Category Archives: Uncategorized

What goes up must come down

It`s all up today. Asia is up. Europe is up. Commodities like gold, silver and copper is also up. It`s all green. We`re at the top in the Stock market. The commodities has declined and are at the bottom. It looks like we are in the beginning of a new bull market in the commodities.

Many times you will see stocks rising up day after day, year after year. You might think you can`t buy this stock now, because it is already up 200%. You can lose a lot of money when you think like that. The point is to know that the stock price is a reflection of the company.

Stocks and indices often goes up within a trendline, but within that trend line, it is normal to see some corrections. Think about Warren Buffets company Berkshire Hathaway. That stock went up from $455 to $7250 per share in only five years.

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Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

 

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Gold & Silver is up

Wow! Gold is trading above $1300, up +0,82%. Right now gold is trading at $1310,80. Silver is doing much better today. Up +2,87%, trading at $20,93. Copper is up too. This looks like a bull market.

All U.S indices went up yesterday, but Nikkei sled today. Down -1,53%. All the European stocks is up today after great GDP data. This is the seventh rise is eight sessions.

In two of the largest economies in the Euro zone, which is Germany and France, the economic growth exceeded the investors expectations in the fourth quarter. This offered a hope of a much better and robust 2014.

The German growth expanded 0,4%, while the French growth expanded 0,3%. Italy are waiting for a new prime minister with Enrico Letta due to resign today. He must leave the Democratic Party. Italy growth is back for the first time since mid-2011.

Gold

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Reports today

Nikkei slid -1,79% and Europe is in red territory today. Down today after rising up some days now. Europe is down because of some disappointed earnings from blue-chips companies.

New reports today is among others; retail sales which is Business inventories that are the dollar amount of inventories held by manufacturers, wholesalers, and retailers. The level of inventories in relation to sales is an important indicator of the near-term direction of production activity.

Inventories tend to rise when economic conditions are strong; since sales are rising at the same time, the inventory-to- sales ratio may remain stable, or rise at a very slow pace. Inventories tend to drop when economic conditions are weak; since sales are falling at the same time, the inventory-to-sales ratio may remain relatively stable. The I- S ratio then begins to rise as sales fall more quickly than inventory growth. Data Source: Haver Analytics.

Market Consensus before announcement

Business inventories in November were up 0.4 percent versus a strong 0.8 percent rise in business sales, the strongest sales gain since May, that left the stock-to-sales ratio unchanged at 1.29. Retail inventories, the second largest component of the report and the fresh data in the latest report, likewise showed no change with the stock-to-sales ratio steady at 1.43.

Jobless claims
New unemployment claims are compiled weekly to show the number of individuals who filed for unemployment insurance for the first time. An increasing (decreasing) trend suggests a deteriorating (improving) labor market. The four-week moving average of new claims smoothes out weekly volatility.

Weekly series fluctuate more dramatically than monthly series even when the series are adjusted for seasonal variation. The 4-week moving average gives a better perspective on the underlying trend.
Data Source: Haver Analytics

Market Consensus before announcement

Initial jobless claims for the February 1 week fell a sharp 20,000 to a lower-than-expected 331,000. The 4-week average, at 334,000, trended 15,000 below the month-ago comparison.

Continuing claims, however, did not show improvement. Continuing claims for the January 25 week rose 15,000 to 2.964 million with the 4-week average up 26,000 to a 2.986 million level that was more than 100,000 above the month-ago trend.

Reports today:

08:30:00am ET USD Jobless claims
08:30:00am ET USD Retail sales

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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I have a dream!

The Dow closed the week up +1%, while the S&P finished the week down -0,2%. The week as a whole was mixed. This week will be very special with banks and U.S trading floors closed in observance of the Martin Luther King Jr. Holiday today.

Tomorrow there will be no major reports as the market participants will look for news coming out of Davos Switzerland as the World Economic Forum holds their annual forum throughout the week.

Take a look at the dollar. The dollar Index (DX) has shown some strength in the past. Those levels is not seen since September last year. If the dollar is taking off, it will have a huge impact on commodities and other markets. So, watch out, and pay close attention to the dollar. Will the strength continue?

News today: Bank holiday today. No major reports tomorrow, Wednesday and friday. Only thursday, we will find some interesting reports. Thursday reports will be: Unemployment Claims at 8:30am, Flash Manufacturing PMI at 9:00am, Existing Home Sales at 10:00am, Crude Oil Inventories 11:00am.

MLK I have a dream

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Happy New Year!

Shiny bull will be back on monday, January 6th 2014. Happy New Year!

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