Category Archives: Commodities

How high can the silver prices go?

Gold is an interesting precious metal to follow, but what about silver? That commodity is even more interesting to follow. Some investors say that we can see $100 once the price have reached $50.

John Williams says the price of silver can go as high as $500 inflation adjustet from its historic highs using the old CPI measure. This precious metal cannot achive the official currency status, but together with gold, silver is the best candidates for unofficial non-fiat money that investors can purchase.

People do not wonder how low the silver price can be, but how high the price of silver can go. The risk is high and the trading range is from zero to infinity in a scenario of a hyperinflation of the U.S dollar.

Gold to Silver Investment Ratio Inverted – Using the above ground investment grade 1000 ounce bar form, the gold to silver ratio reverses. The historic Gold/silver price ratio measure has been traded between 10 and 20 ounces of silver to 1 ounce of gold. In this measurement, the silver is more valuable than gold because silver is more rare in its investment form for investores.

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Gold prices to decline?

Obama says they know that Assad regime was responsible for their attacks, and the facts cannot be denied. The fact is that the Obama administration has not laid of proof Assad was guilty. The congressmen do only have a 15-page political points memo to show the people and have so far no evidence. This affects the financial markets.

After trending down, the gold prices will take some time to bounce back. Right now the price is at 1.345 and that is below the solid support 1.350. Resistance was 1.400 and it seems like the gold prices will continue to fall. People are scared of gold, and it takes some time to get back on the track again.

HUI has a resistance at 280 – 285. If it moves above that area it is a key breakout. It has taken back a lot since the low in june. 236 should be a great support.

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Gold price

I started to have close look at the gold price in 2005, and I have watched the price every day since that time. I am very excited about the gold price, and ask my self how high can the price go? You see; the gold price have always been a great hedge against the stockmarket.

Investors don`t like war, terrorism and chaos. The market have hugh challenges at the moment, and we live in a difficult time which is the most dangerous time in the capital history. We had the financial crises in 2008, but the market bouched back and we are at the ATH (all time high) levels again. What now?

There are two kinds of schools out there; one that don`t belive in gold and one that really belive in gold. The trading range for gold have now been between 1500 and 1700 area, but never breaking out to 1900.

The central bank has indicated that its current economic forecasts warrant policy rates remaining close to zero for at least another two years and that it stands ready to expand its balance sheet further if needed,” Goldman’s Garzarelli wrote. “We have built a third round of long-term asset purchases (‘QE3’) into our baseline, although that is, of course, contingent on sub-trend growth in the near term.

While Goldman Sachs did not discuss the implications of QE3 for the gold price in the report, history suggests it would be quite favorable for the price of gold. Richard Russell, a long-time gold bull and author of Dow Theory Letters, presented his case for higher gold prices.

“When chaos reigns, people look for certainty,” Richard Russell wrote in a recent letter. “When all is lost, only one item stands supreme and has been supreme for thousands of years. That item is gold…

Russell went on to say that “At $2,000, the next objective would be $2,500, and from there $5,000, and from $5,000 – $10,000. As gold marches higher, it’s playing the death knell for fiat money. And every central banker knows it.”

They talked about it on CNBC a few weeks ago. They say if bonds dropped, the stock market would start to increase. So far, that hasn`t happend. We are in a correction and people are worried about the sluggish economy, but here is the thing;

If people don`t feel confident about the stock and bond market, they should do only one thing:

Buy gold!

Not yet, because it takes some time for the goldprice to go up again after a correction, and many people are scared of gold. It is not so much action in the gold market now, but a year from now, people will probably buy gold like carzy.

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In a world of international stability, a walking dead economy, and an overvalued stock market going nowhere gold will make more and more sense to investors as time goes on. People will see it as a safe haven. Especially when inflation explodes on us thanks to the deficits and QE bond buying programs – that now with another war have even less chance of coming to a real end.

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Syria and Commodity prices

Libya is killing children with gas, and the rest of the world is not interesting in sitting back and look at it without doing something with it. Especially not Obama. He want`s to do something about it, and he want`s to do it right now.

The question is; what impact will that have on the financial market?

Two years ago, Obama supported the rebels in Libya and killed Gaddafi. Now it is total chaos in that nation, and they are not able to produce a drop of oil to sell to the rest of the world. The oil prices will continue to go higher, and what happens in Syria will not affect the oilprices on the international market. Oil and commodities will continue their trend and go higher, and investors are still bullish.

We have a correction in the market right now, and this will probably continue for a while, no matter what`s going on in Syria. At some point it is all about psycology. People will start to sell in panic, and as you know, september and october is stormy months in the financial markets.

Commodities and gold stocks made a peak in 2011. It has been a downtrend for a couple of years now, and they seems to have bottomed this summer. Now it looks like this is taking off again, and that is not because of what`s happening in Syria, but it is all because of the printing money strategy by the FED, plus the coming inflation.

If you wonder how to deal with the market now, take a look at the CRB index:

CRB index

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