Tag Archives: Earnings

Home Depot is a quality stock and beats earnings time after time

Home Depot is expected to report earnings on Tuesday 20, before market open, and the report will be for the fiscal Quarter ending in July this year. The consensus EPS for the quarter is $3,08 and that`s a little bit higher than last year at the same at $3,05. The consensus revenue estimate is $31,01 Billion and that`s up 1,8 percent YoY.

This is a high quality stock and the rise from the financial crisis has been massiv. Home Depot has beaten EPS estimates 100 percent of the time over the last two years. Revenue estimates is beaten 75 percent of the time.

This is the holiday quarter for Home Depot. A different retailer than others that are struggling with e-commerce and malls. Do we see any recession here? Not at all. The consumers spend money at Home Depot and they can afford to do it because they have jobs and money. That puts the company in the same folder as Walmart.

Home Depot scheduled a conference call at 9 a.m Eastern time on Tuesday 20, 2019.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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43% of Morgan Stanley`s total revenue comes from wealthy individuals

You can clearly see how all the banks have different stories to tell, and the next bank to deliver earnings report on Thursday is Morgan Stanley. This is different from J.P.Morgan`s story. Morgan Stanley`s consensus EPS estimate is $1,16, which is -10,8% YoY.

The consensus Revenue Estimate is $10,02 Billion which is -5,6% YoY. 50% of Morgan Stanley`s total revenue comes from Institutional Securities. 43% of their total revenue comes from Wealth Management. 7% of total revenue is made from Investment Management.

There must be a lot of wealthy customers in Morgan Stanley`s portfolio, but wealthy induviduals is followed by financial services (brokerage, investment advisory, financial planning, insurance, securities-based loans etc) to medium-sized businesses and institutioons.

Morgan Stanley is headquartered at Broadway, Midtown Manhattan, New York and CEO James Gorman is not a big fan of Bitcoin, Libra or other crypto currencies. On Wednesday, we saw a Facebook hearings live from Capitol Hill and Mr Gorman is obviously not alone to be negative to crypto currencies.

In an interview with CNBC, he said “Psonally, I am not that exited about new exchanges for currencies or new forms of cryptocurrency. I`ve said this many times, an may be proven dead wrong about this. I don`t get it or see the need for another form of stored value. We have currencies and precious metals and reserve notes. Apparently, there`s a need there, right? But the fact that we are not in that doesn`t bother me at all,” Gorman said.

Fair value of the Morgan Stanley stock is about 20% higher than the current price. Citi upgraded Morgan Stanley to buy. Earning report will be released on Thursday before market open.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Bank of America is “too big to fail” and its cost-cutting strategy is in focus

Bank of America is the second-largest bank in the U.S, and the company is expected to post quarterly earnings on Wednesday before market open. Bank of America is expected to earn $0,76 per share and that`s five cents ahead of the Wall Street.

If this number holds it would be a 12,7% change YoY. Their revenue are expected to be $23,04 billion and that is a whopping 1,9% from the same quarter last year.

The bank have benefited huge from a roring U.S economy and most of the profits is coming from its consumer bank, but all major business segments have increased the profits. All this thanks to healthy loan and deposit growth.

Its net interest income growth have also risen thanks to rising interest rates. Like all other banks, Fed`s change in policy is negative for the bank and a cut in interest rate will decrease NII. Lower interest rate will also trigger a recession, but that`s another story. The Fed is extremely dovish and that in turn will make the banks forward return to decline the next months.

Bank of America is the second-largest bank of the four «too big to fail» money center banks, and its P/E is only 10,85 with a dividend yield of 2,04%. The bank has a streak of 12 conssecutive quarters of beating EPS estimates on the line. The focus this time is its cost-cutting strategy.

The chart for the bank showed a golden cross in late March this year, but that has not been a great signal so far. It remain to see the stock to go higher.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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JPMorgan Chase & Co will report earnings while we are entering a rate-cutting cycle

The banks are in focus this week as they will report earnings with JPMorgan Chase coming out with their report Tuesday morning before the open. JPMorgan has outperformed its peers and their growth has been 18% per year last three years.

Last two years, JPMorgan Chase has beaten Earnings Per Share estimates 100% of the time. They have also beaten revenue estimates 100% of the time.

Analysts expect JPMorgan to earn $2,50 per share in the second quarter on revenue of $28,91 billion. JPMorgan earned $2,22 in the second quarter last year.

JPMorgan is different from Well Fargo which is also reporting earnings on Tuesday. JPMorgan Chase has moved up over 10% over the past year while Wells Fargo has faced a lot of obstacles, inkluding lack of their own CEO.

The banking industry is scary to me at the moment, and the most dangerous bank in the world is in Europe. Dutche Bank has been a desaster for a long time and the company are on the edge. A collapse could send the whole world in a negative trend.

We are also entering a rate-cutting cycle which is not good for the banks either. The margins will shrink and the earnings will decline while the rates are falling and the spread between the rates on loans and the rates paid out on deposits shrinks.

Morgan Stanley and Citi both downgraded the industry as a whole because of this development with rates, but JPMorgan is still a favorite.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Snap`s self-serve ads is finally ready to launch, but the drawback here is sliding ad inventory prices

Snap Inc is set to report second-quarter earnings after the market closes on Tuesday August 7. Historically, the company makes big moves in the wake of its quarterly reports. The average single-day price swing is about 24 percent regardless of direction.

Both Facebook and Twitter faces a challenging time. So do Snap Inc. GDPR pushed Facebook`s user counts down compared with the first quarter and that will also impact Snap Inc. Snap is a small company compared to Facebook, and they will not deal with the same level of scrutiny from lawmakers as Facebook.

EPS in March 2017 came in at -$2,31, but have since then been far better with -$,030 a year later. Analysts on average project Snap second-quarter revenue of $250,4 million, up from $182 million in the same quarter last year.

Facebook have the same tools as Snap and that is hurting their profit. Their biggest competitor is also Instagram which makes it difficult for them to be unique. But Snap launched the second version of its Spectacles product, sunglasses that let people take photos and video and use them within the Snapchat app.

This is also the only move that live up to its claims in the SEC filings that Snap Inc is a camera company.

Snap`s self-serve ads is finally ready to launch, but the drawback here is sliding ad inventory prices. Not good in the short run because Snap have only 191 million DAU`s, an increase of 4 million from the Q4 but below estimates of 194 million.

The company has also struggled with the impact of a product redesign in February that was widely criticized. That didn`t help the stock price that crashed to a record low on May 2 after it reported first-quarter earnings.

They missed views on revenue, user growth and several other key metrics, and analysts slashed price targets. The IPO was held in March 2017, and pricing shares were $17. It went up 2,5 percent on Monday and ended the session at $13,05. The stock is down 11 percent in 2018.

Will Snap Inc take a hit from the implementation of Europe`s GDPR (General Data Protection Regulation)? The same types of issues that led to big declines for Facebook and Twitter.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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