Tag Archives: Earnings

by | January 28, 2020 · 4:00 am

Office 365 and Azure cloud-computing made Microsoft a winner and investors sent the stock up over 50% last year

Microsoft is expected to report earnings on Wednesday 29, and along with Apple, Amazon and Facebook, their earnings can make or break the stock market. Apple has gone straight up since January last year, followed by the Space X equity Tesla. Rocket-shared both of them.

Now, its time for Microsoft with shares risen nearly 20% since their last report on October last year. That`s more than twice as much as the S&P 500 which is impressive for that tech giant. Wall Street analysts predict that Microsoft will report $35,7 billion of revenue and earnings of $1,32 per share.

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Microsoft continue to benefit from their cloud business and in addition they have $20 billion annual buybacks/dividends. This is a major reason why they outperformed the market last year. Office 365 and Azure cloud-computing made the stock a winner and investors sent the stock up over 50% last year.

Consensus revenue estimate would represent 9,8% growth compared to the same quarter a year ago. Windows, search ads, Surface and gaming boosted the company`s revenue with $11,13 billion. Cloud computing service Azure and Windows Server, SQL Server, System Center, GitHub and consulting saw $10,85 billion in revenue.

Research firm CFRA estimates that revenue from cloud-based services hit 50% of total revenue in the company`s fiscal Q4, and investors are postive to Microsoft at the moment. The company changed its strategy and are competetive to Amazon in the cloud sector as well.

The stock declined to $162,28 per share on Tuesday, down -1,67%, but Microsoft is the most valuable U.S company after Apple which is number one on the list. Microsoft`s valuation after the drop on Tuesday is $1,24 trillion, while Apple is valued at $1,35 trillion.

Microsfot signed a military cloud contract with Pentagon worth $10 billion. They won the contract in October last year after a long battle with its competitors like Amazon, Oracle and IBM. Earnings strength is very strong and looks good for future earnings growth.

Microsoft is expected to report earnings on Wednesday 29 after the market close.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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by | August 19, 2019 · 7:33 pm

Home Depot is a quality stock and beats earnings time after time

Home Depot is expected to report earnings on Tuesday 20, before market open, and the report will be for the fiscal Quarter ending in July this year. The consensus EPS for the quarter is $3,08 and that`s a little bit higher than last year at the same at $3,05. The consensus revenue estimate is $31,01 Billion and that`s up 1,8 percent YoY.

This is a high quality stock and the rise from the financial crisis has been massiv. Home Depot has beaten EPS estimates 100 percent of the time over the last two years. Revenue estimates is beaten 75 percent of the time.

This is the holiday quarter for Home Depot. A different retailer than others that are struggling with e-commerce and malls. Do we see any recession here? Not at all. The consumers spend money at Home Depot and they can afford to do it because they have jobs and money. That puts the company in the same folder as Walmart.

Home Depot scheduled a conference call at 9 a.m Eastern time on Tuesday 20, 2019.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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by | July 17, 2019 · 9:30 pm

43% of Morgan Stanley`s total revenue comes from wealthy individuals

You can clearly see how all the banks have different stories to tell, and the next bank to deliver earnings report on Thursday is Morgan Stanley. This is different from J.P.Morgan`s story. Morgan Stanley`s consensus EPS estimate is $1,16, which is -10,8% YoY.

The consensus Revenue Estimate is $10,02 Billion which is -5,6% YoY. 50% of Morgan Stanley`s total revenue comes from Institutional Securities. 43% of their total revenue comes from Wealth Management. 7% of total revenue is made from Investment Management.

There must be a lot of wealthy customers in Morgan Stanley`s portfolio, but wealthy induviduals is followed by financial services (brokerage, investment advisory, financial planning, insurance, securities-based loans etc) to medium-sized businesses and institutioons.

Morgan Stanley is headquartered at Broadway, Midtown Manhattan, New York and CEO James Gorman is not a big fan of Bitcoin, Libra or other crypto currencies. On Wednesday, we saw a Facebook hearings live from Capitol Hill and Mr Gorman is obviously not alone to be negative to crypto currencies.

In an interview with CNBC, he said “Psonally, I am not that exited about new exchanges for currencies or new forms of cryptocurrency. I`ve said this many times, an may be proven dead wrong about this. I don`t get it or see the need for another form of stored value. We have currencies and precious metals and reserve notes. Apparently, there`s a need there, right? But the fact that we are not in that doesn`t bother me at all,” Gorman said.

Fair value of the Morgan Stanley stock is about 20% higher than the current price. Citi upgraded Morgan Stanley to buy. Earning report will be released on Thursday before market open.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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by | July 16, 2019 · 7:53 pm

Bank of America is “too big to fail” and its cost-cutting strategy is in focus

Bank of America is the second-largest bank in the U.S, and the company is expected to post quarterly earnings on Wednesday before market open. Bank of America is expected to earn $0,76 per share and that`s five cents ahead of the Wall Street.

If this number holds it would be a 12,7% change YoY. Their revenue are expected to be $23,04 billion and that is a whopping 1,9% from the same quarter last year.

The bank have benefited huge from a roring U.S economy and most of the profits is coming from its consumer bank, but all major business segments have increased the profits. All this thanks to healthy loan and deposit growth.

Its net interest income growth have also risen thanks to rising interest rates. Like all other banks, Fed`s change in policy is negative for the bank and a cut in interest rate will decrease NII. Lower interest rate will also trigger a recession, but that`s another story. The Fed is extremely dovish and that in turn will make the banks forward return to decline the next months.

Bank of America is the second-largest bank of the four «too big to fail» money center banks, and its P/E is only 10,85 with a dividend yield of 2,04%. The bank has a streak of 12 conssecutive quarters of beating EPS estimates on the line. The focus this time is its cost-cutting strategy.

The chart for the bank showed a golden cross in late March this year, but that has not been a great signal so far. It remain to see the stock to go higher.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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by | July 15, 2019 · 8:57 pm

JPMorgan Chase & Co will report earnings while we are entering a rate-cutting cycle

The banks are in focus this week as they will report earnings with JPMorgan Chase coming out with their report Tuesday morning before the open. JPMorgan has outperformed its peers and their growth has been 18% per year last three years.

Last two years, JPMorgan Chase has beaten Earnings Per Share estimates 100% of the time. They have also beaten revenue estimates 100% of the time.

Analysts expect JPMorgan to earn $2,50 per share in the second quarter on revenue of $28,91 billion. JPMorgan earned $2,22 in the second quarter last year.

JPMorgan is different from Well Fargo which is also reporting earnings on Tuesday. JPMorgan Chase has moved up over 10% over the past year while Wells Fargo has faced a lot of obstacles, inkluding lack of their own CEO.

The banking industry is scary to me at the moment, and the most dangerous bank in the world is in Europe. Dutche Bank has been a desaster for a long time and the company are on the edge. A collapse could send the whole world in a negative trend.

We are also entering a rate-cutting cycle which is not good for the banks either. The margins will shrink and the earnings will decline while the rates are falling and the spread between the rates on loans and the rates paid out on deposits shrinks.

Morgan Stanley and Citi both downgraded the industry as a whole because of this development with rates, but JPMorgan is still a favorite.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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