Tag Archives: Ambarella

Drone high-growth industry

FedEx, UPS and DHL to name a few are very silent when it comes to drones, while their coming competitors aren`t. I assume they all have busy days with packages from Amazon, but it will be a game changer when Amazon starts with their own drone business.

Not only Amazon are planning to deliver their packages with drones. Alphabet and Wal-Mart two other big companies that is planning to deliver packages via drones and that will happen sooner than we like to know.

FAA regulations are expected to open the up the market for commercial drone operations within 2017. The drone business will create more than 100 000 jobs in the next ten years and it is expected to see an $82 billion impact on the economy.

Other companies in the drone business is AeroVironment, GoPro, Boeing, Nvidia, Qualcomm, Intel, IXYS and Facebook to name a few.

AVAV

AeroVironment Inc is engaged in the design, develop, produce, support and operate a technological portfolio of products and services. It supplies unmanned aircraft systems, UAS tactical missile systems and related services within the US DoD.

They are well positioned in a high growth industry and the company will gain from the UAS market in the future. AeroVironment is one of the few companies in the promising small-scale UAS business, and the growing application of drone technology will give them a great opportunity.

Ambarella is nearly four times bigger than AeroVironment, but AeroVironment`s UAS technology is limited to defense and warefare. They benefited from the growth of technologies like predator drones and tactical missile systems, and their UAS technology can give them a great opportunity in the commercial sector.

Cost for consumer or commercial purposes is from $500 to $5,000, and some of the professional equipment could cost between $20,000 to $50,000.

Oil and gas companies can use the drones for inspections. So do mining companies for surveying and mapping. Hospitals and Insurance companies are other interested groups. German-based Spectair Group is heavily involved in the drone manufacturing business and they have three brands; Spectair Services, Flairics and Height-Tech.

GoPro has their own wearable cameras and the cost for their commercial drones is between $500 and $1000. In addition, we have Matternet, which is headquartered in Silicon Valley and Dajiang Innovation Technology, based in Shenzen, China.

The potential is huge.

 

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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication. UA-63539824-1.

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Ambarella`s new business opportunity

I have been watching Ambarella for a while and the stock has gone straight up, but that`s until now. So far, 2015 has been a bad year for Ambarella, but despite the huge drop, the stock is still up for the year and even better than S&P 500.

The stock is down over 50% in a few months and the stock has so far been very speculative. The company has profited from GoPro`s success, but as you may know, GoPro has been losing market shares with weaker earnings and guidance for the future.

 

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(Click the image to enlarge)

 

When GoPro missed its guidance for Q3 and told investors a forth-quarter to decline nearly 20% YoY, Ambarella’s shares was also declining. Investors are linking those two companies but that can be a mistake.

But GoPro is not the only customer in the market. The chipmaker has another big opportunity, which can be bigger than GoPro. The new big market is the drone industry, and if you saw my article about Amazon`s new drones, you know that this can be big business.

A green signal from the Federal Aviation Administration will open up a huge market for drones, and Ambarella’s high-end camera chips. The demand for drones with camera will not only increase in the defence industry (U.S Department of Defence) but also by ordinary consumers at Wal-Mart Stores and Amazon to name a few.

Amarella is well diversified and the drone industry is not the biggest income source for the company. Only 10% of their revenue comes from the drone industry, but that can change rapidly in the future.

In addition to their wearable-cameras space, Ambarella’s revenue comes from IP Security and automotive, but that can change in the future. Their biggest competitor in the drone market is probably Aero Vironment, but they are not diversified like Ambarella, while they are focusing just on one segment which is drones.

Market Cap is 1,92B and P/E 25,73 with earning per share; 2,34. Check out the new report on Thursday.

The stock is trading at $60 on Wednesday, which is down from record high of $129,19 in July. GoPros demand for drones in not what investors expected and many are bearish at the moment. The drone market hasnt started yet and Ambarella can be a good investment for long-term investors.

 

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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication. UA-63539824-1.

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GoPro Rally

GoPro went public a few months ago (june, 2014) and is up +154,3% only in three months. Up +10,8% yesterday. IPO price per share in june was $23, then the shares skyrocketed quickly to $70 per share. There has been some overenthusiastic investor activity and this stock might not look attractive to a fundamental investor.

GoPro Hero4

(Picture: GoPro Hero4)

I think that this is a sexy stock to have in a portfolio. It all began as an idea to help athletes self-document themselves engaged in their sport, and has become a widely adopted solution for people to self-document themselves engaged in their interests.

They transform the way consumers capture, manage, share and enjoy meaningful life experiences. it`s done by enabling people to self-capture engaging, immersive photo and video content of themselves participating in their favorite activities. Customers are some of the world`s most active and passionate people.

Not only athletes use GoPro cameras, as their products have fast become mainstream, and GoPro has enabled the world to capture and share its passions. In doing so the world in turn, is helping GoPro become one of the most exciting and aspirational companies of our time.

We saw a GoPro and Ambarella rally because three new cameras is launched. It`s new flagship «Hero4 Black camera» is the first model in GoPro`s lineup to support 4K video recording. It does so at up to 30fps.

It`s faster Wi-Fi, better low-light performance, an improved UI, and the ability to take 12MP photos at 30fps.

Hero4 Silver is the first model to sport a touchscreen that allows users to see their footage. They are also launching Hero that can record 1080p video at 30 fps. Hero could reel in first-time action camera buyers at a time when penetration rates are still relatively low. GoPro`s free video-editing software has been revamped.

The video processor supplier Ambarella rallied too. GoPro shares set a new high last week. GoPro`s guidance range of Q3 sales forecast is raised to the high end. Their growth prospects seems to be very good. The stock is in the middle range. Not cheap, nor is it expensive, with a multiple of 50 with a growth rate at 34%. I think many will jump in and buy on any dip, because the stock price is a bit crazy as the investors are focusing on the top-line growth. The revenue growth has been extremely impressive for GoPro so far, and they have a strong business model.

 

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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GoPro IPO

Selfie here and Selfie there. Selfie everywhere. People want to share with the rest of the world what they are doing on social media platforms like Facebook, Instagram and Snapchat. In addition people now tend to take action films and one of the most popular cameras right now is GoPro.

white-edition

The founder and CEO in GoPro is 38-year-old Nicholas Woodman, who started the company with $65,000 of his own capital. His father invested $100,000. The company has been profitable since day one, Woodman said in an interview on TV. Nicholas Woodman own a 48,8% stake, while his father Dean Woodman has a 6,4% stake.

The company has grown and in December 2012, Foxconn International Holdings invested $200 million and valued the company at $2,25 billion. What a jump! GoPro is probably one of the most successful wearable electronics company right now.

CEO Terry Gou is mentioned during the IPO and he is from the Chinese electronics manufacturer Hon Hai Precision Industry Co. That company is better known as Foxconn. It’s expected that the Taiwanese billionaire would take a seat on the board.

Surprisingly, Terry Gou is not listed as a director on the list. Other names on list is the former Flextronics CEO Michael Marks and current Yahoo CFO Kenneth Goldman.

The California-based company is registered to go public, but the company is the latest to file for a «secret» initial public offering. New rules, under the 2012 JOBS act, allow companies to keep much of their information out of the public eye until shortly before the shares begin to trade.

That`s probably why you don`t here so much about the company in the media at the moment. The act allows companies with annual revenues of less than $1 billion to file with the SEC confidentially.

JPMorgan is the lead banker on the offering, but the date for GoPro`s IPO hasn`t yet been set. As I know so far, the IPO will be at the end of the second quarter of 2014. GoPro may raise $100 million in an initial public offering.

It`s probably not the best time go public right now with all the tech bubble talk around the world. Other companies have delayed its IPO plans due to the market conditions. Companies that have decided to enter the market has not succeed. King Digital is trading well below its IPO price.

Woodman say GoPro plans to list on the Nasdaq under the symbol «GPRO». Revenue for 2013 came in at $985 million and that`s up 87% from the year prior. Net income clocked in at 61 million, up from $32 million in 2012.

So far in 2014, growth is down 7% from $255 million. Net income is down from last year`s first quarter as well. It`s down 52% to $11 million. The company’s revenue has doubled year-over-year up to 2012, but that trend has since ceased.

The company shipped fewer units in the first quarter of 2014. 852,000 cameras compared to 954,000 in the same period last year. They shipped 3,85 million units of its cameras last year, and that is up 66% from the year prior.

As usual, it will be difficult to grab some stocks during the IPO, but there is always a backdoor. GoPro didn`t succeed alone. Another growth company is Ambarella Incorporated (AMBA). GoPro wouldn`t be much without them.

AMBA is a leading developer of low-power, high-definition (HD) video camera systems-on-a-chip. I assume you haven`t heard of the company, but thay are everywhere. You just don`t know, because you can`t see them, but they can see you.

If you walk into a secure area like a bank, airport or a government building, there`s a strong chance that you are being watched by a camera using Ambarella technology. When you watch cable or satellite TV, you`re watching the end result of a signal compressed by Ambarella`s proprietary algorithms.

Ambarella has a key position in the wearable technology market and act as a backdoor into the GoPro IPO because it exclusively manufactures the internal systems-on-chips that power the entire lineup of GoPro`s Hero wearable cameras.

Ambrella`s system helps GoPro make a miniature $300 cameras with the same 4K video quality as a $20,000 camera. That`s not bad! GoPro monopolize about 70% of the wearable sports camera market. It`s expected to see that market to rise by 50% each year. Ambrella will capitalize on this growth.

AMBA dropped -1% yesterday and the stocks is down -27,3% so far in 2014, but it`s up +56,9% (1 YR). I think AMBA has a big opportunity as the market for wearable and action cameras improves. Their relationship with Google and GoPro gives them a great chance to improve sales.

According to Cisco (CSCO), mobile video is set to grow at a whopping 90% annual rate, reaching 71% of total mobile data traffic by 2016, and AMBA want a piece of the action I think. Google Helpouts and GoPro`s IPO can push Ambarella`s stock higher in a fast growing new market.

Be careful, because other big brands are coming into the market. I`m talking about brands like Panasonic (PCRFY), Texas Instruments (TXN), Fujitsu Limited (FJTSY), Sony (SNE) and Canon (CAJ). Others companies are forging their way into this growing new market. That`s Qualcomm (QCOM), NVIDIA (NVDA), Broadcom (BRCM) and Samsung (SSNLF).

They will all fight in the same market and all of them want a share in the market. This will be a huge challenge in the growing new market.

Reports today:

08:15 a.m EST ADP Nonfarm Employment Change
10:00 a.m EST Factory Orders m/m

 

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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