US and EU boycotted SPIEF, but Putin will talk about it in a major speech on Friday

Russian Davos started yesterday, and Ushakov said high-level delegations from more than 40 nations were expected to come. 1,244 Russian and 265 foreign companies had confirmed they would be there, including China. Companies from US and EU were not on the list for the SPIEF.

The St.Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF) is an annual Russian business event for the economic sector, which has been held in St.Petersburg since 1997, and under the auspices of the Russian President since 2005. They celebrate their 25th anniversary this year.

Each year, more than 10,000 people from over 120 different countries take part. The Forum brings together the chief executives of major Russian and international companies, heads of state, political leaders, prime ministers, deputy prime ministers, departmental ministers, and governors.

The key purpose of the Forum is to provide a practical tool for business, helping to overcome geographical and informational barriers dividing Russia and other countries. But the global financial elite has boycotted Russia and SPIEF, and isolated Moscow with sanctions over Russia`s actions in Ukraine.

The head of the American Chamber of Commerce in Russia along with French and Italian counterparts will speak at a session on Thursday called «Western Investors in Russia: New Reality.»

President Vladimir Putin will give a major speech on Friday. This is a speech we should pay attention to. He will be focusing on the international economic situation and Russia`s tasks in the near future, Yuri Ushakov said.

McDonald`s is out of business in Russia, and other Western companies are doing the same, while domestic corporations are rushing to take over businesses that are left behind in Russia. As we can see; globalization, as we know it, has ended.

New world order is on the way, with new opportunities in a new world.

I bet Putin will talk about that in his speech on Friday. A new way for Russia to make growth. The war seems to make the relationship with China better, but also the relationship with BRIC countries.

SWIFT banned Russia, but the Central Bank of Russia made its own, called SPFS (System for Transfer of Financial Messages). Russian equivalent of the SWIFT financial transfer system.

China did the same. They developed CIPS (Cros-Border Interbank Payment System), which processes payments in Chinese yuan. It has the potential to replace SWIFT.

The SWIFT ban on Russia has boosted the development of the non-US dollar and non-SWIFT transactions, including CIPS. It has also stimulated the e-yuan, which is China`s official digital currency. The development of the e-yuan is also a catalyst for CHIPS, and both will play an important role in the internationalization of the Chinese currency.

As we can see, Russia, China, and BRIC countries are on the way to developing their own system. If this continues, we will probably end up with two blocs; The West, and the rest.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shinybull.com. The author has made every effort to ensure the accuracy of the information provided; however, neither Shinybull.com nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities, or other financial instruments. Shinybull.com and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Hawkish Fed can make the biggest rate hike in 28 years on Wednesday

Investors don`t like higher rates. Normally, the higher the rates go the lower the stock market goes. The Fed needs to do something with the inflation, and raising rates is a tool they use, and this year they seem to be very aggressive.

In March, the Fed raised the fed-funds rate by a quarter of a percentage point, and that was the first increase in three years. Two months later, they raised the rates by another half-point. The Federal Open Market Committee has a meeting on Tuesday and Wednesday this week, so what now?

Experts claim the rate hike can be 50 points, but it can also go to 0,75% or as much as 1,00%

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Nasdaq is already in a recession, and S&P 500 jumped into that territory a few days ago. Investors fear the Fed will be more aggressive than expected, as they are opting for the first three-quarter-point increase in the Fed-funds rate since 1994. That was 28 years ago.

Raising the rate 75 points or more is not what we often see, and the last time we saw that happen was in November 1994. The Fed hiked rates many times that year to try to fix the inflation. The problem for the Fed is that if they raise the rates too much and too fast, a recession can occur.

The Fed will look at Unemployment, GDP, and inflation. So, where do we go from here? The Fed Funds futures are now at a rate of 3,05% for December 2022, and it will peak at 3,65% for July 2023. As you can see, there is more hawkish Fed to come.

Will the Fed sacrifice employment and growth to bring down inflation? The higher the rate is, the more expensive the money is for borrowers. This means that people will save more as they borrow less. That can lead to slower growth and lower prices and inflation.

The risk here is that this will lead to a recession. Corporations’ earnings will fall, and so can the stock market. Let`s listen to FOMC and Powell on Wednesday.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shinybull.com. The author has made every effort to ensure the accuracy of the information provided; however, neither Shinybull.com nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities, or other financial instruments. Shinybull.com and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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McDonald`s new name is Vkusno & Tochka

Historians do not fully agree on the starting and end of the «cold war», but the period is generally considered to span from the announcement of the Truman Doctrine on 12 March 1947 to the dissolution of the Soviet Union on 26 December 1991.

At the end of the cold war, corporations rushed into Russia and opened their businesses, and one of them was McDonald`s. They opened their first restaurant in Pushkin Square in Moscow on January 31, 1990. The same day they opened, thousands were lined up to try the new tasty burgers. And that ladies and gentlemen were synonymous with Capitalism, and its arrival symbolized Soviet Union`s impending demise. On May 16, 2022, McDonald`s announced that it was leaving Russia.

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Now, McDonald`s is selling all of its 850 restaurants in Russia after Vladimir Putin invaded Ukraine. After 80 years of socialism, people in Russia rushed to McDonald`s and the American culture. The new Western way of eating. But now people in Russia rush to the new Russian burgers at the new Russian fast-food chain called Vkusno & Tochka, which means «tasty and that`s it».

Founded by businessman Alexander Govor, who acquired all the restaurants for an undisclosed sum. But he said he paid «far lower than market price.» Govor has been a McDonald`s franchisee since 2015 when he agreed to open 20 restaurants through his business GiD LLC.

Govor also made a lot of money in mining and oil refining in Siberia. He made his wealth in the coal business as co-owner of the coal mining company Yuzhkuzbassugol, in his hometown of Novokuznetsk. He bought the mine together with Evraz during liberalization in the 1990s under President Boris Yeltsin.

Evraz bought out Govor from the company, and one of the owners is Russian billionaire Roman Abramovich (Chelsea FC).

When McDonald`s opened their first restaurant in Russia, it had this slogan: «If you can`t go to America, come to McDonald`s in Moscow.» That slogan is over and out, and in comes Vkusno & Tochka`s new slogan; «The name changes – love stays».

Most of the things in the restaurants are similar to McDonald`s. The same quality, and taste. The same equipment and the same double cheeseburgers. The difference is that most of the money goes to Russia. Not America anymore.

Many people in Russia wanted to take part in the opening of the new fast-food chain, and the rebranding marked a new era in Russia on Sunday last week. The last big mac has finally left Russia.

Govor will pay about 60,000 Russian McDonald`s employees for the next two years, according to the agreement with McDonald`s. In the same agreement, he also agreed to pay suppliers and landlords.

Govor`s company will invest 7 billion rubles ($125 million) into the new business in 2022.

By the way: McDonald`s has the right to buy back its restaurants within 15 years, but «they made it clear to me that they would not buy back», Govor said. Really?

The S&P 500 plummeted -by 3,88% on Monday, but shares of Mcdonald’s outperformed the market, jumped +0,39% and closed «only» $32 below its 52-week high at $271,15.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shinybull.com. The author has made every effort to ensure the accuracy of the information provided; however, neither Shinybull.com nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities, or other financial instruments. Shinybull.com and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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The bear is here

This is a warning. 3810 is a very critical level at the S&P 500, and futures are down more than 2% today. We`re flirting with a support level of around 3,900, but the real panic can set in at around 34,000. What is that supposed to mean? It means that the S&P 500 will go down in a bear market. And that is a sign of stocks that are going down in value.

Since 1928 and the big stock market crash, the S&P 500 has plummeted into a bear market 26 times. A bear market is where the market is down more than 20% or more than that in a two-month period.

Not only that. A bear market can also be part of a recession where the economy has high unemployment and negative GDP output.

The average decline in a bear market was 35,6% since 1928, and the average length of time was 289 days.

Again; this is a very critical level.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shinybull.com. The author has made every effort to ensure the accuracy of the information provided; however, neither Shinybull.com nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities, or other financial instruments. Shinybull.com and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Financial dissatisfaction hits a 50-year high in the United States of America

President Joe Biden tweeted this on Monday: «At the time I took office about 16 months ago, the economy had stalled and COVID was out of control. Today, thanks to the economic plan and the vaccination plan that my Administration put into action, America has achieved the most robust recovery in modern history.»

At the same time, we see that 83% of Americans describe the state of the economy as poor or not so good, according to a poll by Wall Street Journal. Biden`s poll numbers are also below those of Donald Trump. Not only that.

Another poll shows that 35% of Americans are not satisfied with their financial situation, which is the worst result in 50 years.

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Biden often said that Trump was the worst president in history and an existential threat to the nation`s democracy. I wonder what he is saying about himself right now? It must be a bitter pill for an anti-Trump politician like Biden to be outclassed by the 45th president.

On April 2, Biden`s approval rating was 40% while Trump`s was at 50% the same day in 2018. Instead of gaslighting voters, Biden should clean up the messes and fix the inflation asap.

Trump`s vision was lower taxes, but president Joe Biden turned that upside down. People are paying more tax under Biden, than under Trump. On top of that, people must pay more money for their products, which is a hidden tax and makes people`s money less valuable.

Higher gas prices are good for oil companies but very bad for people and the economy. In the long run, it could kill the economy, and today, gas prices in the U.S hit a new record high of $4,91 a gallon (average price). In California, the price is $6,37 a gallon. People don`t like it, but Biden says everything is fine.

Something must be wrong here because there is a huge disconnect between president Biden and the people. And that isn`t good for the democrats at all. If this continues, GOP can win big in the mid-term election in November.

Another poll shows that the GOP is in the best midterm position in 80 years (2 pts lead), according to CNN.

Not even Liberal Media is ignoring Biden`s crisis anymore. They are also lukewarm on his potential second term.

Earlier today, Biden tweeted this: «The fact is America is in a stronger economic position today than just about any other country in the world. Independent experts have even projected that the U.S economy could grow faster than China`s economy this year. That hasn`t happened since 1976».

People`s lives are worse under Biden than under Trump. But people voted for Biden. They asked for it. They got what they asked for. Higher taxes, and inflation. President Joe Biden is the most popular president in U.S history. He got more votes than Obama and Clinton.

On the day he was inaugurated, Biden said; «Today, we celebrate the triumph not of a candidate, but of cause, the cause of democracy. The will of the people has been heard and the will of the people has been heeded.»

The love for Joe Biden was huge in the Hate Trump Media, on the day Biden was inaugurated. «The reason Biden has to do this is that he`s just so incredibly popular,» Don Lemon said on CNN at that time. «The lights from Lincoln Memorial were like Joe Biden`s arms stretching out to all American,» CNN said.

Axios said at that time in January 2021, Biden is charting an economic policy that was visible to the left of Bill Clinton and Barrack Obama. Biden proposed a $1,9 trillion economic stimulus plan and a $15 minimum wage at that time, and employers, employees, and economists warned it will kill millions of jobs.

We are living in times with a lot of challenges, and more trouble is on the way. Famine is probably the most serious one. Chairman and Chief Executive of JPMorgan Chase & Co, Jamie Dimon, said a few days ago that we all must brace for U.S economic «hurricane» due to inflation. Earlier he said storm clouds looming over the U.S economy, but he has changed the rhetoric.

Right now, it`s kind of sunny, and things are doing fine, but the hurricane is right out there down the road coming our way, Dimon said. We just don`t know if it`s a minor one or Superstorm Sandy, he added.

The Fed is under pressure with inflation that is more than three times its 2% target, and that has caused a jump in the cost of living for Americans. It faces the difficult task of dampening demand enough to curb inflation while not causing a recession.

Dimon urged the Fed to take forceful measures to avoid tipping the world`s biggest economy into a recession.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shinybull.com. The author has made every effort to ensure the accuracy of the information provided; however, neither Shinybull.com nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities, or other financial instruments. Shinybull.com and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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