Category Archives: Stocks

JPMorgan Chase & Co will report earnings while we are entering a rate-cutting cycle

The banks are in focus this week as they will report earnings with JPMorgan Chase coming out with their report Tuesday morning before the open. JPMorgan has outperformed its peers and their growth has been 18% per year last three years.

Last two years, JPMorgan Chase has beaten Earnings Per Share estimates 100% of the time. They have also beaten revenue estimates 100% of the time.

Analysts expect JPMorgan to earn $2,50 per share in the second quarter on revenue of $28,91 billion. JPMorgan earned $2,22 in the second quarter last year.

JPMorgan is different from Well Fargo which is also reporting earnings on Tuesday. JPMorgan Chase has moved up over 10% over the past year while Wells Fargo has faced a lot of obstacles, inkluding lack of their own CEO.

The banking industry is scary to me at the moment, and the most dangerous bank in the world is in Europe. Dutche Bank has been a desaster for a long time and the company are on the edge. A collapse could send the whole world in a negative trend.

We are also entering a rate-cutting cycle which is not good for the banks either. The margins will shrink and the earnings will decline while the rates are falling and the spread between the rates on loans and the rates paid out on deposits shrinks.

Morgan Stanley and Citi both downgraded the industry as a whole because of this development with rates, but JPMorgan is still a favorite.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Uber and Bolt will compete in London and they have both a licence valid for 15 months

Uber is not alone in the market. Today, on Tuesday, Estonia-based Bolt launced in London. Uber will also face competition from Indian rival Ola which is backed by Softbank and a start-up backed by Chinese competitor Didi Chuxing.

Bolt, which is also know as Taxify have so far 20,000 registered drivers. In addition; the French app Kapten which is often called Chauffeur Privè, has also entered the market in London. Uber have huge competition with Ola in India and CEO and founder of Bolt, Markus Villig said Uber`s monopoly i London has come to an end.

Bolt are charging drivers much less to use its platform than Uber and that will be a huge challenge for Uber. Bolt will take 15% commission while Uber will take 25% commission for most drivers.

Bolt raised $175 million in funding from Daimler last year, along with funding from Transferwise and Chinese ride-hailing app Didi Chuxing.

The competition in the market can be seen in Uber`s revenue growth which have stalled over the past year. Lyft went public in March this year and Uber will face huge competiton in the U.S market.

The Softbank-backed food delivery company DoorDash has also been a national market share leader, and Uber have launched a pilot of its free-floating bike service called Junp in London. A food-delivery service called Uber Eats.

Uber won back a 15-month licence last year and so did Bolt. Uber was banned in London in 2017 because it was found to not be a «fit and proper» operator. The car-hailing app Bolt was also banned by Transport for London in 2017 because it did not have a licence. Bolt waited 18 months for its licence and now it is valid for 15 months.

London Mayor Sadiq Khan has defended the citys right to cap the number of Uber vehicles, and hes faced a lawsuit from drivers who are claiming racial descrimination over the city`s plans to charge them a daily congestion charge.

Forget about expensive taxi rides and slow public transport and move around fast and affordably. Your driver arrives in minutes.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

 

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Uber is offering 180 million shares for $44 and $50 and that will value the company at about $84 billion

The stock market is declining while the IPO market is hotter than ever this week. At least 15 IPO deals are expected to be priced this week and this is the biggest week since 2015. What most investors are focusing on now is Uber which is the biggest U.S company deal since Facebook in 2012.

Uber is finish with its roadshow in London, Boston and San Francisco, and the company is expected to price the sale on Thursday this week. The demand for the stock is strong and investors have put in orders for at least three times the amount of stock on offer.

Uber can raise as much as $9 billion and if that happen it will be the largest this year. It`s not clear what the price for stock will be but I think that the turmoil in the market at the moment will have an impact of the price range.

Uber is offering 180 million shares for $44 and $50 and that will value the company at about $84 billion. They have $11 billion in revenue and about $50 billion in gross bookings. Like Lyft, they have big operating losses.

Last year, Uber lost $3,03 billion in the 12 months through March. This is the largest loss ever for a U.S startup in the year before an IPO, and they have a lot of challenges.

More than 82% of the revenue comes from ridesharing while 13% comes from food delivery. Uber has a deal with McDonalds and used to get a 20% commission on deliveries. McDonalds renegotiatied the deal, and now Uber gets a 15% commission.

Chief Executive Dara Khosrowshahi is trying to sell Wall Street his vision that Uber will become the dominant force in all forms of transportation. But the competition is intense in many places around the globe.

China have its own Didi Chuxing while India has Zomato and Swiggy for food delivery. Didi is also in Latin America where they compete with Doordash, and all of them in the food delivery business.

Uber and Lyft drivers are planning a strike from 7 am to 9 am on Wednesday to protest their wages, their treatment as independent contractors rather than employees, and the lack of regulation governing the new sector.

Drivers have challenged the ride-sharing companies many times for refusing to deem them employees, which means they are responsible for maintenance of their own vehicles as well as gas and insurance, which greatly reduces the amount they can earn per hour.

Their competitor Lyft went public in April this year and entered the market with its IPO price of $72 per share. The stock soared on their debut but it came down again as IPO`s usually does, and now the stock is trading about 16 percent below its IPO price.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Tyson Foods will roll out a new burger and compete with Beyond Meat this summer

One of the fastest growing food companies in the United States rang the Nasdaq MarketSite bell in Times Square last week. Beyond Meat Inc offers a range of revolutionary plant-based meats. They build meat directly from plants.

“Today we become the first plant-based food company to list on Nasdaq, marking an important milestone in our mission of making plant-based meat accessible globally,” founder and chief executive officer of Beyond Meat, Ethan Brown said.

“With this progress we are one step closer towards becoming the generation that seperates meat from animals, unlocking the next era in the American story of innovation, disruption, and growth. We have always been a consumer driven brand and we are excited to invite the brand`s longtime fans and supporters to join in on our vision for the Future of Protein. Our goal is for people everywhere to have access to the health and environmental benefits of our delicious plant-based meats,” Ethan said.

Beyond Meat has received venture funding from Bill Gates, Leonardo DiCaprio, Biz Stone, the Human Society and Tyson Foods to name a few. The company began selling its chicken-free mock chicken products in Whole Foods across the US in April 2013.

In 2014 it developed a Beyond Beef product. The Beast Burger was available in February 2015. Beyond Sousage became available nationwide in January 2018, and People for Ethical Treatment of Animals named Beyond Meat as its company of the year for 2013.

The Beyond Burger contains 20 grams of protein and has no soy, no gluten, no cholesterol, and half the saturated fat of an 80/20 beef burer. However, it contains five times as much sodium as unseasoned hamburger meat and one dietician argued that the processing of the vegetarian ingredients could couase the loss of valuable nutrients.

Tyson Foods purchased a 5% stake in Beyond Meat in October 2016, but it sold its stake and exited the investment in April 2019, ahead of Beyond Meat`s IPO. Later on this summer, Tyson Foods will start to competed with Beyond Meat while they will roll out its own meatless products.

Their biggest competitor is Impossible Foods with their Impossible Burger. They announced that they were teaming up with Burger King to produce their own Impossible Whopper as a meny item. Not only that; even Ikea are jumping on this trend wagon.

Ikea said a plant-based Swedish meatball is already in the works and will be available early next year.

Americans are trying to cut down on their meat consumption and incorporate more plant-based foods in their diets and there is no doubt that plant-based foods gives people health benefits. Standard burgers are high in fat and cholesterol but plant-based foods are not.

Beyond Meat uses 100% natural ingredients while some of their competitors use genetically modified soy leghemoglobin. This ingredient has had a controversial history, with the FDA flip-flopping on whether it was safe for consumption.

The U.S meat substitute market is worth about $1,44 billion and by 2023, the market is expected to grow 74% ot $2,5 billion. Beyond apologized for shortages in 2017 and 2018, and Impossible Foods did the same last week, so it can be difficult for them all to meet the demand in the future.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Qualcomm will receive IP royalties even if the company face competition from Apple in the future

Qualcomm skyrocketed after they announced an agreement with Apple. CEO Tim Cook was asked about the agreement with Qualcomm during Tuesday`s earnings call and he said Apple is satisfied with the resolution.

Qualcomm is the world`s leading chip designer for wireless technologies, including 3G and 4G/LTE, and the company wants to be the leader in 5G as well. The agreement means that Apple could offer a 5G iPhone as early as spring 2020.

“Were glad to put the litigation behind us and all the litigation around the world has been dismissed and settled. Were very happy to have a multi-year supply agreement and we`re happy that we have a direct license arrangement with Qualcomm that was important for both companies. We feel good about the resolution,” Tim Cook said on Tuesday.

The settlement also included a chipset supply agreement, and Qualcomm is expected to provide the 5G chips that Apple will need to introduce 5G connectivity in its 2020 iPhones. After the agreement, Intel said that they are dropping out of the smart phone modem chip market entirely, and they have no plans to manufacture 5G chips.

Apple will be licensing 5G IP from Qualcomm and other license holders under the Fair, reasonable, And Non-discriminatory (FRAND) terms established by ETSI throughout the 5th generation of wireless technology.

If Apple develops and integrates its own modem technology in the future, Qualcomm will not lose on that, but still receive IP royalties even if the company face competition from Apple. So, licensing for the 6th generation will depend on Apple`s participation in future standards efforts.

Qualcomm does not have its own manufacturing facilities like Intel and Samsung. Their chips are produced by contract manufacturers such as Taiwan semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), or provide licenses to produce and use its intellectual property in smartphones.

Qualcomm has been on the market for a long time. So have Taiwan semiconductor manufacturing Company. TSMC was the world`s first dedicated semiconductor foundry and has long been the leading company in its field.

Qualcomm was created in July 1985 and have 35,400 employees. Net income last year was US$4,86 billion. The company is expected to report earnings on 01 May, 2019 after market close.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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