Tag Archives: Yanis Varoufakis

Emmanuel Macron has 62% of the vote while Jaques Chirac had 82,2% against Marine Le Pen`s father in 2002

People in France are at a very critical moment as they need to vote for a pro-European liberal or a far-right challenger. Voters in France will not only vote for France`s future but also for its place in the European Union.

Whats so special about this election is that the Socialist party and the center-right that have run France since the 1950s is out of the game with their old models. No matter what the winner is, the new President of France will have an agenda for change.

So, who is the next President of France?

 

 

The difference between Macron and Le Pen is that Macron want to stay in the European Union and Le Pen want to get out as soon as possible. They talked about it in a TV debate earlier this week. Emmanuel Macron also had this to say about Le Pen and her right-wing party:

“The France I want will not be divided. To make that happened we will need to leave a system that produced them. You are the co production of the system you are denouncing because you living thanks to it. You are its parasite!”

Wow! That was heavy stuff. «War declared» was also the headline in front of the newspaper in France earlier this week, and that was a message from Ms. Le Pen. There is no doubt; there is a war out there. The globalists vs The Populists.

Its a Populist wave in Europe, but we saw in Netherland that the Populists are still a minority. People in Netherland didnt want them. The latest poll in France is telling us that Macron will win by 62% which is a big victory.

But its not as good as Jacques Chiracs victory in 2002. He won 82,2% of the vote against the far-right candidate Jean-Marie Le Pen, which is the father of Marine Le Pen.

Chirac`s internal policies initially included lower tax rates, the removal of price control, strong punishment for crime and terrorism, and business privatization. After pursuing these policies as Prime Minister in 1986 – 1988, he changed his method.

He argued for more socially responsible economic policies, and he was elected in 1995 after campaigning on a platform of healing the “social rift” (fracture sociale).

Then, Chiracs economic policies, based on dirigisme, state-directed ideals, stood in opposition to the laissez-faire policies of the United Kingdom, which Chirac famously described as "Anglo-Saxon ultraliberalism". Chiracs religion is Roman Catholicism just like Emmanuel Macron.

There is a war going on and some of the weapons is «fake news». During the heated and sometimes vicious TV debate, Le Pen told Macron she hoped “we will not find out that you have an offshore account in the Bahamas”.

That was a reference to documents circulating on the internet that linked Macron to a Caribbean bank and was easily identifiable as forgeries. Macron swiftly rejected the comment as «defamation».

Paris prosecutors have launched a preliminary investigation into whether the fake news was being used to influence Sunday`s election runoff. Are we facing the same tactic as we saw during the American election?

“Macron came to Greeces aid during our crisis. The left should back him, Yanis Varoufakis said. Former President Obama said: «Im not planning to get involved in many elections now that I don`t have to run for office again, but the French election is very important to the future of France and the values that we care so much about”.

He added: “I have admired the campaign that Emmanuel Macron has run. He has stood up for liberal values. He put forward the vision for the important role that France plays in Europe and around the world. And he has committed to a better future for French people. He appeals to people`s hopes, and not their fears.”

I look forward to Sunday.

 

 

 

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Brexit will probably not hurt London financial center

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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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The Greek bailout drama intensifies

Greece is in trouble, and tomorrow is the day were many things can happen. The media has talked about the debt in Greece for a long time now, and the media tells you that Greece has a $339 million payment due to the IMF tomorrow.

But what if they don`t have money?

The Finance Minister in Greece, Yanis Varoufakis has pointed out that they will not pay if a restructured deal can`t be reached with their creditors. What is this Greek debt drama compared to a San Andreas earthquake disaster movie? Have a look at the film below. It is the European Debt crisis visualized.

 

 

The Greek civilization is considered by historians as the first one in the history of mankind. It was a highly developed community, and their lifestyle and inventions indicated a high sense of order and aesthetics.

The ancient Greeks were very keen on sports. The great athletic contest called the Olympic games (OL) began in 776 BC, which marked the beginning of the rise of the Greek civilization. The government was usually unstable due to the tyranny of the aristocrats.

I have been in Greece once and it is a beautiful country. The ancient age of Greek civilization saw the birth of great philosophers like Pluto, Socrates, and the great emperor, Alexander. War with other civilizations began in 490 BC, and now they are in trouble again. Money trouble. They have a huge debt, and need to pay their lenders.

If they pay, they will not be in heaven for a long time, because this will be followed by another 1,2 billion euro debt payment over the next two weeks. In addition; Greek finance ministers have already said that they will not pay these payment without restructuring its debt either.

But it will not stop here. The final Greek drama will probably play out until July, so don`t open your champagne yet. More drama is yet to come.

Greece`s Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras said early this morning after late-night talks with senior EU Official that they were close to a deal with their creditors and that Athens would make a payment due to IMF tomorrow.

Some have said creditors and left-wing Greek government had drafted their own, different, version of a possible accord. Facing bankruptcy, Tsipras` government has been resisting creditors` demand for bigger cuts in pension payments and bigger sales tax increases to generate higher budget surpluses before interest payments that would let it to pay off debts.

I`m not so worried about IMF, because missing a payment is not a big deal in global financial circles. Many creditors have waited with their payments to IMF like Cuba, Honduras and Sudan to name a few.

But if they don`t pay to the ECB later on this summer, then you have to wake up! Central bankers can be very unfriendly if they don`t pay their 3,5 billion euro debt payment it owes the European Central Bank. Watch out for that.

In addition; ECB will stop its emergency lending to Greek banks, and that is a $88 billion dollar lifeline that is keeping them alive right now. People know all that, and that`s why they pulled 800 million euro out of Greek banks a few days ago.

Government debt as a percent of GDP is used by investors to measure a country’s ability to make future payments on its debt, thus affecting the country borrowing costs and government bond yields. Greece recorded a Government Debt to GDP of 177,10 percent in 2014, and that`s all time high.

To put this in perspective: Japan`s debt to GDP is 227,20. USA; 101,53. Euro Area; 91,90. Spain; 97,7. Italy; 132,10. UK; 89,4. Cyprus; 107,5. Ireland; 109,7. Portugal; 130,2. Singapore; 105,5. Lebanon; 145,9.

Libya; 6,10!

I`m not worried about Greece in the short term because they have a lot of values in their balance sheet, which means it will take some time before the real big test is coming. The debt is sustainable, because their debt cost is estimated to 2,6% of GDP, so what is the justification for writing down Greece`s debt? The problem is not the debt, but the Eurozone`s bailout condition. Money is almost free and the (nominal) interest rates are low, and no principal is due until 2022.

EU`s fiscal compact, which requires governments with debts of more than 60% of GDP to reduce the excess by one twentieth a year makes it more difficult, and that`s a tall order with Greece`s debt wich is 177,10% of GDP. What they need is less restrictive bailout conditions and relaxation of the fiscal compact rules.

Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras wrote an open letter to the German people, published in Handelsblatt on January 13, 2015;

 
In 2010, the Greek state ceased to be able to service its debt. Unfortunately, European officials decided to pretend that this problem could be overcome by means of the largest loan in history on condition of fiscal austerity that would, with mathematical precision, shrink the national income from which both new and old loans must be paid. An insolvency problem was thus dealt with as if it were a case of illiquidity.
In other words, Europe adopted the tactics of the least reputable bankers who refuse to acknowledge bad loans, preferring to grant new ones to the insolvent entity so as to pretend that the original loan is performing while extending the bankruptcy into the future. Nothing more than common sense was required to see that the application of the ‘extend and pretend’ tactic would lead my country to a tragic state. That instead of Greece’s stabilization, Europe was creating the circumstances for a self-reinforcing crisis that undermines the foundations of Europe itself.
My party, and I personally, disagreed fiercely with the May 2010 loan agreement not because you, the citizens of Germany, did not give us enough money but because you gave us much, much more than you should have and our government accepted far, far more than it had a right to. Money that would, in any case, neither help the people of Greece (as it was being thrown into the black hole of an unsustainable debt) nor prevent the ballooning of Greek government debt, at great expense to the Greek and German taxpayer.

 

You can wrap $1 bills around the earth 1,471 times with Greece`s debt amount. The unempoyment rate is still high at 25,6%, and the depression will continue.

 


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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication. UA-63539824-1.

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