Tag Archives: Auto Industry

Apple have a cash hoard of $250 billion and enough software know-how to build great self-driving car technology

Apple is a big company with a market cap of $783,07 billion, and most of its success is coming from its flagship iPhone. CEO Tim Cook in May noted a «pause» in iPhone sales but Apple is expected to come out with a new and expensive iPhone in a few months.

It will be a super premium tenth-anniversary iPhone costing $1,000 or more, but that will not help the sales of their iPhone at the moment. In addition, the pause could also be delayed. Maybe into a new fiscal year.

 

 

What is an electric car actually? It is a smart phone with four wheels, because there aren`t much difference from an electric car and a smart phone. And who can enter the auto industry better than Apple?

Apple have everything they need to design a brand new electric car. They have more than enough much-needed software know-how and the company is already working with car companies on CarPlay. They have $150 billion of net cash and $50 billion of free cash flows annually.

Apple compete with Google and Microsoft and it will be very disruptive when they all enters the car industry with its brand new electric cars.

Whats funny to see is that these companies are not car companies but rather software companies. It speaks for itself. Apple is a strong brand with many fans worldwide, and Apple Car can take a large share in the auto market.

Tim Cook said in June this year that Apple has autonomous car ambitions. Apple is working to build self-driving car technology, referring to the endeavor as “the mother of all AI projects”.

But it seems like Google are leading. In December, Google launched Waymo, wich is “a new way forward in mobility.” So far, they have more than 2 million miles of public-roadway testing for its vehicles.

What will happen if Apple buy Tesla? They could quickly become a leader, but Elon Musk laughs off the idea of Apple buying Tesla. But earlier this year, Musk said “Never say never to Apple buying Tesla”.

Apple have a cash hoard of more than $250 billion, and that is giving them the opportunity to spend some of it for acquisitions or buybacks.

We know that Elon Musk earlier this year had a meeting with acquisitions chief at Apple and news regarding this case would be a bomb in the stock market.

Apple Inc is expected to report earnings on Tuesday August 01 after market close. Earnings forecast for the quarter is $1,57 versus $1,42 for the same quarter last year.

 

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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What`s up in the auto industry?

If people have jobs and wages with great income, they will spend money on things. One sector to look for is the auto industry. I wrote an article about the auto industry in December last year, and GM said the auto industry was up 75% since 2009.

In 2009, the auto sales was only 10,4 million vehicles, but skyrocketed to as much as 18,2 million in December 2015, which was the highest level since 2001. But what now?

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(Picture: Mercedes-Benz patent)

 

We know there is a fear in the market and so is it in the auto industry. The GM stocks are down and look very cheap at the moment. GM is trading at around $28, which is near multi-year lows and that is after GM has smashed Q4 earnings.

Low interest rate and cheap gasoline have without doubt been extremely good for GM. They sold a lot of trucks and SUV`s which turned the automaker to beat the analysts estimates. Both on revenue and earnings and posted a record net profit of $9,7 billion for 2015.

Not only that. GM promised to do it even better in the next quarter. How in the world can GM say that, and what makes GM`s reward for outperforming in a market where most of the other blue chips cut costs and fire workers to hold the stock up?

German automaker Daimler AG is down about 4% (11 am) so far on thursday followed by a lackluster earnings report and a weaker outlook for 2016. They said 2015 was a strong year, but investors are jumping off the wagon as they warned that the earnings and sales growth in 2016 are likely to fall.

Dieter Zetsche said that Daimler expects growth in China to be slower in 2016. China is Daimler`s biggest market and their sale rose 41% in 2015. Despite expected slower growth in China, Zetsche belive they can achieve market share gains.

The auto industry is not as bad as the oil industry. Low gasoline prices is good for the auto industry and bad for the oil industry. BP announced earnings and its profits crashed 91%! At the same time, Daimler increased their dividends from €2,45 to €3,25 which is the highest ever.

Zetsche also said that big things will happen for Daimler in 2016.

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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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The Auto Industry is strong

The U.S auto industry is up 75% since 2009, and is on the way to a new record year of annual sales, according to GM. U.S auto sales was only 10,4 million vehicles in 2009 but has skyrocketed to as much as 18,2 million so far in 2015, and this is the highest level since 2001.

Did someone say the U.S economy is bad? October was a huge month for the auto industry, despite concerns about a slowdown in consumer spending and stagnant wages. According to World Bank, the GDP per capita in the U.S was last recorded at 46405,26 dollars in 2014. That`s an all time high.

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Fiat Chrysler automotive reported its 67th straight month of YoY gains. Up 14,7% from 2014. Ford Motor Co is up 13%. Toyota Motor Corp; up 13%. Nissan Motor Co; up 12,5% in October, while GM said its sales is up 16% to 262,993 vehicles last month. The best October since 2004.

We cannot say the same about Tesla. They lowered the number of vehicles it plans to sell in 2015. From 50,000 – 55,000 to about 50,000 – 52,000. Tesla`s earnings growth in 2015 is -159,03% vs industry earnings growth at 24,50%, while P/E is down -85,86%.

Despite that, the most hyped stock in the market is up over 11% on Wednesday. Tesla announced Q3 results on Wednesday and they missed while burning a record amount of cash. Q3 non-GAAP gross margin dropped from 29,4% in 2014 to 25,1%.

Tesla released the new SUV a month ago and they have spent a lot of money into the production of this new model, so investors will want to see that sales of their new Model X are offsetting those costs. Tesla`s ongoing cash burn is the company`s worst cash burning quarter in their history.

Tesla`s Model 3 will be their most cost-effective model starting at $35k, and Tesla said they will start taking orders in March next year. The stock is up on Wednesday because of Musk`s forecast and that was as usual bullish.

Tesla has been working hard on building its gigafactory outside of Reno in Nevada. Their goal is to produce cheaper batteries and China is in focus for Tesla, because weaker sales can move the manufacturing facility to the region, as China is a key market for luxury cars.

What about Volkswagen?

Volkswagen`s recall is one of the biggest in Europe with 11 million vehicles worldwide. That`s more then they sell in one year. Rebates may help them to slow the decline, but the German carmaker`s market share in Europe is at its lowest in six months. Do I need to say more?

All this is happening while the rests of the world is waiting for the driverless cars which may become sooner than expected. GM now tries to beat Google to the driverless future. Steve Jobs talked about building Apple Car as early as 2008, so we expect to see Apple as well in the market and sooner than we know.

I`m not in doubt; the electric car is the future of the auto industry.

There is one problem. If we`re gonna help the rich, we need to help the poor. People need money and jobs. That`s how you create consumers.What we see in Tesla`s stock today is the stock market in miniature. Bad news is turned into good and the stock is rising high in the sky.

The auto industry looks strong, but Q3 reports seems to give us a sign of slower sales and earnings, and I haven`t seen that since 2009. But stimulus in China and Europe helps the stocks to rally.

Fed Chair Janet Yellen said the economy is solid on Wednesday in testimony before the House Financial Services committee in Washington. She said that would spur December rate hike. She said; «Domestic spending has been growing at a solid pace».

The rate has been near zero since 2008 and the Fed have waited for labor markets to move closer to their goal of full employment. The unemployment rate stood at 5,1% in September. The auto industry need consumers.

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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication. UA-63539824-1.

 

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