Category Archives: Stocks

Groupon is laying off 1,100

I have never been a fan of Groupon, and when I say that it is not as a customer. Groupon has a business model that really makes the customers big winners in this game. Nothing wrong with that, but it is the businesses that is paying for the show, and they don`t want to lose.

The stock has been hammered. Take a look at the chart below.

GRPN

Groupon Inc operates online commerce marketplaces worldwide that connects merchants to consumers by offering goods and services at a discount. Groupon offers deals on goods and services in three categories: Local deals (Local), Groupon Goods (Goods) and Groupon Getaways (Travel).

Its deals are accessed directly through its Websites, mobile applications and search engines. It`s impressive to see that Groupon grew from $312 million to $3,19 billion from 2010 to 2014. But now, it seems like the glory days are over.

What have happened?

First of all; in my opinion, the biggest winner in this game is the customer. Who are saying no to a great deal? No one. The customers are not paying to Groupon. They are paying to Groupon`s customer, which is the most important thing for Groupon. No customers – no income.

Groupon`s customers need to cut the bill in half. Voila! Groupon`s customer have already lost 50% of the original price. The end customer is satisfied of course, because who say no to 50% discount? The end customer pay to Groupon`s customer, but out of that, another 50% must go to Groupon, which means there is only 25% left to the supplier.

It could have been a good way to promote the business, but it seems like the end customer is the big winner. It depends on what business it is but customers who are paying for the products are not loyal. They will hunt for other discounts other places.

Not only that. Groupon has got a lot of competition from other companies. They are attacked from all sides. They have competition from e-commerce platforms like Amazon, Alibaba and eBay to name a few.

Not only e-commerce platforms are doing the same. Social platforms like Twitter and Facebook have both launched their own «Buy now» buttons. Again; customer are the big winners. Discount here and discount there. Discount everywhere.

Let`s say you sell product A for $1000. If you have your own customer base on Facebook, you can start a 50% discount campaign and still have 50% left without giving half of that to Groupon. It doesn`t matter for your customers, because they have 50% anyway, but it matters to you.

The management need to do something very fast.

Groupon announced it would cut 10 percent of its workforce and cease operations in some areas overseas. The company still have a lot of cash, and in a filing with the SEC, they says the restructuring will require a one-time charge of up to $35 million.

What they need to do is start focusing on their customers. Not their customers customers.

 

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New Jaguar SUV

Not only Tesla is planning a new SUV. No, they are not alone on the market. Belive it or not, but Jaguar is planning their first-ever SUV and will become one of the stars among other midlevel-luxury vehicles.

I still wait for the brand new Tesla SUV, but others on the market will be Rolls-Royce, Lamborghini, Aston Martin and Maserati. In addition; Jaguar will also be challenging Bentley`s Bentayga.

Jaguar F-Pace2c

(Picture: Jaguar F-Pace)

 

They will all show the world their new plans for 2016 and beyond on the new Frankfurt Motor Show: September 17 – 27 in Frankfurt, Germany. Public hours are 9 a.m to 7 p.m. Beginning the 19th. All this will show off before the domestic auto shows in Los Angeles, Detroit and New York in November later this year.

The new Jaguar F-pace SUV is planned to be a start of an onslaught of brand new models. Jaguar is very busy with their new XE and their brand new XF (later this year). Together with the new F-Pace, they are all going to fund the development of new models in the future.

Jaguar is investigating an SUV to sit below sister brand Range Rover`s Evoque in size, and with the massive growth in global demand for smaller SUV`s, the goal is set to reach $20 million a year by 2020.

The Jaguar F-Pace is an SUV with the soul of a sports car, and the Birmingham-built new Jaguar F-Pace has set a new world record; by driving through 360 degrees in a giant wheel. F-Pace broke the Guinness World Records title for largest ever “Loop the Loop”.

We shouldn`t expect a new seven-seat Jaguar, and it is not going to rival the Range Rover or Range Rover Sport either, but a new family of smaller-capacity engines could find its way into the baby SUV.

Jaguar accounted for 81,570 global sales last year, and the company has plenty of room for growth with innovative design and technology. Jaguar is expected to exceed 200,000 by the end of the decade, helped by their new XE, XF and the F-Pace models.

Jaguar`s F-Pace is expected to undercut the Porsche Macan`s $50,000 entry fee, and come closer to other competitors starting stickers at just over $40,000. Land Rover moved more than 51,000 units last year, while Jaguar came in with 16,000.

Jaguar sees a desperate need to grow sales via a more complete luxury catalog. They are late to the SUV party, but F-Pace can become Jaguar`s bestseller.

 

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Tesla Energy is growing

Tesla`s CEO Elon Musk said last year that their new SUV should be ready in May this year, but I still can`t see in on the market. Why? It`s probably because of their new business? The battery business, which is a $1 billion worth business.

CEO Elon Musk revealed some interesting new details about the new battery business last month. Tesla is on the way to build a Giga battery factory and the company will sell its batteries to industrial companies, utilities, commercial and home-owners.

 

Tesla Powerwall future

(Picture: Tesla Powerwall)

 

We all know the huge battery in their cars but their new market will be the battery to store energy from solar panels or energy from the power grid to be used for various purposes. Tesla`s Gigafactory is producing two new battery products, which is the larger Powerpack and the smaller Powerwall.

The demand for Tesla`s Powerpack is much bigger than the Powerwall. Straubel said earlier this year that the demand for their Powerpack is 70% of the business and 30% for their the Powerwall. Tesla`s new grid battery business is called «Tesla Energy».

The production is starting in the Gigafactory in the first quarter next year, but the first equipment to make the grid batteries in the Gigafactory will be installed at the end of this year.

So far, Tesla have about 100,000 reservations and the demand for their batteries is «crazy». The reservations are non-binding orders which is worth $1 billion. This is only the beginning and it is estimated to give around $40 million in grid battery sales at the end of this year.

But Elon Mush said that sales for the battery business could be «ten times that number next year», which means $400 million in a quarter. If this growth continue, for all I know, the sales can surpass Tesla`s Model S sales one day?

Well, Tesla is not alone on the market. There are tons of competitors that are already building batteries for the grid and buildings, and the projects using low-cost lithium-ion batteries are booming.

Batteries that let utilities, businesses and solar panel owners store energy is a growing market and 2015 will be a break out year for the battery makers.

A large coal or natural gas plant can generate a thousand megawatts, while a large solar farm can generate hundreds of megawatts of energy. According to GTM Research, there will be 220 megawatts of energy storage projects built in the U.S. You see the growth potential here?

The amount of energy storage projects installed was nine times higher than in the same time last year. The growth for energy storage will grow from 220MW in 2015 to about 858MW in 2019. The demand of low-cost lithium-ion batteries has led to mass production in Asia.

Solar companies are starting to pair batteries with solar panels, and the solar and storage pairing can also make solar energy more competitive with fossil fuels, and Utilities are starting to buy big battery banks which is the vast majority in this market right now.

87% of the 40,7 megawatts of energy storage installed in the U.S came from utility projects in the second quarter, but the battery market for commercial and industrial building owners grew significantly, too, according to GTM Research.

Tesla`s battery market made up 1% of the batteries installed in the second quarter and that was 61% higher than what it was in the first quarter. How big can Tesla`s Gigafactory be? And can it go beyond its present size?

 

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Apple event on Wednesday

Apple Inc has launched two important new products this year which is Apple Music and Apple Watch. But who is talking about it and how is the business right now? Readers of Shinybull know what I mean about those two products.

I have earlier said that an Apple Watch is a nice thing to have but a phone like iPhone is a «Must have».

The body design of the new iPhone will be similar to the iPhone 6 and 6 Plus. We will probably see a new feature called Force Touch, which first debuted with the Apple Watch. Iphone is a very important product for Apple Inc.

Apple-TV-box

(Picture: Apple TV-box)

The company cannot expect to be a growth company based on others products and ideas. I have said earlier that Apple Music must make a different platform than Spotify if they want to compete with them. Why should people run from Spotify to Apple Music?

Spotify succeeded because they had a great idea, and the idea was streaming at one price a month. The market wanted it much more than buying songs for about 1 dollar at iTunes.

Some investors sold shares at Fitbit Inc because of the Apple Watch, but Fitbit shears is up 11,98 percent to US $ 35,65 right now in New York. Fitbit Inc went public in June 17 at US $20 a share. Morgan Stanley has a price target of $58 a share.

Despite competition from Apple, Fitbit maintained 21 percent of the wearable market in July. The number of Fitbit users who planned to buy Apple`s watch fell from May to July, according to Morgan Stanley.

Apple is expected to show off a new Apple TV system. CEO Tim Cook talked about Apple TV`s lower price during an event in March earlier this year. Analysts say the new Apple TV could serve as a hub for Siri to control lamps, thermostats and other «smart» appliances, using Apple`s HomeKit technology.

Apple has tried to convince media companies for years to strike deals for the Apple TV to carry live programming outside traditional cable and satellite packages. Now, the company has opened up its TV set-top box to outside apps, and a quality app is vital to win in this market.

The new TV box is part of the company’s strategy to carve out a bigger role in the home. It is expected to see a redesigned Apple TV set-top box with new capabilities for apps and games, and Siri is expected to become «smarter».

Siri can offer recommendations, such as nearby restaurants. She will also offer to add calendar and contact entries based on your incoming email. She can launch apps for you based on your past habits.

Hey, Siri, when is the new event starting?

Apple Inc is hosting its annual splash on Wednesday to talk more about its new iPhone. The event starts at San Francisco`s Bill Graham Civic Auditorium at 10 a.m on Wednesday September. 9.

 

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7 for 1 stock split in Netflix

Netflix shares are up 3,24% AHT right now. The company announced earlier today the plan designed to make Netflix shares more affordable to average investors. If everything goes like planned and the share prices holds on Wednesday, the shares of Netflix will hit a new all-time high.

Netflix said earlier this year (april) that it had plans to split the stock and that is what will happen on Wednesday. The stock can go up to $700, but the split will of course change the price but not the valuation of the company.

The valuation is $41 billion and that is making it the best performer in the Nasdaq 100 so far in 2015. Wow! That is pretty impressive. The stock is up 100% since January 2015! All time high for Netflix is $692,79 on June 10.

 

 

netflix-logo

 

A year ago, Netflix had about 48 million subscribers, but new shows like «House of cards» gave the company more subscribers, and now they account for about 62 million subscribers world-wide. The U.S growth is strongly helped by new shows like «Bloodline» and «Unbreakable Kimmy Schmidt».

The company`s share price has a history of many roller coaster rides. In the last 52 weeks range, the stock has gone from $315,54 to $692,79. Revenue in Q1 came in at $1,57 billion with a growth rate of 24%.

Share price on thursday is $681,19. EPS: 3,84, while Price earnings is 177,25.

CEO Reed Hastings is doing a good job.

 


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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication. UA-63539824-1.

 

 

 

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