Tag Archives: Donald Trump

Donald Trump is flying high

Donald Trump is a rich man and there is no doubt that Trump has done a great job. That being said, he didn`t build his empire from zero. He is born in a rich family and went from rich to even richer.

Donald John Trump who is from Queens in New York City, is a son of real estate developer Fred Trump. He joined his father’s company in 1971 and changed the name from Elizabeth Trump & Son to «The Trump Organisation».

Donald Trump is the man behind Trump Tower, a 58-story, mixed-use skyscraper in Manhattan. He is also the man behind Trump Taj Mahal, which is a casino in Atlantic City. He is the owner of The Trump Organization which owns, operates, develops, and invests in real estate around the world.

 

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Trumps hotel and casino businesses have declared bankruptcy five times between 1991 and 2014. The reason for the first four bankruptcies were over-leveraged hotel and casino businesses in Atlanta City: Trumps Taj Mahal, Trump Plaza Hotel, Trump Hotels and Casino Resorts, and Trump Entertainment Resorts.

According to a report by Forbes in 2011, Trump said: “Ive used the laws of this country to pare debt...... Well have the company. Well throw it into a chapter. Well negotiate with the banks. Well make a fantastic deal. You know, its like on The Apprentice. Its not personal. Its just business.” He indicated that other «great entrepreneurs» do the same.

In his campaigns, Donald Trump often talks about negotiations and how to do business. Trump had problems because he had too much debt. So is it in the The United States. The U.S debt is the largest in the world right now. Nearly $20 trillion.

If Donald Trump solved the debt problems in his own companies, will it be easy for him to solve America`s debt too? People vote for him and belive he can handle the economy, taxes and create jobs better than Hillary Clinton. Simply because he is a businessman and not a politicians.

He said: «We owe $19 trillion. Boy, am I good at solving debt problems. Nobody can solve it like me.»

Debt-based growth must come to an end, and sometimes it goes terribly wrong. Not only for private persons and corporations, but also for country`s. Donald Trump had too much debt, but he negotiated and survived.

Some countries have debt greater than their entire annual economic output, which is more than 100% of their GDP. Those countries are in danger of default, just like Iceland in 2008. Japan is the worst example with 229,20% debt. Greece are in trouble with 179% debt-to-GDP.

The United States has a debt-to-GDP ratio of 102,98%. The private debt is nearly $14 trillion larger than any other single country. If the U.S defaulted on its debt, it would bring the global economy down to its knees. In comparison, the U.S debt in 1945 (end of World War II) peaked at 113%.

Ronald Reagan became the 40th president of the United States in 1980, and he declared «debt» to be one of his major campaign issues.

 

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In 1981 he said: «For decades, we have piled deficit upon deficit, mortgaging our future and our children`s future for the temporary convenience of the present….. You and I, as individuals, can, by borrowing, live beyond our means, but for only a limited period of time. Why, then, should we think that collectively, as a nation, we are not bound by that same limitation?»

Between 1980 and 1990, the debt more than tripled as the government borrowed money to fund military build-ups and many elaborate new policies, such as «the war on drugs.» Americans began relying more and more on credit cards and jumbo mortgages, and being «in debt» became a new way of life in America.

Debt-to-GDP rose under Ronald Reagan, when the U.S fell into a particularly nasty recession, set off by the Federal Reserve under Paul Volcker, who raised interest rates to record heights in order to defeat inflation.

The Federal Reserve left the target range for its federal funds rate unchanged at 0,25% to 0,50% for the second time during the meeting held on March 16th 2016. That`s low right.

36 year ago, on March of 1980, the interest rate reached an all time high of 20%!

Government receipts flattened thanks in part to the large, permanent tax cuts that served as one of the top accomplishments of President Ronald Reagan`s first term. Spending jumped on both defense and social programs, and deficit exploded.

 

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President Obama talked about his visions during his election. One of his cases was Guantanamo bay. He wanted to close it, but its still open. He still have ten months left, but it seems like a Republican-led Congress will do anything to help bring Obamas 2008 campaign promise to fruition.

Many of Trumps ides sounds very expensive, and sometimes it will be difficult for him to get any support because he wont have a free pass from Congress, even if it remains under the control of the Republican party.

Trump`s immigration plans was not a popular decision and may have cost him a lot of business deals, but it might cost the Unites States much more, while Immigration is an enormous source of economic vitality.

The Census Bureau estimates the US population will grow to 397 million in 2050 with immigration, but only to 328 million with no immigration. One of the biggest challenges in the future will be demand based on accelerating retirement of the baby boomers.

Like in Europe, immigration can therefore be the solution. It`s not a crisis, but an opportunity.

Donald Trump floated the idea of running for president in 1988, 2004 and 2012, and for Governor of New York in 2006 and 2014, but did not enter those races. Trump is pro-active and there is no doubt that he wan`t to reach the top. This is a big thinker.

Despite a lot of anti-Trump ads, he is at the top of the Republican party, but betting odds for the next U.S President is pretty clear: 70 – 30 in favour of Hillary Clinton.

 

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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Very important week

Next week will be exiting. The earnings season is at the end and investors focus now will be on a flood of data coming in. It all starts on monday March 14 were the Bank of Japan will announce its policies.

Bank of Japan Gov. Haruhiko Kuroda is in a special situation. Just like ECBs Mario Draghi, he talked about his «bazooka» and said he wanted to do whatever it takes to get Japans economy back on track to a stable growth.

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The answer so far is negative interest rate, and they started charging commercial banks 0,1% interest on some reserves last month. That lowered the borrowing cost, but on the other hand, it made some confusion about the effects on Japan`s savers.

Haruhiko Kuroda has been called to parliament for questioning many times and more than any other central bank chief during the same period. Japanese 10-year Government Bonds traded at -0,20% for the first time in history and dropped farther into negative territory.

Negative rate is also seen in Sweden, Denmark and Switzerland. Sweden`s goal is to raise the inflation. The goal in Denmark and Switzerland is to prevent the currency to raise too much.

Negative rates can be the new normal because none of them turn this situation into a strong economic growth. So, What about America?

All eyes will be on Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The FOMC meeting will kick off on Tuesday 15, and the Fed`s interest rate decision is the highlight on Wednesday 16, with the 2 p.m ET announcement followed by a 2,30 press conference with Fed Chair Janet Yellen.

According to Wall Street Journal`s Jon Hilsenrath who is the mouthpiece of the Fed, the central bank will hold off raising rates this month, but will leave the door open for a hike in April or June this year.

U.S Consumer prices went up 1,4% YoY in January of 2016, and the inflation rate accelerated for the fourth straight month which is very impressive. CPI for February 2016 is scheduled to be released on Wednesday 16.

The European Central Bank (ECB) followed BOJ, and increased QE by 20 billion euros per month on thursday. Not only that. They also lowered interest rates, which is an unexpectedly strong move. The ECB increased its monthly bond buying from 60 to 80 billion euros and drove commercial deposit rates from -0,30% to -0,40% and cut a main refinance rate from 0,05% to 0,00%.

As you may know, many people are very angry. Not only in Europe, but also in America. The middle class is wiped out and businessman Donald Trump knows that. He doesn`t like what he see and want to do something about it; Make America great again.

The battle for the White House continues, and next week`s Ohio and Florida primaries would give Donald Trump the knockout blow necessary to capture the GOP nomination. Anti-Trump groups are spending millions of dollar on TV ads to attack him. Is that enough to stop him? If not, it will be a short way left to the White House.

Very important week.

 

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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Outsider Trump vs. Insider Clinton

Super Tuesday was a great day for both Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. Democrat Clinton and Republican Trump win most states on Super Tuesday, so it was a Super Duper Day for them both in the race for the presidential nomination.

They both each won at least seven of eleven state races. Clinton won in Arkansas, Tennessee, Virginia, Georgia, Alabama, Massachusetts and the most important of them all: Texas. Trump won in Vermont, Tennessee, Virginia, Georgia, Arkansas and Massachusetts.

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Republicans need 1,237 delegates who will vote for them at the parties national conventions in July 2016. Now, they have 595 delegates.

Democrats have one-third of the 2,383 delegates they need, which is 865 delegates. So, as you can see there is still a long way to go.

We know from history that the Republican candidate who wins most of the states on Super Tuesday wins the nomination, and the billionaire businessman Donald Trump is on the way to become the Republican party`s candidate for the U.S presidential election.

Trump`s success is spectacular and a big surprice for many, and he seems to be unstoppable despite programs like Last Week Tonight with John Oliver: Donald Trump (HBO). The odds for seeing Trump at the White House are rising every day, and Hillary Clinton with a history of many scandals must fight against an entertainer and a businessman who speak against well established politicians.

Hillary Clinton have been a part of the political system in many years. Her husband is former president Bill Clinton and they both know the “game”. Donald Trump is coming from another “camp,” and that`s the biggest difference between them I think.

Trump is a businessman, property mogul, celebrity TV personality and a political outsider. Clinton has been a part of the “system” in many years and are a political insider. So, if voters have to choose between Trump and Clinton, they are not choosing between a Democrat and a Republican.

It is the Insider against the Outsider.

 

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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

 

 

 

 

 

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Super Tuesday is the biggest day of the 2016 primary season

Who will be the next U.S President? It`s up to the American people to vote and Tuesday is the biggest day of the 2016 primary season with 13 states and one territory participating. The day is called ”Super Tuesday” because the largest number of states hold their nominating contests.

The U.S President is important not only for the Americans but for the rest of the world. With so much tension, the next U.S President is more important than ever.

Poll shows that Hillary Clinton leads in most states on the Democratic side, and she is up by double digits in Texas, Virginia, Georgia, Arkansas and Alabama. For Republicans, Donald Trump seems to be a leader in Vermont, Virginia, Oklahoma and Georgia.

 

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(Picture: George Washington at the White House)

 

Super Tuesday is important because it will be difficult for Sanders to beat Clinton if she wins a large delegate lead over him.  If not, the Democrats primary will continue. Candidates on both sides have spent a lot of time and resources in Texas, which is vital with 155 Republican delegates and 252 total Democratic delegates at stake.

Super Tuesday was important in 2008. Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton each declared victory after a close and chaotic finish, and no other day than Super Tuesday gives a single candidate as much of a chance to declare a sense of certainty about his or her position.

Donald Trumps slogan is ”Make America great again”, while Hillary Clintons slogan is ”Hillary for America.”

The unemployment rate in the U.S dropped to 4,9% in January 2016, so why is Trump saying he want to make America great again? President Ronald Reagan promised to make America great again in the 80`s. At that time, the unemployment rate was 11% with a recession on top of that.

Mr Trump claims in a campaign video that the U.S ifrastructure has made the country a global laughingstock. He said: ”Our airports, bridges, and roadways is falling apart. It`s a terrible thing to see.”

Everyday Americans need a Champion, and I want to be that Champion, Hillary Clinton says in her campaign video. Right in line with her slogan ”Hillary for America.” It remains to see whats most important for the people. That`s whats really counts.

The next primaries after Super Tuesday is on Saturday, March 5. Democrats and Republicans vote in the Kansas caucuses and Louisiana primaries. Republicans will also vote in Kentucky and Maine, while Democrats will vote in Nebraska. On Sunday, Democrats go the polls in Maine.

By the way, Voter turnout in America is among the lowest in the developed world. Only 42% of Americans voted in the 2014 midterm elections, and that`s the lowest since 1978. The rise of the donor class and the influx of corporate cash have caused many voters to lose faith in politics.

Americans will elect the 45th President of the United States on November 8, 2016, and the winner of the 2016 presidential election will be sworn into office on January 20, 2017.

God Luck!

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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

 

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A big FAT bubble

Have a listen to what Donald Trump say about the stock market.

 

 

 


Click the link below and check out the Fan Fund

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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication. UA-63539824-1.

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