Category Archives: Politics

At the head of a youthful movement, En Marche!, Macron wants to “re-forge France`s politics, culture, and ideology”

People in France voted on Sunday and Macron is the winner with Le Pen as a strong nr 2. Both are the winners in the first round of the election, and the winner in the second round will be the next President of France.

How in the world is it possible that two outsiders are the biggest winners? Macron is only 39 years old and no longer a member of a political party. Wow. He was unknown barely two years ago. Never elected and he defines himself as neither left or right. And he can be the next President of France?

 

 

There is no doubt. People have spoken very clearly. The want a change. Something different. Something new, and that`s exactly what Macron is. Not something from the same old stuff. He is something new. Not ordinary politicians.

Former President Barack Obama`s slogan was back then «Yes we can», «Change versus more of the same», Vote for change, Change we can believe in, Stand for change, and the list goes on. People voted for Obama because people wanted change. Not only that; he was the first black President.

The same can be said about President Donald Trump. People voted for a human being. Not a politician. It seems like people don`t trust them anymore. They wanted something new in the U.S. So is it in France at the moment.

Macron like to present himself as the energetic outsider. So is it with Donald Trump. He often talks about energy. Macron also determined to break what he calls the «complacency and vacuity» of the French political system.

At the head of a youthful movement, En Marche!, Macron wants to “re-forge France`s politics, culture, and ideology”.

Economically, Macron is liberal and pro-business, and he says he is «of the left», but keen to unite people from across the spectrum, including the right. In the hands of a political establishment interested only in self-preservation, he has said, the system «has ceased to protect those it should protect».

Macron studied philosophy, is the son of a doctor and a neurology professor. He bought himself out of his government contract and joined Rothschild & Co, reportedly making around €2m as a thrusting young investment banker, before being appointed a senior adviser by President Francois Hollande in 2012 and two years later economic minister.

Macron resigned in summertime 2016 and launched his campaign in November. Only six months later, he is on the way to Elysèe Palace.

France has been struggling for a long time now with a high degree of inequalities, unemployment, and ongoing terror threat. What is all this compared to the French Revolution I wrote about one year ago? Macron and Le Pen are not left or right candidates and the established parties of left and right are out of the game.

The established parties are humiliated for modern French party politics of left and right.

People need to vote again in two weeks time, and Macron or Le Pen will be the next President of France. It`s up to the people in France on 7 May.

France is a beautiful country, but have a lot of trouble like inequality, unemployment, social divisions, and terrorism.

They also have a ruling elite with a strong sense of entitlement. Le Pen wants to get out of the European Union, so Macron is the only way to open up to the change of progressive, liberal and pro-European reform in France. So, this is not only about France, but also about Europe and the European Union.

People in France still have a job to do and they must finish the revolution that has been going on for a while now.

 

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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LIVE STREAM: President Donald Trump Holds a Joint Press Conference with Prime Minister of Italy Paolo Gentiloni

LIVE STREAM: President Donald Trump Holds a Joint Press Conference with Prime Minister of Italy Paolo Gentiloni

All times Eastern
Live stream of White House briefing at 2:00 pm

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Brazil`s Auto Sales jumped 39,4 percent to 189 vehicles last month

Brazil has been struggling for a while now. First of all with Dilma Rousseff and her corruption scandal involving the state-controlled oil company Petrobras. All this on top af a terrible recession. Since the Workers’ Party came to power in 2003, there has been a series of corruption scandals in Brazil.

Operation Car Wash has uncovered a widening corruption scandal with dozens of political accused of paying or receiving kickbacks. Former President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has been named in connection with the investigation. Let`s take a look at some positive things in Brazil right now.

Auto sales in Brazil jumped 39,4 percent to 189 vehicles last month. Sales rebounded for passenger cars (39 percent vs -8 percent in February). Compared to a year ago, auto sales fell 5,6 percent. Brazil had an all-time high of 420 thousand in 2012.

 

 

Brazil had an all-time high trade surplus in March this year. Brazil recorded a USD 7,145 million trade surplus, which is higher than a USD 4,435 million surpluses in 2016. Exports jumped 25,6 percent YoY and imports rose at a slower 11,9 percent.

Inflation in Brazil is also going the right direction. It rose by 4,76 percent in the year to February 2017, which is down from an increase of 5,35 percent in previous month. It`s also lower than a year ago at 9,39 percent.

Brazil is the largest country in both South America and Latin America. Its the worlds fifth largest country by both area and population of 200,4 million citizens. Unfortunately, the unemployment rate is going the wrong direction.

It reached an all-time high of 13,2 percent in the quarter ended February this year. Brazil has been the largest producer of coffee for the last 150 years. Can they fix the problems? Their economy has not been growing since 2014.

The Brazilians economy shrank 2,5 percent YoY in the fourth quarter of 2016. GDP has been negative for eleven straight quarters and they face a sharp drop in both household consumption and fixed investment.

You can clearly see how bad economy are going hand in hand with crime and frustration. Everybody blame each other for everything and politicians are always a target.

A jump in their auto sales is music in samba ears.

 

 

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Political turmoil in South Africa are downgrading their economy to Junk status

The rand is declining and people in South Africa want President Jacob Zuma to resign. South Africa are in its worst political crisis in a decade, and the economy is growing at the slowest pace since the 2009 recession.

Africa`s former President Kgalema Motlanthe also wants President Jacob Zuma to resign, joining calls by the African National Congress’ (ANC) ally in government the South African Communist Party.

ANC came to power under Nelson Mandela.

 

 

Yesterday, SP Global Ratings downgraded South Africa`s sovereign credit rating to BB+ grade, saying that the recent firing of the internationally respected finance minister posed a risk fiscal policy.

S&P downgraded South Africa to junk. Another rating agency, Moody`s, which has South Africa two notches above «junk» status, are planning to deliver a review on Friday. Fitch is in the middle with only one, which means three different views.

The agency said the outlook is very «negative» claiming it is a political risk that will remain elevated for the rest of this year. We also might see political shifts that would undermine fiscal and economic growth outcomes more than the agency projects.

The rand plummeted right after President Jacob Zuma fired his well-respected finance minister Pravin Gordhan last week during an overnight Cabinet shuffle. The rand plummeted about 5 percent in the aftermath.

President Jacob Zuma has survived several no-confidence votes in recent years, and some analysts say they belive the no-confidence vote is unlikely to pass.

It`s a 400-member parliament in Africa, and the ANC commands a strong majority in the parliament with 249 seats. The opposition must have at least 50 votes in favor by ANC politicians for a no-confidence vote to pass.

Investors want a bigger premium over Treasuries to hold South African dollar-denominated debt than Russia or Brazil. Both are junk credits.

 

 

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

 

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Greek`s productivity was higher than China`s

Greece is considered the cradle of Western civilization, being the birthplace of democracy, Western philosophy, the Olympic Games and mathematical principles to name a few. They were annexed by Rome in the second century BC, becoming an integral part of the Roman Empire and its successor, the Byzantine Empire.

The Greek Orthodox Church also shaped modern Greek identity and transmitted Greek traditions to the wider Orthodox World. Falling under Ottoman dominion in the mid-15th century, the modern nation-state of Greece emerged in 1830 following a war of independence.

 

 

Most of mainland Greece and the Aegean islands was under Ottoman control by the end of the 15th century. The only part of the Greek-speaking world that escaped long-term Ottoman rule was the Ionian islands, which Venetian until their capture by the First French Republic in 1797, then passed to the United Kingdom in 1809 until their unification with Greece in 1864.

While some Greeks in the Ionian islands and Constantinople lived in prosperity, and Greeks of Constantinople achieved positions of power within the Ottoman administration, much of the population of mainland Greece suffered the economic consequences of the Ottoman conquest.

Heavy taxes were enforced, and in later years the Ottoman Empire enacted a policy of creation of hereditary estates, effectively turning the rural Greek population into serfs (status of many peasants under feudalism).

The decline of serfdom in Western Europe has sometimes been attributed to the Black death, which reached Europe in 1347. Tibet is described by Melvyn Goldstein to have had serfdom until 1959, and the United Nations 1956 supplementary Convention on the Abolition of Slavery also prohibits serfdom as a form of slavery.

The Nazis destroyed Greece during the World War II. There were 80 000 jews in Greece at that time and nearly everyone was killed. Now it is about 5 000 left. The Nazis burned Greeks houses and about 1 000 000 were homeless. The U.S Marshall plan gave Greece a boost after WWII and the economy started to grow again.

Its strange because most Western philosophical traditions began in Ancient Greece in the 6th century BC. So, how could the Greeks democracy fail, and why are they in trouble right now?

Their productivity was sky-high only a few years ago. In 2003, the GDP was higher than China`s GDP right now. Greece GDP in 2003 was at an all-time high of 6,80 which is impressive. Now, the picture is very different. GDP is down -1,1 percent.

Greece is the anti-austerity country with a lot of problems after six years of deep recession. Household consumption is the main component of GDP and accounts for 72 percent of its total use. Exports of goods and services account for 33 percent, while imports account for 35 percent.

Many of the Greek citizens claim that they got problems after joining the European Union in 2001. In 2007, right before the financial crisis, GDP per capita reached an all-time high of 30056,68, but now it has declined to 22573,42 US dollars.

The Anti-Austerity country is also seeing their own wages falling. Wages in Greece decreased to 1092,01 EUR per month in April last year. The good news is that the Unemployment rate is down to 23,1 in December last year, which is much better than their all-time high of 27,90 in July of 2013.

Data shows growth for the year proves the economy is performing better than expected and that no more austerity measures are needed. A Greek spokesman said the government won`t pass one more euro of extra austerity measure.

The European Commission expect the Greek economy to expand 2,7 percent this year and 3,1 percent in 2018. Uncertainty over completion of the current bailout review poses a downside risk to those forecasts, the Commission said.

In a big picture, what we face in Greece now is just a part of an evolution.

 

 

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

 

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