Tag Archives: Earnings

The king of social media is still Facebook with its 2 billion user base and Snapchat need growth

There is not doubt that the king of social media is still Facebook. But Facebook is not only Facebook. In addition, you have Instagram, WhatsApp and Messenger which means that Facebook accounts for four of world`s largest social media and messaging services.

But what about Snapchat? The stock has declined since it went public and the value of the company is only half of what it was from start. Not only that; Snapchat is far away from its competitors when it comes to MAU`s.

Snapchat has problems. The company is not growing and that will in the long run affect the workers. Some will be frustrated and quit, and that`s the fact right now. The company is laying off employees in one of its most important divisions.

Snap lost high-level executives last year and one of them was Tom Conrad who came from Pandora to join Snap back in March 2016 where he was the music-streaming company`s chief technology officer.

Engineering chief Tim Sehn was resigning the same day that Snap reported dismal third-quarter earnings results. The stock fell more than 5% in one single day when the company announced that their vice president of product is leaving Snap.

On top of that, their competitor Twitter announced they were working on a Snapchat-like video sharing app to compete with Snapchat. Having competitors like Twitter and Facebook with the same core business in a market like it is today is heavy.

So far in their short-lived life, they have faced a lot of challenges. Having executives leaving the company in early stage is one thing, but their redesign has also been negative, and the feedback from their own customers have so far been very negative.

Snaps redesign has made it harder for people to view Stories and that means fewer Snap Ad impressions. Snapchat has «only» 178 million MAUs and thats far away from the social media king. In comparison; Twitter have 330 million MAUs and Pinterest have 200 million.

Snap developed a self-serve platform for buying Snap Ads and that resulted in lower average ad prices. Marketers can now bid what they see as fair value for Snap Ads. At the time when Snap announced the app redesign, Spiegel said, «There is a strong likelihood that the redesign of our application will be disruptive to our business in the short-term.»

Facebook`s giant user base of more than 2 billion enables it to fend off any competition. They continue to expand in North America, Europe and Asia and the rest of the world, so future are still looking bright.

Facebook is set to report fourth-quarter 2017 results on January 31, 2018, and the strength in online and mobile advertising revenues, in addition to expanding Instagram user base will drive top-line and earnings growth.

Snap is expected to report earnings on February 6, 2018 after market close. Earnings forecast for fiscal quarter ending December 2017 is $-0,33.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Twitter earnings

Twitter will report earnings after the market close tomorrow, February 5th, 2015. The stock is down since the market correction in october last year. Down about 40%. Investors are concerned about slower growth, and estimates are as low as they`ve ever been compared to the Wall Street consensus.

The estimates this time will come in-line with Wall Street expectations, rather than beat by a few cents per share as investors have gotten used to. Last quarter was not a good one for Twitter. The stock dropped down -13% as Twitter posted an earnings miss against the investors. They disappointed with MAU`s guidance.

twitter logo bird

It`s very important for a company like Twitter to have a lot of followers being active, and Twitter had 284 million monthly user accounts at the end of the third quarter. That`s 23% up year over year. By comparison, Facebook had 1,39 billion monthly active users (Q4). That`s an increase of 13%.

User activity is more important than billions of users on your platform. How many have a Facebook account, but don`t use it? This is why MAU is so important. Timeline views increased 14% YoY, but timeline views per MAU`s fell 7% last quarter, and that doesn`t matter so much as investors will watch the interaction between active users and timeline views.

Twitter are focusing more on «ad revenues per thousand timeline views» as others have different measures like revenue per user. Target marketing can be easier on Twitter than Facebook as the platform is for the pro`s, and it will be difficult to compare Facebook and Twitter on this case.

Facebook will have more appeal for the masses than Twitter. Twitter is better used for news and financial services and I`m in doubt that Twitter can build a mainstream platform like Facebook did over years. Expectations for Twitter is probably too high?

Twitter traded at $30 last summer and that`s close to its IPO price, but it have bounced and look like a growth stock right now.

Timeline views is $4,28 in the U.S and $0,84 outside the U.S, and advertising revenues per thousand timeline views increased by 83% YoY on Q3. It came in at $1,77.

The caution in the estimates this time may be a positive for Twitter than it were for Facebook last week. Small earnings beat could be a catalyst to the upside. Investors are looking for 88% revenue growth this quarter which is down from the triple digit gains Twitter has posted since its IPO. Earnings are expected to come in at 6 cents per share, which is all time high.

Twitter, tomorrow after the market close, February 5th, 2015.

 

 


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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Tech Rally today

Nasdaq had a bad day yesterday and slid -1,89%, but the major index is the only one that is in positive territory for the year. One of the biggest losers on Nasdaq yesterday was Microsoft. Down -9,25%.

Microsoft reported earnings of 72 cents per share on $26,47 billion in revenue for the second fiscal quarter, but the revenue was better than analysts estimations. The negative is the weaker than expected Windows non-Pro revenues which is down -13% YoY, and the commercial license declined 2%.

msft

(Picture: Microsoft down -9,25%)

CEO Satya Nadella said it doesn`t take much longer time to successfully transition from a licensing sales focused firm into a software as a service firm. Microsoft`s cloud business doubled and came in on $5,5 billion i sales. Xbox sales fell to 6,6 million units (from 7,4 million) in sales.

Caterpillar was another big company that slid yesterday. Down -7,18%. The company delivered a shockingly weak outlook for this year and investors got scared. It seems like Caterpillar is in big trouble.

Analysts expected earnings of $1,55 a share but it fell about 20%, landing on $1,23 a share. Its Q4 operating profit slumped 27% YoY. Lower oil prices is negative for their construction business. Caterpillar lowered its 2015 sales expectations for mining and construction equipment, and that was not music in investors ears.

Good news is coming later today. First of all; Alibaba is coming out with the second report as a public company. The Chinese e-commerce giant is expected to post a quarter of tremendous growth. EPS is expected to grow 39% YoY! It`s also expected a massive 48% improvement in YoY revenue!

It is expected to see Tmall and Taobao to deliver strong revenue momentum on the back of higher e-commerce penetration in China. Alibaba has an ongoing international expansion and the stock is up 3,3% in three months.

ATH is 119,15 which is from 10 November last year. The stock was down -1,01% yesterday, and there are some short interest in the stock right now. The opening trade is now $102,94. 52-week low is registered as $82,81. Outstanding shares are 2,465,006,000. The stock is priced richly with Alibaba`s market cap now over $250 billion, but the market is looking for huge surging numbers which could validate the company`S valuation.

Yahoo! Is set for a rally today, trading up about 8% AHT. The company is spinning off Yahoo`s $39 billion stake in Alibaba Group Holding. The anticipated decision announced yesterday will enable Yahoo to avoid paying billions of dollars in future taxes.

A newly formed entity called SpinCo will inherit ownership of the company`s 384 million shares in China`s Alibaba Group Holding when the tax-free spinoff is completed toward the end 2015. Owner of Yahoo shares will receive stocks in SpinCo, which is designed as an investment company.

The old giant is struggling to grow and the firm earned $166 million, or 17 cents per share. Down -52% from the same periode last year. Yahoo`s revenue dipped 1% to $1,25 billion, and investments in Alibaba and Yahoo Japan is the main reason Yahoo`s stock has more than trippled last years.

They have a 36 stake in Yahoo Japan, worth about $7 billion. The Alibaba investment is worth far more than their own online services, and their competitors like Facebook and Google have grabbed a big piece of the digital marketing budget.

Have a closer look at Apple today. The stock is also set for a rally. Up about 7% ATH. Revenue rose to $74,6 billion from $57,6 billion a year earlier. Profit of $18 billion is the biggest ever! Apple reported net profit of $18,02 billion, or $3,06 per diluted share, compared to $13,07 billion, or $2,07 per share a year earlier. Apple faced a clear headwind from a strong dollar.

 

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Investors expectations for Facebook is high

Facebook will report earnings for its 3rd quarter of the year after the closing bell today. They smashed the earnings estimates in July and the stock jumped 6,5% higher. The stock continues to rally after that, but have surged 14% in the past two weeks.

facebook logo

Last quarter Facebook reported earnings of 42 cents per share, while Wall Street was forecasting 33 cents. Everyone was surprised, but what now? Over the past year Wall Street has sandbagged its estimates 5 quarter in a row, and Estimize is more bullish on Facebook`s bottom line now, expecting the social media king`s EPS to beat the Street by 5 cents per share. Wall Street has left its earnings consensus flat.

It`s expected to see the company to grow by 57% at the top and 80% at the bottom line. A 57% YoY revenue increase would be down slightly. Average over the past year is 64%. An 80% EPS gain YoY is also below the average of 124%. Their growth is expected to break. $3 billion a quarter in sales makes it unprecedented to grow fast.

In the company`s previous earnings release Facebook reported 1,32 billion monthly users, and 1,07 billion monthly users on mobile. A huge number, but Zuckerberg have a plan to keep the profit piling g up.

They will increase the value of advertisements by improving data tracking, and with help from Atlas, Facebook will try to compete with Google, which is the master of data tracking and serving targeted advertisements which is gold for marketers worldwide.

Mark Zuckerberg want to offer best in the class mobile experience. At the beginning he was worried that the app was too difficult to manage. He was worried that the app was clunky on mobile, and trying to do too many things at once. So far it looks like his plan is paying off as Facebook is making a killing on mobile advertisements.

They will also try to expand the user base by connecting more people to the internet across the globe. When Zuckerberg outlined his goal to connect the world to the internet last summer, only 2,7 billion (1/3 population of the planet) had access to the internet. So far, they have done a great job to sign up new members as they have over 1 billion monthly users.

It`s easy to see why investors are so bullish on Facebook. The only point of concern might be that Facebook has performed so well over the past year that expectations have gotten ahead of themselves.

Facebook is up 47,4% YTD. Will they beat the Street this time?

 

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Earnings from Social Media stocks this week

This week is a big week for social media stocks. It all starts today, and we will be getting earnings release from Twitter (TWTR) after the bell today. Twitter kicks off the week for social media earnings today, followed by Facebook tomorrow.

twitter chart

(Picture: Twitter chart)

Twitter haven`t met analysts expectations on MAU`s (monthly active users) growth lately. With 271 million MAU`s they are focusing on product improvements to increase the amount of time users spend on their platform.

They launched their brand new Audio Cards this quarter which enables music and podcasts to be played directly on Twitter via Soundcloud.

The company has underperformed the Nasdaq and Facebook (FB), as analysts is disappointed at Twitters growth prospects and engagement levels. So far, they have posted strong sales growth but with disappointing earnings.

Analysts expect strong results from the social media giant after the bell today, and this brings up the big question; Is this a good time to invest in the tweeting giant?

It is expected to se a report revenue of $360 million, and if that is the fact, it will represent about 100% increase in sales vs same time last year.

It`s not easy to value early stage growth companies like Twitter, but investors will focus on earnings and revenue after the bell today. Some people are negative and expect EPS of $-0,27. Other say $0,01.

Last quarter, the stock gained 22% because revenue was $312 million compared to analysts estimate of $282 million. Some say the surge in performance last time was attributed to increased engagement and user activity because of the FIFA World Cup, and analysts belive that Twitter will not be able to follow with a similar performance.

Analysts I have talked to are forecasting earnings of 3 cents per share. Twitter has a great track record of beating the Street`s EPS consensus. Will they beat Wall Street this time?

 

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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