Alibaba Group Holding Limited has declined since March this year after recent trade war fears. It`s not fair if you look at the numbers. The company boasted a five-year CAGR of over 40 percent, and their revenue is primarily driven by core e-commerce.
Alibaba`s Market cap is $464,72 Billion, and that valuation is good if you look at their potential for growth like cloud computing which is growing fast. They are also expanding in the Indian market with good help from Softbank.
Softbank has already acquired many important startup companies in India, and India will be one of the most important markets for Alibaba in the future. Alibaba and their ally Softbank will therefore build its business on companies that is already operating in the Indian market instead of doing it all from scratch.
The online retail market in India is growing fast and Alibaba can grow in this sector despite the fact that they are late into the market. Alibaba led a funding round of $300 million in online grocer Big Basket at a valuation of $950 million.
But they have competitors. Amazon will invest over $5 Billion in Amazon India, and Valmart wants to buy about 80 percent stake in Flipkart. Valmart is willing to pay about $12 Billion. Alibaba will also earn from Softbank`s investment in rival online grocer Grofers.
Alibaba`s core commerce segment comprises marketplaces operating in retail and wholesale commerce in China, and international commerce. The Cloud computing segment, which comprises Alibaba Cloud offering a complete suite of cloud services, is in top gear.
Cloud computing is good for Alibaba as more and more businesses are shifting their servers and broadband subscriptions to cloud computing technology in order to streamline costs.
The public cloud market is expected to reach $411 Billion by 2020, and Alibaba with its ongoing initiatives is well posed to grab the growth opportunity. I have a good reason to belive that cloud computing will be one of Alibaba`s major growth drivers in the future.
Alibaba has expanded overseas to Singapore, Malaysia, Indonesia, Frankfurt, London, Paris, New York, San Mateo, Dubai, Seoul, Tokyo and Sydney. So far, they have more than 2,3 million customers worldwide.
In the last report, cloud computing segment increased 104 percent to US$553 million, and revenues from its core commerce segment were up 57 percent YoY to US$11,3 Billion.
Alibaba is probably the most shorted stock in the world in recent weeks after trade war fears, but their opportunity for further growth will probably exceed investors expectations. If so, Alibaba`s shares can easily jump to next target; $200.
Alibaba Group Holding Limited is expected to report earnings on May 4 before market open. The report will be for the fiscal Quarter ending March 2018. Earnings forecast for the quarter is $0,7 which is well below earnings for the same quarter last year of $0,39. Last quarter, Alibaba delivered a negative earnings surprise of 1,21 percent.
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