Tag Archives: Gross domestic product

Consumer Confidence is declining

It is thanksgiving week and this week is usually a low volume week. Traders are off enjoying the extended holiday, and if something moves, it will move monday and Tuesday. Since we are at the all time high, maybe some people are thinking profit taking?

Consumer confidence is declining. This gives us an idea about the consumer spending in the U.S economy. If people don`t feel great about their own economy, they will not spend so much money. It is just that simple.

I wrote about Apple and their new products and they really need to do it well in Q4. If people don`t have money to spend, they will not buy any Apple products like phones, tablets or other innovative products. They will rather keep what they have and cut back on their discretionary spending.

If people don`t spend money this holiday season, companies will not earn so much money and the stock prices will not go up. Nor the GDP (gross domestic product) will go up.

What really drives the U.S economy are suggesting there isn`t much light at the end of the tunnel. What about the so-called economic recovery we have seen since the financial crises? Does it work?

Gold is trading at $1231,50. Down -1,01%. As long as the inflation is low, the gold will continue to decline. People expect hyper inflation, but Janet Yellen are fighting against deflation. News today: Pending Home Sales at 10:00am.

 um-consumer-sentiment-through-november-2013

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Emerging markets

It`s all green and it`s all up in the European markets today. It`s mixed in Asia. Today, everyone has their eyes on the Twitter IPO. A very risky investment for investors right now. You all know what went wrong with Facebook. Twitter is about 50% more risky than Facebook.

Befor the Twitter IPO I will write about the Emerging Markets. Three new investment opportunities today:

Turkey

GDP growth, 2013 to 2017: 21.2%.

Inflation rate: 5.4%.

Government debt as % of GDP: 36.3.

Thailand

GDP growth, 2013 to 2017: 25.9%.

Inflation rate: 2.7%.

Government debt as % of GDP: 49.4.

South Korea

GDP growth, 2013 to 2017: 22.9%.

Inflation rate: 2.9%.

Government debt as % of GDP: 27.3.

South Korea, together with Mexico and Czech Republic are among the most attractive countries. That`s because they are less reliant on foreign finance. That`s good news for investors because they don`t know what`s gonna happen in Capitol Hill and the White house.

Some of the nations in the EM`s will see more capital outflows in the next months as the investors starts to break it down to good EM`s and bad EM`s. The prospect of the Fed reducing its stimulus is a “persistent” external risk, South Korea Finance Minister Hyun Oh Seok said.

I look forward to write about Twitter tomorrow. A risky stock, and I am just waching the trading session now. News today: Crude oil inventories at 10:30am. Forecast: 1,7M.

emerging-markets-sign

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Filed under Emerging markets