Tag Archives: Toyota

Tesla joined the $100B club, but VW is still bigger by enterprice value and will become the official global industry leader by sales for 2019

The shares of Tesla look more like Space X. The shares has skyrocketed since the summer last year, and the shares is up over 200 percent. It`s a funny story, but what`s even more funny is that Tesla joined the $100 billion club earlier this week. They surpassed Volkswagen.

The $100 billion club is measured by a market cap but if you look at sales or profit you have a different picture. But it isn`t bad to be the second most valuable global carmaker after topping the combined value of Ford and GM. Toyota is still on top with a value of $198 billion.

There is no doubt; the future is green and EV`s like Tesla will outnumber cars with fossile fuels. Musk is planning to build a new plant in Germany and started to sell from a new plant in China earler this month.

VW is still bigger by enterprice value and they will become the official global industry leader by sales for 2019. In a speech, Chief Executive Herbert Diess urged his executives to focus on profit rather than sales.

The EV industry have huge challenges. Battery technology is very expensive. So are R&D and all the factories they are planning build. On top of that you have all the workers. GM`s battle with the United Auto Workers union last fall illustrated how costly the process of winding down factories can be for companies too.

So far, the valuation have been bumpy and it seems like it will remain bumby. We saw a dip on Friday after a wild speculative ride.

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The Auto Industry is strong

The U.S auto industry is up 75% since 2009, and is on the way to a new record year of annual sales, according to GM. U.S auto sales was only 10,4 million vehicles in 2009 but has skyrocketed to as much as 18,2 million so far in 2015, and this is the highest level since 2001.

Did someone say the U.S economy is bad? October was a huge month for the auto industry, despite concerns about a slowdown in consumer spending and stagnant wages. According to World Bank, the GDP per capita in the U.S was last recorded at 46405,26 dollars in 2014. That`s an all time high.

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Fiat Chrysler automotive reported its 67th straight month of YoY gains. Up 14,7% from 2014. Ford Motor Co is up 13%. Toyota Motor Corp; up 13%. Nissan Motor Co; up 12,5% in October, while GM said its sales is up 16% to 262,993 vehicles last month. The best October since 2004.

We cannot say the same about Tesla. They lowered the number of vehicles it plans to sell in 2015. From 50,000 – 55,000 to about 50,000 – 52,000. Tesla`s earnings growth in 2015 is -159,03% vs industry earnings growth at 24,50%, while P/E is down -85,86%.

Despite that, the most hyped stock in the market is up over 11% on Wednesday. Tesla announced Q3 results on Wednesday and they missed while burning a record amount of cash. Q3 non-GAAP gross margin dropped from 29,4% in 2014 to 25,1%.

Tesla released the new SUV a month ago and they have spent a lot of money into the production of this new model, so investors will want to see that sales of their new Model X are offsetting those costs. Tesla`s ongoing cash burn is the company`s worst cash burning quarter in their history.

Tesla`s Model 3 will be their most cost-effective model starting at $35k, and Tesla said they will start taking orders in March next year. The stock is up on Wednesday because of Musk`s forecast and that was as usual bullish.

Tesla has been working hard on building its gigafactory outside of Reno in Nevada. Their goal is to produce cheaper batteries and China is in focus for Tesla, because weaker sales can move the manufacturing facility to the region, as China is a key market for luxury cars.

What about Volkswagen?

Volkswagen`s recall is one of the biggest in Europe with 11 million vehicles worldwide. That`s more then they sell in one year. Rebates may help them to slow the decline, but the German carmaker`s market share in Europe is at its lowest in six months. Do I need to say more?

All this is happening while the rests of the world is waiting for the driverless cars which may become sooner than expected. GM now tries to beat Google to the driverless future. Steve Jobs talked about building Apple Car as early as 2008, so we expect to see Apple as well in the market and sooner than we know.

I`m not in doubt; the electric car is the future of the auto industry.

There is one problem. If we`re gonna help the rich, we need to help the poor. People need money and jobs. That`s how you create consumers.What we see in Tesla`s stock today is the stock market in miniature. Bad news is turned into good and the stock is rising high in the sky.

The auto industry looks strong, but Q3 reports seems to give us a sign of slower sales and earnings, and I haven`t seen that since 2009. But stimulus in China and Europe helps the stocks to rally.

Fed Chair Janet Yellen said the economy is solid on Wednesday in testimony before the House Financial Services committee in Washington. She said that would spur December rate hike. She said; «Domestic spending has been growing at a solid pace».

The rate has been near zero since 2008 and the Fed have waited for labor markets to move closer to their goal of full employment. The unemployment rate stood at 5,1% in September. The auto industry need consumers.

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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication. UA-63539824-1.

 

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Who is Elon Musk?

 

The mind behind Tesla, SolarCity and SpaceX is the entrepreneur Elon Musk. A man with many plans. He is also the founder of PayPal and Zip2. Widely considered a co-founder of each. He has also envisioned a conceptual high-speed transportation system known as the hyperloop.

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Elon Musk met his first wife Justine Musk at Ontario`s Queen`s University. They married in 2000 and separated eight years later. They have six sons, the eldest of whom, died of SIDS when he was 10 weeks old.

 

In 2012, he ended a four-year relationship with his second wife, British actress Talulah Riley, but in a 60 Minutes interview on March 30,2014 he said he is still happy together with Talulah. In February 11, 2014, Musk was invited to attend a state dinner at the White House.

 

Most of you probably know the story of Steve Jobs (Apple Inc), but Elon Musk is often compared to Steve Jobs and Henry Ford. It can`t be better than that. I personally like people who is thinking big. Really BIG! Thinking they want to go to the moon or into the space. Just like John F. Kennedy.

 

First of all, Elon Musk is an investor. He earned his big money during the financial crises in 1998. This is how succesful investors are doing it. Earning money no matter where the market goes. The most important thing is to be on the right side of the market!

 

Elon Musk was born in Pretoria in South Africa, in 1971, to a Canadian mother and a South African-born British father. He taught himself computer programming and sold the computer code for a video game called Blaster for $500 when he was 12 years old.

 

In 1992, Elon Musk transferred to the University of Pennsylvania where he received a bachelor`s degree in economics from the Wharton School. He stayed on a year to finish his second bachelor`s degree in physics.

 

Then he moved to California to pursue a PhD in applied physics at Standford but left the program after two days to pursue his entrepreneurial aspirations in the areas of the internet, renewable energy and outer space. He became an American citizen in 2002.

 

Musk did not start his business career at Tesla. His fist company was Zip2 which is a web software company. Zip2 developed and marketed an internet «city guide» for the newspaper publishing industry.

 

Compaq acquired Zip2 for US$307 million in cash and US$34 million is stock options in 1999. Musk received 7% or $22 million from the sale, and co-founder of Zip2 was his brother, Kimbal. Now, Mush had money to start a new project.

 

He co-founded X.com, an online financial services and e-mail payment company. One year later, the company merged with Confinity, which operated a subsidiary called PayPal. The original intent was to merge the two systems, but it never happened.

 

Musk favored the PayPal brand over the X.com brand, and PayPal`s early growth was due in large part to a successful viral growth campaign created by Musk. PayPal was acquired by eBay for $US 1,5 billion in stock, in October 2002.

 

PayPal`s largest shareholder was Elon Musk and he owned 11,7% of PayPal`s shares. He pocketed $165 million from the sale, which was good for the next project. His third company was SpaceX. Musk co-founded it with rocket propulsion engineer Tom Mueller in June 2002.

 

SpaceX develops and manufactures space launch vehicles with a focus on advancing the state of rocket technology. The company`s fist two launch vehicles are the Falcon 1 and Falcon 9 rockets, and its first spacecraft is the Dragon.

 

The company was awarded a $1,6 billion NASA contract on December 23, 2008. They designed Falcon 9/Dragon with astronaut transport in mind and the Augustine commission recommended that astronaut transport be handled by commercial companies like SpaceX.

Musk revealed that he was influenced by Isaac Asimov`s Foundation series and views space exploration as an important step in expanding the consciousnes of human life. But why is Elon Musk so interested in the space?

 

He had said that multiplanetary life may serve as a hedge against threats to the survival of the human species. «An asteroid or a super volcano could destroy us, and we face risks the dinosaurs never saw: an engineered virus, inadvertent creation of a micre black hole, catastrophic global warming or some as-yet unknown technology could spell the end of us.

 

He founded SpaceX with $100 million of his early fortune, and he wants to reduce the cost of human spaceflight by a factor of 10. In an interview, he said he hopes to send humans to Mars surface within 10 – 20 years.

 

Tesla Motors was co-founded by Martin Eberhard, Marc Tarpenning, JB Straubel, Ian Wright and Elon Musk, who became involved with the company in 2004, as a Series A investor. They started with the electric car called the Tesla Roadster, with sales of about 2,500 vehicles to 31 countries.

 

They began delivery of its four-door Model S sedan on 22 June 2012. Model X is scheduled to begin production in early 2015. I think many are waiting for that SUV to be released on the minivan market.

 

In addition to its own cars, Tesla sells electric powertrain systems to Daimler for Smart EV and Mercedes A Class and to Toyota for the RAV4EV. Musk was able to bring in both companies as long-term investors in Tesla.

 

Musk provided the initial concept for SolarCity, which was then co-founded by his cousins Lyndon and Peter Rive. Musk remains the largest shareholder and SolarCity is now the largest provider of solar power systems in the United States. The underlying motivation for funding both SolarCity and Tesla is to help combat global warming.

 

Like many other investors, Musk started his own foundation called Musk Foundation, which focuses its philanthropic efforts on science education, pediatric health and clean energy. He is trusted of the X Prize Foundation, promoting renewable-energy technologies.

 

In 2011, he visited Soma City in Fukushima, Japan, which had been devastated by tsunami, and he donated a solar power project valued at $250,000 to this city. He also donated a solar-power system for critical needs to a hurricane response center in Alabama that had been neglected by state and federal aid. SolarCity is not involved in this state.

 

Elon Musk joined The Giving Pledge in April 2012, offering an ethical commitment to donate the majority of his fortune to philanthropic causes. Musk became a member of the campaign first popularised by Warren Buffet and Bill Gates with class of 12 of America`s wealthiest families and individuals. What a great story!

 

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

 

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