Tag Archives: Apple

The biggest gainer in S&P 500 in 2013!

Netflix exceeded most of the expectations yesterday with their business model for streaming tv and film service. In the third quarter, they added 1,3 million streaming subscribers in the U.S and that is the highest ever.

It`s funny to think about. Ten years ago, Netflix delivered the films only through DVD`s mailed to the customers, which made them the highest-performing stock on Nasdaq. Now the business model is totally different and more profitable.

Netflix is big in the U.S, but are growing outside of the country. They have a new agreement with Virgin and so far they have added 1,4 million subscribers for a total of 9,2 million. Investors are impressed and sent the stock up to $390 in after-hours trading. That`s 10%.

History tells us that this can be a very volatile stock. In 2003 Netflix was the highest performing stock on Nasdaq. They had solid results compounded by momentum. Now, they say it feels like 2003 euforia.

Despite the huge swings in the stock price since 2002 IPO ($8 down to $3 to $39 to $300 to $55 to $330) they continued to grow the membership every year fairly steadily. What they have made over the last 10 years is stunning. Netflix say they want to make the next 10 years remarkable. Earnings-per-share is 52 cents and the net income for the quarter reached $32 million and that is up from $8 million in 2012.

Investors paid close attentions to the number of subscribers because they have predicted that they could have 60 million to 90 million members in the U.S, and even more overseas. Yesterday, Mr. Reed Hastings (CEO), who frequently singles out HBO as the main competitor, hinted at a specific number it`s aiming for.

They have a long way to go to match HBO`s 114 million global member count. Mr. Hastings also talked about Netflix`s tv show like «House of Cards,» and the new and bigger hit «Orange is the New Black.» Mr. Reed Hasings (CEO) says that «Orange» will end the year as Netflix`s most-watched original series ever. The typical Netflix subscriber still spends a lot of time streaming repeats of TV shows.

More than 25% of the companies on S&P 500 are comming with their earnings report this week. Yesterday, I was looking for the earning from Netflix. The stock have soared this year and few investors expect the stock to pull back following its results on monday.

People want to see films. Watch movies and TV shows. They don`t want to spend money on burgers. McDonald’s fell 0,8% to $94,42. They warned global October sales could be flat. Apple rose 2,5% to a shareprice of $521,83 and was the largest winner on Nasdaq.

Guidance for Apple numbers from September 23 told us that it is sold over nine million iPhone 5cs and 5s`s in their first three days (SEC 8-K filing). Apple`s guidance results in EPS is between $7,23 and $8,09 for september quarter.

It is expected to see a revenue of $37,5 billions. Up 4,3%, which is above the guidence of $37 billion. Iphone should be over 50% of revenue and 65% of profits. I think the future is in the hi tech now. The tablet sale is just in the beginning of a new era. I look forward to Apple`s earnings report.

News today: Non-Farm Employment Change/Unemployment Rate at 8:30am.

Reed Hastings

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Hi Tech Earnings

VIX have plummeted, and are now trading at 13,04. It simply tells us that there is no fear out there. Indices are setting new ATH, but Dow seems to be a little bit calm. Asian markets are up today. Nikkei rose to a three-week high and added 0,9% to 14,693,57. The highest since Sept. 27. The Topix advanced 0,6% to 1,212,36.

Google is for the fist time above 1000 dollars. Shares gained 13,8% and ended the trading session at $1011,41. Google`s earnings rised the S&P technology sector to outperform all other sectors. It rose 1,8%. Now it is time for Netflix and Apple. I look forward to see their earnings. This is money machines and they should beat the numbers, and that will make the momentum to continue this week.

U.S debt is now $17.075 trillion. That`s a lot of money, but I`m glad we can focus on the earnings now and not the debt. 62,2% of the 98 companies that have reportet earnings so far on S&P 500 have topped Wall Street`s earnings expectations. I look forward to the earnings this week.

5,57 billion shares was traded on friday and that is slightly above the average. Gold is back above the support level at $1300. If gold is not the safe heaven, VIX should be the new one. Right now VIX is closed at 13,04. News today: Existing Home Sales at 10:00am.

Apple

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Bullish Bullish Bullish

It`s optimism in Asia, and all the indices are up. All this of course because of the good news we all got from the Capitol Hill yesterday. They came to an agreement only two hours before the deadline, and now the can rise the limit and borrow more money.

The shutdown is also over and one million people can get back to work again. The agreement is only for a short periode of time. Desember 13 is the next date for a new agreement. That is for an agreement in a long run.

Stocks went up in the US after the good news and gold is up too. VIX is down 21,17%. Many hedgefunds have lost a lot of money yesterday. Right now gold is trading at $1306,10. So, what am I suppose to do now, you said? Well, as I have told you before, in the US, the P/E (price/earnings) is 20, which means Europe is a better bet, because P/E in Europe is 10.

Where do you find the bullish stocks, and when are you getting in, and when are you getting out. Many have asked me about that, and this is the point where many are struggling. Let`s look at the chart for Microsoft and Apple.

Msft and Aapl

If you bought those two stocks in the 80`s, you would have a huge gain today. But who is sitting on their stocks for 30 years? If you bought Microsoft in 2000, you would have lost your money today. If you bought Apple 10 years ago you would have a huge gain today. When to go in and out of a stock is sometimes difficult.

Many investors tend to remember the losing trades much better than the winning trades. It`s all about feelings when it comes to invest money. If you lose money you can get so nervous that it will be impossible to make good decisions again. The mere thought of losing money blocks the opportunity you have in the market.

Controlling emotions is very important when you are investing money in the market, because emotions can play havoc with your investing. That`s why you need to have a plan that makes you prepared no matter what happens in the market.

Emotional investors usually do wrong decisions and there is many of them. If you are one of them, it doesn`t mean you can be a successful investor. It simply means you have to acknowledge your concerns.

First of all you need a plan. Before you buy stocks you need to have a selling plan. You have to decide at what point you want to sell the stock. Stocks goes up and down, and you need to consider how low you think the stock might fall. Professional investors do always set a “stop loss”.

How much money can you affort to lose? 10%? 20? More? You must find your exit strategy. With a plan in your hand you can take away your emotions, and better understand when to avoid holding the stock too long or when to selling the stock to early.

You do not want to lose money. Nobody does that. If you want to buy and hold, and sit on the stock for a long time, you don`t want to exit out prematurely, but you do not want to see a great gain disappear either if a stock begins a sustained downward plunge.

The pros often use trailing stops and stop loss orders. These strategy will help you to protect your investments against losses. These strategies will not give you a guarantee to profit or protect you against an absolute losses, but it will help you to control your emotions to make betters decisions, which means better investments over time, so stick to your plan.

A Price to book ratio (P/B ratio) is used to compare a stock`s market value to its book value. It is calculated by dividing the current slosing price of the stock by the latest quarter`s book value per share, also known as the «price-equity ratio».

A stock is undervalued if the P/B is very low. But it can also be a warning that it is something wrong with the company. This ratio also gives you an idea of whether you`re paying too much for what would be left if the company is bankrupt tomorrow.

If you look at all the companies and shares in S&P 500, you will also find a P/B for that index. A very useful technique that tells you how cheap or expensive the stocks are right now. Take a look at the chart I have added today. This chart will give you a picture of the situation a the moment.

PB value

Current S&P 500 Price to Book Value: 2,53 +0,03 (1,38%)

Wed Oct 16

Mean: 2.75
Median: 2.73
Min: 1.78 (Mar 2009)
Max: 5.06 (Mar 2000)

Current price to book ratio is estimated based on current market price and S&P 500 book value as of June 2013 — the latest reported by S&P.

News for today: Unemployment Claims at 8:30am, Philly Fed Manufacturing Index at 10:00am.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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