Will Snapchat be the next Facebook?

Snap is going public. No, I`m not talking about the pop stars with the super hit “I got the power”. This is something different. A different power. But how powerful are Snap Inc actually? Do you really think that Snapchat will be the next Facebook?

Let`s take a closer look at some real facts. I have made a picture of some of the most loved firms in the social media universe, and this time I will compare Snap with Facebook and Twitter. As you can see from the chart below, Snap look more like Twitter than Facebook. Take a look below.






As you can see from the chart above, Snaps cost follow Snaps revenue. Its positive to see that their revenue grew from $59 million to $405 million. Thats a whopping 590% over the same time. But the drawback is their high cost structure. Their net operating profit after-tax fell from -$344 million in 2015 to -$498 million in 2016.

You do already here understand that Snap is not the same as Facebooks business model. Revenue goes up while their profit goes down. Snaps valuation is about $20-25 billion, with a revenue of $405 million, and an operating loss of -$520 million.

Facebooks valuation when they went public was much higher with $3,7 billion in revenue, and an operation income of $1,75 billion. Facebooks valuation at that time was $90-105 billion, but as you may know, the stock traded down after the IPO.

You also may know the story of Twitter. Right up, and right down again. Will Snap follow Twitter? Take a look at the numbers. They are very similar. Revenue was $448 million, with an operating loss of -$93 million.

Twitters valuation at that time was $18-25 billion, but people said it was too much. Many investors said the right valuation was half of that; only $10 billion. Snaps trailing sales valuation was 62x, which is about the same as Twitter`s 56x.

Twitter had 100 million DAUs when they went public, while Snap has about 158 million. What is that compared to Facebooks 483? It will be hard to be a new Facebook.

Snap are going public on Thursday.




Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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