Category Archives: Stocks

by | February 19, 2014 · 1:35 pm

Tesla +422,1% (1YR)

Coca Cola`s (KO) Global volume rose 1% during Q4, they told us in their reports yesterday. They have a solid growth for its Powerade brand in North America. Beverages are still doing it well. Coca Cola is still a dominant consumer beverage company, trades at a forward PE of 15,4 and offers a dividend yield of close to 3%.

 

Market cap of $167B with revenues of $48B and a gross margin in excess of 60%. Net income of $9B. They have a massive distribution network and are able to distribute products globally to any corner of the world.

 

Zynga (ZNGA) was trading at $14,39 in March 2, 2012. It jumped +5,75% yesterday, now trading at $5,15. Zynga said they will cut their workforce by 15%. On top of that, they are buying NaturalMotion for $527 million. Is this the year Zynga makes a comeback?

 

Remember in 2012 when the company bought OMGPOP. The rival game maker slowly died and Zynga shut it down only one year after buying it. Will the latest purchase of NaturalMotion share the same fate?

 

There ain`t no doubt that 2013 was the year for Tesla (TSLA) and Elon Musk. They had a massive stock growth, media coverage, and everybody was talking about the «new» car. Elon Musk is often compared to Steve Jobs due to his innovation.

 

The Model S is an incredible success with their technology, safety, luxury and EV. When you look at the stock price for Tesla compared to the company’s true value, I belive 2014 will be something different from 2013.

 

Don`t get me wrong. I like the car and I am bullish in the long run, but sometimes in the long term bullish trend channel, we will see some corrections. The price of the stock has outpaced the progress that the company has made.

 

Reports today:

 

8:30AM ET USD Housing starts
8:30AM ET USD PPI-FD
2:00 PM ET USD FOMC Minutes

 

tesla

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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by | February 18, 2014 · 2:18 pm

Earnings reports

Nikkei rose 3,13% today. What a jump! This jump is based on good news for Bank of Japan (BOJ). The BOJ kept monetary policy steady and maintained its upbeat assessment on the economy. It also decided to extend three special loan facilities.

It is mixed in Europe and it seems like the U.S markets will open up today. Gold is trading down -0,34% at $1314,50. Silver is down -0,03%, trading at $21,41. Copper is up +0,32%, trading at 327,50.

Earnings reports to follow today: Coca cola (KO) is reporting for the quarter ending December 31, 2013. Consensus earnings per share is $0,46. This is a 2,22% increase compared to the earnings for the same quarter last year.

Norwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd (NCLH) is reporting for the quarter ending December 31, 2013. The companies consensus earnings per share forecast is $0,17. This is a 1600% increase compared to the same period last year. Price to earnings for NCLH is 26,90, while the industry ratio is 22,10, which means NCLH have a higher earnings growth than their competitors.

I look forward to the earnings report from Tesla (TSLA) tomorrow. The report will be for the fiscal Quarter ending December 2013. Consensus Eearnings per share forecast for the quarter is $0,04. EPS for the same periode last year was $-0,78. A great jump!

tesla

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

 

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by | February 10, 2014 · 2:24 pm

Gold is up

Gold continue to go up, now trading at 1271,50. Nikkei rose +1,77%. Up 255,93 points. The European markets is mixed today, but are not moving much. The U.S markets ended the week in green on friday. Dow +1,06%, S&P 500 +1,33% and Nasdaq +1,69%. Nokia is up 9,27%. Very good!

I will look for earnings reports from Tata Motors (TTM) today. Forecast EPS is $0,87 ($0,47 last year). The report will be for the fiscal Quarter ending Dec 2013. Many other earnings reports is coming out later this week.

Alibaba is trying to take full control over AutoNavi Holdings (AMAP). The stock is trading at $16,54. Up +7,26%. AutoNavi holdings is up 27,87% AH. EPS growth: -128%. Revenue growth: -6,02%. (Last Qtr).

Take a look a the gold this week. It`s still moving up. Sometimes it goes in the opposite direction of the equity market, and sometimes not. They can follow each other, so don`t forget to set «stop loss» if you are daytrading.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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by | February 7, 2014 · 12:34 pm

Best day in 2014!

Market update

Wall Street rallies on labor market data. Dow Jones bounced 1,22%. S&P 500 rocketed 1,24%. The best day for stocks so far in 2014! Technology sector is up 1,39%, but Twitter suffered yesterday. They went in another direction. Not a surprice for the most expensive stock in our universe.

twitter_newbird_boxed_blueonwhite-11

Twitter (TWTR) -24,16%

Twitter stock plummeted yesterday, but I am not suprised. EPS: -1,69. The record high is 74,73 and that price was insane. Now the stock is trading at 50,03. Down -15,94 points only yesterday. It seems like the stock will open up in a red territory today too.

LinkedIn’s (LNKD) site traffic declines. The site traffic fell Q/Q in Q4. Unique visitors dropped by 3M Q/Q to 139M (rose by 23M Y/Y). Page views fell by 1B to 10,6B (rose by 800M Y/Y). User engagement for mobile app traffic aren`t going as planned. Only 25% of the revenue is coming from ads. LinkedIn is less directly dependent on site/app traffic than Twitter and Facebook.

They spent +57% Y/Y on Sales and marketing. 35% of revenue is spent and that is $157,2M. R&D is up to +46% to $113,1M. Registered users rose by 18M Q/Q to 277M. Stocks follow earnings, and if you don`t deliver EPS, you`re not going get any love from the market. This stock will open down about -7% today.

Yelp (YELP) +18,9%

Revenue rose by 72% Y/Y to $70,7 mllion in the quarter. Revenue from 2012 ($137,6) rose to $233 million in 2013. That is up 69%. Net loss is $2,1 million in the quarter. It`s adjusted EBITDA improved by 470% Y/Y to $10,4 million. 39% increase in average unique monthly visitors to 120 million. Local business accounts increased by 69% Y/Y, to 67,200.

Yelp Outlook for Q1 – 2014: Yelp expects revenue to be about $73,5 – 74,5 million. Growth will approximately 60% compared to Q1 in 2013. For the full year, Yelp projects net revenue to about $353 – $358 million. Shares are up 299,7% (1YR). That`s not bad for a company without any profit in 2013.

Reports today:

08:30:00 USD Non-Farm Payrolls Forecast: 185K Previous: 74K
08:30:00 USD Uneployment rate Forecast: 6,70% Previous: 6,70%

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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by | February 6, 2014 · 2:32 pm

Twitter -17,7%

Market Update:

It`s all green in Europe today. Europe bounce back from an oversold technical level. Nikkei slid in a choppy session in Asia today. It seems like the U.S market will open up today, but I am very excited about the Social media stocks today. Take a look at Twitter. Down -17,7% AH!

Twitter:

Twitter beat the Wall Street expectations. The MAU`s growth is slowing, CEO Dick Costolo in Twitter (TWTR) said. He admitted on the CC Twitter needs to become more easy for new users to grasp. Loss in Q4 is $511 million. Revenue totaled $243 million (up 116%). Investors expected revenue of $218 million. Twitter beat the investors expectations on their first earnings report as a public company.

The blogging site had 241 million average monthly active users as of December 31 (Up 30% in one year). Mobile users is about 184 million in Q4 (up 37%). They added «only» 9 million users in the last 3 months.

Advertising revenue totaled $220 million (up 121% Y/Y), and mobile advertising accounts for more than 75% of that.

Twitter ended Q4 with about 1/5 as many MAU`s as Facebook have. Costolo belive he has the right solution: Adding more conversational features and rich media content. Enabling the discovery of content based on topics. Interactions per Timeline view continue to grow, he said.

He also said that retweets and favorites are up over 35%. Twitter are working with e-commerce opportunities and said they`re just scratching the surface when it comes to ad monetization. Twitter will take a conservative approach to ad load for the sake of the user experience.

After Twitter and Pandora (P) provided disappointed Q4 reports, Facebook (FB) and LinkedIn (LNKD) faced a big sell-off. Facebook is down 2,3% AH, and LinkedIn is down 1,6%. Twitters shareholder GSV Capital (GSVC) is also down 6,7%. Not a good day for social media companies today.

Twitter beat Q4 estimates and are above consensus revenue guidance. They reported a 7% Q7Q drop in timeline views and slowing monthly active user growth.

Pandora also beat Q4 estimates, but reported only in-line revenue and issued below-consensus guidance. LinkedIn will report after the close tomorrow.

Reports today:

08:30:00 EUR ECB press conference
08:30:00 USD Trade balance
08:30:00 USD Unemployment claims

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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