Tag Archives: Alibaba

The Chinese smartphone giant Xiaomi will go public in Hong Kong in July

The fourth-largest smartphone maker Xiaomi are planning to go public, and the company will start a roadshow in the U.S and Europe in a few weeks. After a collaboration with institutional investors in the U.S and Europe to value the firm at no less than $70 billion, the Chinese smartphone giant will go public in Hong Kong in July.

In my recent article I talked about Foxconn and their plans to go public a week ago, and more Chinese companies are on the way, One of them is Xiaomi, and their IPO is the biggest IPO so far in 2018 which is good for Hong Kong.

(Xiaomi`s profit is “only” $2, but their biggest market is India)

 

Hong Kong is on the way to be the destination of choice for global companies seeking to raise capital. Hong Kong marks the 21st anniversary of the citys return to Chinese sovereignty on July 1, and Xiaomis IPO can be a great birthday present to Hong Kong.

Xiaomi went from a start-up to surpass $16 billion in seven years, and their founder Lei Jun decided to make a smartphone brand selling handsets at “honest” prices. Eight years later, Lei Jun and the seven other co-founders have made a company that wants to challenge the global industry dominance by Apple, Samsung and Huawei.

Xiaomi are the cheapest smartphone on the market with the biggest market share in India. About 70 percent of their 2017 sales of 114,6 billion yuan came from smartpones, but there is a huge difference between Xiaomi and Apple.

Lei Juns profit from his low-budget price smartphone is "only" $2 per handset. Tim Cooks margin is between $151 and $250 on each iPhone.

Xiaomi more than doubled its overseas shipments to 27 million handsets in 2017. Its revenue skyrocketed to 32,1 billion yuan. There is no doubt that the global market is where their ambitions lie, and this is globalization at its best.

Xiaomi opened its first European sales outlet in Paris and plans to open additional Mi stores in France, Spain and Italy later this year.

Xiaomi do not only have a big potential with its smartphones but also from smart devices, better known as the Internet of Things (IoT). Industry revenue may balloon every year at a 13,3 percent compounded growth rate to $6,2 billion by 2021, according to IDC.

Their innovative products will make a tremendous change in every industry.

Xiaomis valuation can be $100 billion and it will be the biggest IPO since Alibaba in 2014. Alibabas IPO was the biggest IPO of all time with its 25 billion IPO in New York. Facebook went public in 2012 with an $16 billion IPO.

Former communist China are on the way up. This IPO will make even more rich people in China. Founder Lei Jun and his co-founders will be rich after the IPO. Not only that. 56 of the earliest employees pulled together $11 million to invest in the start-up. Today, they are the lucky 56.

Their stake in Xiaomi may soon be worth about $1 billion to $3 billion, depending on the stock sale. That works out to $36 million each at the midpoint.

Citic-CLSA, Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley had been appointed to arrange Xiaomi`s stock offer.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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The public cloud market is expected to reach $411 Billion by 2020 and one of the fastest growing cloud provider in the world is Alibaba

Alibaba Group Holding Limited has declined since March this year after recent trade war fears. It`s not fair if you look at the numbers. The company boasted a five-year CAGR of over 40 percent, and their revenue is primarily driven by core e-commerce.

Alibaba`s Market cap is $464,72 Billion, and that valuation is good if you look at their potential for growth like cloud computing which is growing fast. They are also expanding in the Indian market with good help from Softbank.

Softbank has already acquired many important startup companies in India, and India will be one of the most important markets for Alibaba in the future. Alibaba and their ally Softbank will therefore build its business on companies that is already operating in the Indian market instead of doing it all from scratch.

The online retail market in India is growing fast and Alibaba can grow in this sector despite the fact that they are late into the market. Alibaba led a funding round of $300 million in online grocer Big Basket at a valuation of $950 million.

But they have competitors. Amazon will invest over $5 Billion in Amazon India, and Valmart wants to buy about 80 percent stake in Flipkart. Valmart is willing to pay about $12 Billion. Alibaba will also earn from Softbank`s investment in rival online grocer Grofers.

Alibaba`s core commerce segment comprises marketplaces operating in retail and wholesale commerce in China, and international commerce. The Cloud computing segment, which comprises Alibaba Cloud offering a complete suite of cloud services, is in top gear.

Cloud computing is good for Alibaba as more and more businesses are shifting their servers and broadband subscriptions to cloud computing technology in order to streamline costs.

The public cloud market is expected to reach $411 Billion by 2020, and Alibaba with its ongoing initiatives is well posed to grab the growth opportunity. I have a good reason to belive that cloud computing will be one of Alibaba`s major growth drivers in the future.

Alibaba has expanded overseas to Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, Frankfurt, London, Paris, New York, San Mateo, Dubai, Seoul, Tokyo and Sydney. So far, they have more than 2,3 million customers worldwide.

In the last report, cloud computing segment increased 104 percent to US$553 million, and revenues from its core commerce segment were up 57 percent YoY to US$11,3 Billion.

Alibaba is probably the most shorted stock in the world in recent weeks after trade war fears, but their opportunity for further growth will probably exceed investors expectations. If so, Alibaba`s shares can easily jump to next target; $200.

Alibaba Group Holding Limited is expected to report earnings on May 4 before market open. The report will be for the fiscal Quarter ending March 2018. Earnings forecast for the quarter is $0,7 which is well below earnings for the same quarter last year of $0,39. Last quarter, Alibaba delivered a negative earnings surprise of 1,21 percent.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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S&P 500 has gained about 2,5% in the past three months while Alibaba has jumped nearly 30%

Alibaba is a Chinese company I have been following since the first day they went public. It is also a company I have been trading with long before it went public, and shares have skyrocketed since then.

The Chinese giant is expected to report earnings on Thursday and investors must expect to see strong growth.

 

 

Alibabas growth will come in from online sales and cloud. According to Chinas National Bureau of Statistics, Alibaba`s retail sales growth jumped 41% YoY in June from 30% YoY in June. E-commerce penetration reached 18,6% in June this year.

The E-commerce giant is expected to benefit from improved spending trends in China. China Commerce is expected to grow 38% to $4,9 billion, and cloud computing & internet infrastructure is expected to grow a whopping 106,5% YoY to $369 million.

Just like Amazon, cloud computing is a growth engine for Alibaba, which is a $1 billion revenue run rate for the company. The company is improving thanks to its target marketing and bigger push on its mobile site.

S&P 500 has gained about 2,5% in the past three months while Alibaba has jumped nearly 30%. Shares are up about 60% in just six months. That`s strong growth.

The FactSet consensus if for revenue of $7,1 billion, which is up from $4,6 billion in the year earlier period.

Alibaba is expected to report earnings on 08/17/2017 before market open. Get ready for higher earnings and strong growth.

 

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Alibaba with a massive Monster revenue growth of nearly 50% in 2017

Alibaba went public in 2014. The company is one of the world`s biggest with a market cap of 308,96 billion dollars. Its businesses consist of core commerce, cloud computing, mobile media and entertainment, and other innovation initiatives.

Alibaba will go straight up from start today. Reason? The company is forecasting massive Monster revenue growth of nearly 50 percent in 2017. The target implies sales of up to $34,5 billion dollars, and this is the biggest underlying rise so far since its IPO in 2014.

 

 

The stock has gone straight up since its IPO in 2014 and the company is near its all-time high. Some investors are bullish but others are sceptical and warns of odd accounting and an opaque corporate structure.

Investors are divided in ways only stocks with strong charts and a shaky fundamentals tend to do.

To put the company in perspective, Amazones market cap is $478,81 billion. Amazons founder Jeff Bezos knew that the key to success in the market in electronic commerce was not to focus only on a bookstore.

Alibaba is more than a retailer. It also has Taobao, Tmall.com and Alipay to name a few. Over the past few years, it owns established businesses across commerce, cloud computing and media. So, the business model is very similar to Amazon.

Alibaba is the largest e-commerce player and cloud-computing provider in China. An exceptionally strong media empire that is underestimated with a strong growth outlook. Tmall TV is expanding. So are UCWeb, YouKu Tudou, Alibaba Music and Alisports.com in the category Media Entertainment.

Dimensional Fund Advisors LP purchased a new stake in shares of Alibaba Group Holding during the fourth quarter worth about $171,085,000. 35,17 percent of the stock is currently owned by hedge funds and other institutional investors.

Alibaba`s share price is $125,64 before the opening on Thursday. Goldman Sachs Group Inc reissued a «conviction-buy» rating and set a $135,00 price target on shares of Alibaba in a report on Friday, March 17th.

Watch out for Alibaba from start on Thursday. It will skyrocket.

 

 

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Groupon is laying off 1,100

I have never been a fan of Groupon, and when I say that it is not as a customer. Groupon has a business model that really makes the customers big winners in this game. Nothing wrong with that, but it is the businesses that is paying for the show, and they don`t want to lose.

The stock has been hammered. Take a look at the chart below.

GRPN

Groupon Inc operates online commerce marketplaces worldwide that connects merchants to consumers by offering goods and services at a discount. Groupon offers deals on goods and services in three categories: Local deals (Local), Groupon Goods (Goods) and Groupon Getaways (Travel).

Its deals are accessed directly through its Websites, mobile applications and search engines. It`s impressive to see that Groupon grew from $312 million to $3,19 billion from 2010 to 2014. But now, it seems like the glory days are over.

What have happened?

First of all; in my opinion, the biggest winner in this game is the customer. Who are saying no to a great deal? No one. The customers are not paying to Groupon. They are paying to Groupon`s customer, which is the most important thing for Groupon. No customers – no income.

Groupon`s customers need to cut the bill in half. Voila! Groupon`s customer have already lost 50% of the original price. The end customer is satisfied of course, because who say no to 50% discount? The end customer pay to Groupon`s customer, but out of that, another 50% must go to Groupon, which means there is only 25% left to the supplier.

It could have been a good way to promote the business, but it seems like the end customer is the big winner. It depends on what business it is but customers who are paying for the products are not loyal. They will hunt for other discounts other places.

Not only that. Groupon has got a lot of competition from other companies. They are attacked from all sides. They have competition from e-commerce platforms like Amazon, Alibaba and eBay to name a few.

Not only e-commerce platforms are doing the same. Social platforms like Twitter and Facebook have both launched their own «Buy now» buttons. Again; customer are the big winners. Discount here and discount there. Discount everywhere.

Let`s say you sell product A for $1000. If you have your own customer base on Facebook, you can start a 50% discount campaign and still have 50% left without giving half of that to Groupon. It doesn`t matter for your customers, because they have 50% anyway, but it matters to you.

The management need to do something very fast.

Groupon announced it would cut 10 percent of its workforce and cease operations in some areas overseas. The company still have a lot of cash, and in a filing with the SEC, they says the restructuring will require a one-time charge of up to $35 million.

What they need to do is start focusing on their customers. Not their customers customers.

 

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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication. UA-63539824-1.

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