Is Apple falling down from the tree?

I had two American favorite stocks in 2005. Google was one of them. Apple is the other one. As you may know, it has been ten great years while Apple went to be the biggest company in the world. Now, it is the darling of Wall Street. How long will that continue?

Apple will report FQ1 2016 earnings Tuesday January 26th, after the bell and it is a critical moment for Apple right now. The coming report will be highly scrutinized by investors because they are concerned about Apple`s iPhone sale.


When I launched Apple in my portfolio in 2005, they didnt have iPhone at all. Since then the sale of iPhone has skyrocketed. But what now? There are signs that iPhone sales is slowing. We can see that many of Apples suppliers are declining and so are Apple`s orders.

Apple is also attacked by Qualcomms new weapon. Apples A10 chip for Iphone 7 will be built on TSMC`s 16-nanometer FinFET Plus technology, but it seems like Android devices will be built on more advanced 10-nanometer technology.

Qualcomm`s next-generation Snapdragon 830 processor (the successor to the Snapdragon 820 that is slated to appear in devices over the next couple of months) is planned to be launched in the beginning of 2017.

Its not only Apples suppliers that is concerning Apple`s investors. China is a big market for Apple and a slowdown in Asia in addition to a slowdown globally can hit the company hard. Not only that. It is estimated that the global demand for smartphones will decline and fall below 10%, and so will the iPhone sales. In other words it seems like we has reached a top.

But thats for iPhone. Apple has more than iPhone. Despite the fact that iPhone is Apples biggest money-maker, they also have Apple Watch, Apple TV and Apple Music in the same lineup. They are all new in Apples portfolio and Im most exited about Apple Watch, because I think it will be hard to replace iPhone with Apple Watch.

Apple`s revenue from smart phone was 66% in 2015 and their sales jumped 28% in its latest fiscal year. Apple Watch is a new product so it is expected to see that sale to increase. The price for Apple in 2005 was only $5. Now it is $100! Experts expect it will rise 40% in 12 months.

The stock is down about 30% since the top last year, with an EPS of 9,20. Market Cap is 556,72B with an P/E of 10,92. Estimize consensus calls for FQ1 EPS of $3,27 and revenue of $77,138 Billion, which is slightly higher than corporate guidance and Wall Street`s estimates.

Apple is still a profitable company and a popular brand among the younger generation, and with $200 billion in cash and manageable debt obligations, Apple will still be a popular brand.


Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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