV direct from Sâo Paulo later on today.

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