Tag Archives: Earnings

by | October 27, 2014 · 4:16 pm

Earnings from Social Media stocks this week

This week is a big week for social media stocks. It all starts today, and we will be getting earnings release from Twitter (TWTR) after the bell today. Twitter kicks off the week for social media earnings today, followed by Facebook tomorrow.

twitter chart

(Picture: Twitter chart)

Twitter haven`t met analysts expectations on MAU`s (monthly active users) growth lately. With 271 million MAU`s they are focusing on product improvements to increase the amount of time users spend on their platform.

They launched their brand new Audio Cards this quarter which enables music and podcasts to be played directly on Twitter via Soundcloud.

The company has underperformed the Nasdaq and Facebook (FB), as analysts is disappointed at Twitters growth prospects and engagement levels. So far, they have posted strong sales growth but with disappointing earnings.

Analysts expect strong results from the social media giant after the bell today, and this brings up the big question; Is this a good time to invest in the tweeting giant?

It is expected to se a report revenue of $360 million, and if that is the fact, it will represent about 100% increase in sales vs same time last year.

It`s not easy to value early stage growth companies like Twitter, but investors will focus on earnings and revenue after the bell today. Some people are negative and expect EPS of $-0,27. Other say $0,01.

Last quarter, the stock gained 22% because revenue was $312 million compared to analysts estimate of $282 million. Some say the surge in performance last time was attributed to increased engagement and user activity because of the FIFA World Cup, and analysts belive that Twitter will not be able to follow with a similar performance.

Analysts I have talked to are forecasting earnings of 3 cents per share. Twitter has a great track record of beating the Street`s EPS consensus. Will they beat Wall Street this time?

 

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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by | October 22, 2014 · 9:41 pm

Yelp revenue up +62%

Yelp are reporting earnings later today, and this one will be interesting to watch. The competition in the ad business is stiff as local ad segments has become more attractive to competitors like Google, TripAdviser and Facebook to name a few.

Yelp logo

They have all increased their focus on local advertising in recent years, but despite that, Yelp reported positive EPS for the first time since its IPO. It`s estimated to see EPS to come in at $0,05 vs Wall Street`s $0,03.

That`s much better than last year, which was lower at -$0,04. Revenue is estimated to be $99,4M vs Wall Street`s slighly lower estimate of $98,9M, and that would be a whopping 62% increase YoY. Not bad for a 5B market cap company.

Yelp had about 68 million mobile unique visitors in the second quarter, and that`s up 51%. The growth factor is in their expansion in Japan, Mexico, Hong Kong, Portugal, Argentina and Chile, which will boost their ad revenue. 40% of all new reviews and more than 50% of Yelp`s total ad impression came from mobile devices. It`s expected to see the trend to continue.

Yelp is challenged by Google`s algorithmic change this summer, but despite that, Yelp`s traffic increased. The international traffic grew 80% YoY last quarter to 31 million unique monthly visitors. Another challenge is Angie`s list. Google is likely to offer them a buyout offer, but Amazon or Home depot is also on the retailers list for a possible acquisition in the future.

Angie`s list`s shares plunged today, reported a bigger than expected quarterly loss and they reported a fewer paid members. They lose market share and subscribers because they charges their customers fees to access reviews and ratings, which is free on Yelp. They have had to slash membership fees over the past few years, and has failed to turn into profit since their IPO in 2011. Angie`s list in founded in 1996, which is one of the tech companies that survived the dot-com bubble in 2000.

Yelp is scheduled to release its earnings results after the bell today.

 

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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by | October 16, 2014 · 2:22 pm

Netflix revenue up +27%

Netflix will plunge today. Down about 25%. Investors are disappointed because of their subscriber growth. That said, Netflix have always been a volatile stock.

netflix-logo

They reported Q3 EPS of $0,96 and they beat consensus by $0,03. Revenue was up +27% y/y to $1,41 billion, and hit investors estimate. They have a total paid member base of 50,65 million, and that is up +33% y/y. Free cash is down to -$74 million on higher investments.

They failed in Q3 with 3,02 million subscribers and that`s below its estimated 3,69 million. Netflix reported profits of $59,3 million, and that`s better than last years Q3 at $48,4 million.

Investors do not think that Netflix will reach their membership growth goals because they have raised prices for their new members, but earlier this year Netflix said they added 1,7 million members and that`s better than expected.

Netflix says it will add 4 million new members in fourth quarter as they have launched their service in Europe led by Germany and France. They will start streaming of all 10 seasons of Friends, and belive HBO is their biggest competitor, but they have different programs and shows.

A drop like this is a great opportunity.

 

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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by | April 23, 2014 · 2:00 pm

Earnings estimates

Positive earnings continue to lift the markets higher and the S&P traded higher for the 6th consecutive day. The S&P ended up 7,5 points and are the only major index to be in positive territory so far in 2014.

Russel 2000 is the worst index wich is down -0,6% YTD. Nasdaq is down -0,4% YTD and DOW is currently down -0,04% YTD. Netflix (NFLX) beat earnings expectations and traded up +7% yesterday. It is a buy signal in Netflix, but I will wait to see the next 4 trading sessions to be convinced.

money2

Look out for Apple`s (AAPL) earnings report later on today. The report will released after the market close today. The report will be for the fiscal Quarter ending Mar 2014. Consensus EPS forecast for the quarter is $10,21. Up from $10,09 last year. Market cap: 473,8B. Apple Inc is the world`s largest company by market value.

Facebook (FB) will release an earnings report after the market close today. The report will be for the fiscal Quarter ending Mar 2014. Consensus EPS forecast for the quarter is $0,18. Up from $0,09 last year. That is 100%! Market cap: 121,93B.

Also Logitch International S.A (LOGI) will report earnings after market close today. The report will be for the fiscal Quarter ending Mar 2014. Consensus EPS forecast for the quarter is $0. Up from $-0,09 last year. Market cap: 2,43B.

Yum (YUM) is the owner of KFC, Pizza Hut and Taco Bell fast-food chains. The stock climbed 2% yesterday to $79. Profit rose 72 cents to 87 cents according to a statement yesterday. It was estimated 84 cents a share on average.

Their performance of its China division is strong. Operating profit grew 80% in China. The China Division opened 123 new units in the first quarter. Fast food giant McDonald`s Corp (MCD) reported a 5% drop in first quarter profit that missed analysts` estimate.

The next days are the most important of the earnings season. Many big companies are trying to beat the estimates. Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat the estimates tomorrow? They will continue supporting the Nokia X platform.

What about Google (goog)? Will they suffer from Android Open Source Project smartphones? Microsoft will probably use some of its tons of Android licensing money to undercut Google-approved Android phones.

Other earnings reports to look for: Tesla (TSLA) May 14. Ebay (EBAY) Apr 29. Twitter (TWTR) May 07. This is only a few stocks to watch out for among many other interesting U.S stocks to look for the next days and weeks.

Reports today:
9:45 a.m EST Flash Manufacturing PMI
10:00 a.m EST New Home Sales
10:30 a.m EST Crude Oil Inventories

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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by | February 10, 2014 · 2:24 pm

Gold is up

Gold continue to go up, now trading at 1271,50. Nikkei rose +1,77%. Up 255,93 points. The European markets is mixed today, but are not moving much. The U.S markets ended the week in green on friday. Dow +1,06%, S&P 500 +1,33% and Nasdaq +1,69%. Nokia is up 9,27%. Very good!

I will look for earnings reports from Tata Motors (TTM) today. Forecast EPS is $0,87 ($0,47 last year). The report will be for the fiscal Quarter ending Dec 2013. Many other earnings reports is coming out later this week.

Alibaba is trying to take full control over AutoNavi Holdings (AMAP). The stock is trading at $16,54. Up +7,26%. AutoNavi holdings is up 27,87% AH. EPS growth: -128%. Revenue growth: -6,02%. (Last Qtr).

Take a look a the gold this week. It`s still moving up. Sometimes it goes in the opposite direction of the equity market, and sometimes not. They can follow each other, so don`t forget to set «stop loss» if you are daytrading.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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