Olympic Games starts in Brazil while the GDP is declining

The Olympic Games starts today and will last until 21 August 2016, and the host is Rio de Janeiro. A beautiful place on earth, but if you ask some people there, they have another view. They are against it.

Hundreds of demonstrators demonstrated earlier on Friday, and blocked roads in Copacabana. They protested against the government and the cost of hosting the event. Nothing has obviously changed since last time I wrote about Brazil during the World Cup in 2014.

 

ol2016

People were angry at that time and so is it now. They feel angry because they belive the Brazilian government should spend money on other things than World Cup and now Olympic Games. Brazil still have serious problems with crime.

Brazil still has above-average levels of violent crime and particularly high levels of gun violence and homicide. WHO estimated the number of 32 deaths per 100,000 inhabitants, which is one of the highest rates of international homicide of the world.

There are differences between the crime rates in the Brazilian states. While in Sao Paulo the homicide rate registered in 2013 was 10,8 deaths per 100,000 inhabitants, in Alagoas it was 64,7 homicides per 100,000 inhabitants.

Brazil also has high level of incarceration and the third largest prison population in the world (behind only China and the United States), with an estimated total of approximately 700,000 prisoners around the country (June 2014), an increase of about 300% compared to the index registered in 1992.

Brazil is the largest country in both South America and Latin America. As the world`s fifth-largest country by both area and population, it is the largest country to have Portuguese.

Brazil was inhabited by numerous tribal nations prior to the landing on 1500 of explorer Pedro Alvares Cabral, who claimed the area for the Portuguese Empire. Brazil remained a Portuguese colony until 1808, when the capital of the empire was transferred from Lisbon to Rio de Janeiro.

In 1815, the colony was elevated to the rank of kingdom upon the formation of the United Kingdom of Portugal, Brazil and the Algarves. Independence was achieved in 1822 with the creation of the Empire of Brazil, a unitary state governed under a constitutional monarchy and a parliamentary system.

The ratification of the first constitution in 1824 led to the formation of a bicameral legislature, now called the National Congress. The country became a presidential republic in 1889 following a military coup dètat.

An authoritarian military junta came to power in 1964 and ruled until 1985, after which civilian governance resumed. Brazil`s current constitution, formulated in 1988, defines it as a democratic federal republic.

The federation is composed of the union of the Federal District, the 26 states, and the 5,570 municipalities.

(PPP) as of 2015. A member of the BRICS group, Brazil until 2010 had one of the world`s fastest growing economies, with its economic reforms giving the country new international recognition and influence.

Brazils national development bank plays an important role for the countrys economic growth.

The country has been the largest producer of coffee for the last 150 years.

 

 

 

GDP-Brazil

 

 

Now, things have turned upside down, and it has been a sharp and quick drop for the Brazilian economy and for Ms Dilma Rousseff. Brazil`s economic woes started in 2011, when China began to decelerate and Brazilian commodities began losing value.

Brazil`s GDP YoY is -5,40%, and their Interest rate is 14,25% with a jobless rate of 11,30%.

There is something strange here.

Argentina and Venezuela is not far away from Brazil, and if we scrutinize the numbers we can see that they have something in common. The Interest rate and Inflation rate is very high.

In Brazil, the Interest rate is 14,25%, but in Venezuela, the Interest rate is 21,36%. In Argentina; 30,25%. Not only that. Take a look at the Inflation rate; in Argentina it is 40,50%, but in Venezuela it is 180,90%. Can you belive that? The Inflation rate in Venezuela is 180,90%! Wow.

Its not so bad for the growth in Argentina, but Venezuela is in same boat as Brazil when it comes to growth. GDP in Brazil is -5,40% and in Venezuela it is -7,10%. Argentinas GDP YoY is 0,49%. Not much, but they`re on the right side.

By comparison; Chinas GDP is 6,70%, and Indias GDP is 7,90%.

It went wrong for both Brazil and Venezuela, but this can also happen in your country. Remember that.

 

asphalt

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

Leave a comment

Filed under Politics, Uncategorized

LinkedIns report will be one of the last quarterly reports as a publically traded company

LinkedIn was a scary case earlier this year. In February, the stock plummeted more than 40% in just one single day! That made many investors a bit sceptical. Some investors had panic and sold with both hands. Some had a Hold strategy.

Those who was cold enough to hold saw the stock come back. Later on, the stock went up 46% in one single day. What happened? Investors jumped in on very good news. That day, Microsoft announced that it has agreed to acquire the professional networking platform in an all-cash deal worth $26,2 billion.

lnkdmsft

Microsoft is paying $196 a share for LinkedIn, and LinkedIn`s official vote regarding the Microsoft acquisition will take place on August 19, 2016. Microsoft sold $20 billion in debt on Tuesday to fund the deal.

You cannot compare LinkedIn with Facebook but if you do, you will a different story with stagnant user growth. That being said, LinkedIn saw the largest growth in cumulative members since 2014 in the first quarter of 2016. It was up 19% to 433 million.

Talent Solutions and Marketing Solutions have remained LinkedIn`s strongest segments, which is growing 41% and 29% last quarter.

LinkedIns report on Thursday will be one of the last quarterly reports as a publically traded company after Microsofts bid last month.

Revenue is expected to come in at $902 million with an earnings per share of $0,81. This is an increase of 47% in earnings and 26% in sales compared to last year at the same time.

LinkedIn will report on August 4, after the market closes.

 

asphalt

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

Leave a comment

Filed under Stocks

Tesla wants to sell solar panels, batteries, and electric cars under the same umbrella

Tesla is reporting Q2 this week, and big things have happened lately. On Monday we can see that Tesla`s share price is falling, so why is the shares falling this time? CEO Elon Mush have made a deal with SolarCity.

Tesla and SolarCity are both cash-burning companies, and the agreement to merge gives Tesla`s shareholders more risk. The shareholders at SolarCity will receive 0,11 Tesla shares for each SolarCity shares if the deal goes through.

 

tesla-solarcity

I used the terms «goes through» because the deal is not done yet. This is why investors should be cautious about this deal right now. The deal must be approved by a majority of shareholders in both firms.

Elon Musk and Tesla said on Monday that SolarCity and Tesla can offer residential, commercial and grid-scale integrated solar and energy storage products. These products will «improve the way that energy is generated stored and consumed,» Tesla said.

Tesla also said on Monday that combining Tesla and SolarCity could save $150 million or more in its first full year after closing.

The deal was first announced in late June, and this is a $2,6 billion deal. We have super-humans on this planet and Elon Musk is one of them. What is he thinking with this acquisition? He will try to create a company that sells solar panels, batteries, and electric cars under the same umbrella.

Tesla has spent a lot of time and money on producing its Model S and Model X cars, and now they are spending a lot of time and money on its Gigafactory outside of Reno, Nevada. Elon Musk has earlier said that he thinks Tesla and SolarCity could create a trillion-dollar company.

The deal is expected to be close in Q4 this year if the deal is approved by regulators and independent shareholders.

Tesla have underperformed the S&P 500 so far in 2016. While S&P 500 is up 6%, Musk`s company is down 4%. Tesla is down about $2% on Monday, while SolarCity have plummeted about $7%.

The company reported a loss of 48 cents in the same period last year, and analysts reports an adjusted loss of 56 cents this time, which is much more than last time.

The sales are expected to reach $1,60 billion in the quarter, compared with $1,20 billion in the same period last year, but they are still burning cash.

Tesla will report Q2 earnings on Wednesday after the market closes.

 

asphalt

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

Leave a comment

Filed under Stocks

Google will earn billions on Pokèmon`s success

Google is expected to report earnings on Thursday 28, 2016, after market close. The report will be for the fiscal Quarter ending Jun 2016. The Google stock has skyrocketed since June this year, and this company never stop to impress.

google-pokemon

A couple of days ago we saw Apple go straight up after their earnings report. It is forecasted that Apple could see $3 billion in revenue over the next one to two years generated exclusively by Pokèmon Go.

So is it for Google.

The success of Pokèmon seems to give a huge bonus for both Apple and Google. Google Play are the base for any successful games running on Google`s platform, and so is it for the App Store at Apple.

The huge difference between Apple and Google are their system like iPhone and Android, but the amount of money consumers are spending on both platforms will benefit them both.

Nintendo jumped from 15,000 (TYO: 7974) in June to 32,000 on 19 July this year on their success Pokèmon Go. But it peaked at about 32,000. It plunged 14% yesterday on bad results. Earnings of $0,65 per share from a year ago plunge to a net loss of $1,93 per share.

Nintendo`s Wii U system also fell over 50% YoY. This is why Nintendo is going down and Google up.

Keep in mind that Nintendo is not the producer of the Pokèmon go app. Nor do they sell it.

The Pokèmon Company is a joint venture between Nintendo and two other Japanese companies, and they receives license fees from Pokèmon Go`s in-game purchases. Most of all these fees goes to former Google subsidiary Niantic Labs.

It`s funny when games like this has huge success. They will all profit from it, but for how long will the trend continue? Once it is over, it will drop like a stone.

We all know the story of fresh games like Mario, Zelda and Donkey Kong, and we also know that this is not the end of the gaming era. Nintendo are about to finish its next-generation video games console, code-named Nintendo NX.

Maybe Google will profit from that to.

EPS forecast for the quarter is 6,47 compared to $4,93 at the same time last year.

 

asphalt

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

1 Comment

Filed under Stocks

From $4 to $20 billion in three years

Microsoft is a great company, and CEO Satya Nadella is doing something right. Last year he said that Microsoft will try to reach $20 billion in revenue for its cloud business serices in 2017. Their cloud business is Office 365 commercial, Azure, Dynamics Online and other cloud properties.

The company had $4 billion in revenue from its cloud business in Q4 2014, and reached $12 billion in the past quarter. The arrow goes straight up and their new goal is for fiscal year 2018 (July 2017 – June 2018).

MSFT_chart

It seems like investors are impressed. They like what they see, and its shares jumped more than five percent after their earning report earlier this week. Microsoft is not so hot and trendy for investors anymore, but the tech giant is still running a great business.

We have seen a shift from mobile to cloud, and Microsoft is still innovative and thats why they are among the biggest companies in the world. Market cap is over $400 billion, and they are still growing. Thats impressive.

In their fourth quarter of the companys fiscal 2016, revenue from Microsoft Azure grew 102% YoY. Azures usage more than doubled in only one year.

Microsoft beat expectations, posting an adjusted profit of $5,5 billion on $22,6 billion in revenue. Their strategy on Windows 10 is a huge success and so are Office 365. The company is still among the biggest companies in the world.

 

asphalt

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

Leave a comment

Filed under Stocks