Tag Archives: Economy

The Global Debt Crisis is an Unseen Time Bomb

When discussions about debt dominate the headlines, the United States is often the central focus. With a debt-to-GDP ratio of 124.3%, it’s easy to understand why. But the U.S. is far from alone in facing a massive fiscal challenge. Other advanced economies are carrying even heavier burdens, and the global implications are both profound and often overlooked.

Japan: The Debt Giant

Japan holds the world’s highest debt-to-GDP ratio at 236.7%. Decades of low growth, heavy public spending, and an aging population have pushed the country into uncharted fiscal waters. While Japan has avoided crisis thanks to strong domestic savings and near-zero interest rates, the sustainability of this model is under constant scrutiny.

Italy: Europe’s Weak Link

Close behind is Italy, with a staggering 135,3% debt-to-GDP ratio. Burdened by structural economic weaknesses, sluggish productivity, and political instability, Italy has long been considered one of the eurozone’s most fragile economies. A sudden shock, whether financial or political, could easily ripple across the European continent.

The United States: A Growing Concern

At 124.3%, U.S. debt levels are higher than at any point since World War II. Unlike Japan, the U.S. relies heavily on international investors to finance its debt. Rising interest rates and political gridlock over fiscal policy only increase the risks. Given the U.S. dollar’s central role in the global financial system, instability in this market could have widespread consequences worldwide.

France and Canada: Silent Strugglers

France, at 113%, and Canada, at 110.8%, are also far above the traditional sustainability threshold (often pegged at around 60% of GDP). Both countries face demographic pressures, high social spending, and the challenge of funding welfare states without stifling economic growth.

Why It’s Unsustainable

High debt levels limit governments’ flexibility. In times of crisis, whether another pandemic, a war, or a financial meltdown, nations with already bloated balance sheets have little room to maneuver. Debt servicing costs also divert resources away from critical areas, such as healthcare, education, and infrastructure.

A Global Time Bomb

The global debt problem isn’t isolated. The IMF warns that mounting debt in advanced economies could spill over into emerging markets, sparking instability across the financial system. With inflation still high and interest rates rising, debt servicing costs are growing rapidly. Unless meaningful reforms are enacted, the world may be heading toward a reckoning.

Conclusion

It’s easy to point fingers at the U.S., but the debt problem is truly a global issue. Japan, Italy, France, and Canada. All highly developed nations are carrying unsustainable debt loads that could destabilize the global economy. For now, markets remain calm, but history has shown that debt crises often strike suddenly and with devastating force. Without coordinated efforts to rein in borrowing and restore fiscal discipline, the next major crisis may already be quietly brewing.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shinybull.com. The author has made every effort to ensure the accuracy of the information provided; however, neither Shinybull.com nor the author can guarantee the accuracy of this information. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities, or other financial instruments. Shinybull.com and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Trump`s tariff dollars are rolling in

Trump`s tariff is working, and the tariff dollars have started rolling into government coffers, according to the Treasury Department. The Department of Homeland Security deposited $15 billion in «customs and excise taxes,» the category that includes tariffs in April through the 24th og the month.

This is up from $9.6 billion in all of March.

The tax collection data shows that April was the month Trump`s campaign of tariffs started to make a real financial impact. Trump`s April 2 «Liberation Day» tariffs against all U.S. trading partners ranged from 10% for many countries to 145% for Chinese products.

Trump`s stated goals for his import taxes include raising revenue to fund the government, restoring U.S. manufacturing by protecting it from foreign competition, and pressuring foreign governments to make trade deals favorable to the U.S. Economists have warned the tariffs are likely to drive up the cost of living, and risk plunging the economy into a recession.

According to Peterson Institute, President Donald J. Trump`s new tariffs could generate trillions of dollars in new federal government revenue over a decade, but the net gain would be reduced by the measures` damaging effects on the U.S economy and the other economies likely retaliation.

Under the tariff rate, the U.S would see lower GDP, investment, employment, and real wages over the following decade than otherwise, i.e., than without the tariff increase, and higher inflation over the initial two years.

The U.S sectors hit hardest would be agriculture, mining, and manufacturing because of their relatively high reliance on foreign demand for their exports. The harm would be amplified by retaliation from trading partners.

Trump said in an interview with Fox News today that tariff revenue will eliminate income taxes for people making less than $ 200 K. Trump wants to cut all income taxes, but will start with those who earn less than 200 K. This is good news for the middle class. Lawmakers are now working to pass the final budget bill.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shinybull.com. The author has made every effort to ensure the accuracy of the information provided; however, neither Shinybull.com nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities, or other financial instruments. Shinybull.com and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Financial dissatisfaction hits a 50-year high in the United States of America

President Joe Biden tweeted this on Monday: «At the time I took office about 16 months ago, the economy had stalled and COVID was out of control. Today, thanks to the economic plan and the vaccination plan that my Administration put into action, America has achieved the most robust recovery in modern history.»

At the same time, we see that 83% of Americans describe the state of the economy as poor or not so good, according to a poll by Wall Street Journal. Biden`s poll numbers are also below those of Donald Trump. Not only that.

Another poll shows that 35% of Americans are not satisfied with their financial situation, which is the worst result in 50 years.

Photo by cottonbro on Pexels.com

Biden often said that Trump was the worst president in history and an existential threat to the nation`s democracy. I wonder what he is saying about himself right now? It must be a bitter pill for an anti-Trump politician like Biden to be outclassed by the 45th president.

On April 2, Biden`s approval rating was 40% while Trump`s was at 50% the same day in 2018. Instead of gaslighting voters, Biden should clean up the messes and fix the inflation asap.

Trump`s vision was lower taxes, but president Joe Biden turned that upside down. People are paying more tax under Biden, than under Trump. On top of that, people must pay more money for their products, which is a hidden tax and makes people`s money less valuable.

Higher gas prices are good for oil companies but very bad for people and the economy. In the long run, it could kill the economy, and today, gas prices in the U.S hit a new record high of $4,91 a gallon (average price). In California, the price is $6,37 a gallon. People don`t like it, but Biden says everything is fine.

Something must be wrong here because there is a huge disconnect between president Biden and the people. And that isn`t good for the democrats at all. If this continues, GOP can win big in the mid-term election in November.

Another poll shows that the GOP is in the best midterm position in 80 years (2 pts lead), according to CNN.

Not even Liberal Media is ignoring Biden`s crisis anymore. They are also lukewarm on his potential second term.

Earlier today, Biden tweeted this: «The fact is America is in a stronger economic position today than just about any other country in the world. Independent experts have even projected that the U.S economy could grow faster than China`s economy this year. That hasn`t happened since 1976».

People`s lives are worse under Biden than under Trump. But people voted for Biden. They asked for it. They got what they asked for. Higher taxes, and inflation. President Joe Biden is the most popular president in U.S history. He got more votes than Obama and Clinton.

On the day he was inaugurated, Biden said; «Today, we celebrate the triumph not of a candidate, but of cause, the cause of democracy. The will of the people has been heard and the will of the people has been heeded.»

The love for Joe Biden was huge in the Hate Trump Media, on the day Biden was inaugurated. «The reason Biden has to do this is that he`s just so incredibly popular,» Don Lemon said on CNN at that time. «The lights from Lincoln Memorial were like Joe Biden`s arms stretching out to all American,» CNN said.

Axios said at that time in January 2021, Biden is charting an economic policy that was visible to the left of Bill Clinton and Barrack Obama. Biden proposed a $1,9 trillion economic stimulus plan and a $15 minimum wage at that time, and employers, employees, and economists warned it will kill millions of jobs.

We are living in times with a lot of challenges, and more trouble is on the way. Famine is probably the most serious one. Chairman and Chief Executive of JPMorgan Chase & Co, Jamie Dimon, said a few days ago that we all must brace for U.S economic «hurricane» due to inflation. Earlier he said storm clouds looming over the U.S economy, but he has changed the rhetoric.

Right now, it`s kind of sunny, and things are doing fine, but the hurricane is right out there down the road coming our way, Dimon said. We just don`t know if it`s a minor one or Superstorm Sandy, he added.

The Fed is under pressure with inflation that is more than three times its 2% target, and that has caused a jump in the cost of living for Americans. It faces the difficult task of dampening demand enough to curb inflation while not causing a recession.

Dimon urged the Fed to take forceful measures to avoid tipping the world`s biggest economy into a recession.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shinybull.com. The author has made every effort to ensure the accuracy of the information provided; however, neither Shinybull.com nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities, or other financial instruments. Shinybull.com and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Trumponomics is working and Nasdaq is up about 50% since his inauguration

What president Donald Trump have done to the U.S economy is a miracle, and people are chanting USA. President Trump`s approval rating has hit the highest point in his presidency, according to a new poll by the Washington Post and ABC News.

47% of registered voters approve of Trump`s work inside the White House. In comparison, Barrack Obama`s approval rating during the same time in his first term was 46%. Nasdaq is up nearly 50% since Trump`s inauguration. The Dow is up about 36% while S&P is up about 32%. This is amazing.

Former Reagan advisor Art Laffer said the approval rating shouldn`t be 44% but 94%. The reason for that is the booming economy. Trump is a business man and know how it is to be an entrepreneur. So, he made a lot reforms and cutted the taxes and now we see the U.S economy booming like never before.

Trump said if the U.S had lower interest rates, they would be like a rocket ship. The Dow could be 10,000 points higher if it wasn`t for the Fed, Trump said.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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