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Why transportation is so important

 

Many times the activity begin in the Rail Average before the Industrial Average. Before the economic activity began, raw materials will have to be moved from the suppliers to manufacturers. Before the automotive companies could increase production, more steel need to be transported. An increase in activity among the rail stocks would foreshadow an increase in business activity for the industrial stocks. You can also foreshadow an economic downturn.

tran 27 june

(Chart: Dow Jones Transportation Average)

The internet has changed the economy and is more different from hundred years ago, and the makeup of the DJTA has changed to favor the airlines. There is still credibility in using DJTA to confirm movements in the DJIA. Transport stocks are much more dependent on the economic environment than the average stock and will likely foreshadow economic growth.

 

Energy and labor cost from a large portion of expenses, The airline business is cyclical and revenues are highly susceptible to economic changes. Airline companies typically carry above average levels of debt and will be more vulnerable to changes in interest rates.

 

To reflect the added risks above airline stocks have traditionally sold significantly below market multiples. If the PE for the S&P 500 is 28, the average airline might sell for only 8-10 times earnings.

 

Airline companies bear the burden of all interest rates, energy costs and labor costs, but are still likely to act as a leading indicator of the general economic environment. Airlines biggest fear should however be that people will stop flying in airplanes.

 

That`s why I`m following airplane and shipping stocks all the time. It gives me a sign of a new activity in the economy or a real slowdown in the economy. As you can see on the chart above, the activity is great, which is good for the transportation stocks.

 

 

Reports today:

09:45 a.m EST Chicago PMI

10:00 a.m EST Pending Home Sales m/m

 

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

 

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Brazil and World Cup 2014

Now it is time for some action in Brazil. The opening match is between Brazil and Kroatia later on today. I will watch this match from Sâo Paulo live today and I think the pressure is on Brazil and their new superstar Neymar.

Brazil`s GDP is 4,3% in 2014. In 2010 their GDP was 7,53%, and that`s pretty good. Despite that growth, many people in Brazil is poor. Brazil ranks 49,3 in the Gini coefficient index, with the richest 10% of Brazilians receiving 42,7% of the nation`s income, while the poorest 34% receive less than 1,2%!

Brazil has serious problems with crime and roughly 23,8 homicides per 100,000 residents, muggings, robberies, kidnappings and gang violence are common. Police brutality and corruption are widespread.

We will probably not see much of Brazil`s slums on TV during the World Cup 2014. Poverty in Brazil is most visually represented by the various favelas, slums in the country`s metropolitan areas and remote upcountry regions that suffer with economic underdevelopment and below-par standards of living. Many people in Brazil feel angry about the World Cup 2014, as they belive the Brazilian government should spend money on other things that a World Cup.

This is the dark side of Brazil right now. Brazil has a huge business opportunity, and are among the favorite country`s in the Emerging Markets sector. Let`s see the bright side and sing along with Pitbull ft. Jennifer Lopez and Claudia Leitte and their hit song: WE ARE ONE!

Let`s talk about soccer. The dominant system in 2010 and 2012 was 4-2-3-1, and this will probably be the most utilised formation this time around too. There is a decent amount of variety across the 32 teams, and not everyone will deploy a four-man defence.

Jurgen Klinsmann has been experimenting with a diamond midfield system in order to get the best from the USA`s rampaging central midfielder Michael Bradley. Italy`s Cesare Prandelli could also use a diamond, or a 3-5-2 system, as the Italians remain the masters of tactical unpredictability. USA could be one of the most tactically distinct sides, with the use of a diamond.

Brazil`s Fred scored five goals in five games at the Confederations Cup last year. His role in Luiz Felipe Scolari`s side is to win aerial battles, hold up the ball and create space for Neymar, who cuts inside from the left. Neymar is Brazil`s new superstar and I really look forward to see him live on TV direct from Sâo Paulo later on today.

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Weekend

Shinybull will be back on june 10.

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Long weekend

Shinybull.com is back on monday June 2.

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Who is Elon Musk?

 

The mind behind Tesla, SolarCity and SpaceX is the entrepreneur Elon Musk. A man with many plans. He is also the founder of PayPal and Zip2. Widely considered a co-founder of each. He has also envisioned a conceptual high-speed transportation system known as the hyperloop.

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Elon Musk met his first wife Justine Musk at Ontario`s Queen`s University. They married in 2000 and separated eight years later. They have six sons, the eldest of whom, died of SIDS when he was 10 weeks old.

 

In 2012, he ended a four-year relationship with his second wife, British actress Talulah Riley, but in a 60 Minutes interview on March 30,2014 he said he is still happy together with Talulah. In February 11, 2014, Musk was invited to attend a state dinner at the White House.

 

Most of you probably know the story of Steve Jobs (Apple Inc), but Elon Musk is often compared to Steve Jobs and Henry Ford. It can`t be better than that. I personally like people who is thinking big. Really BIG! Thinking they want to go to the moon or into the space. Just like John F. Kennedy.

 

First of all, Elon Musk is an investor. He earned his big money during the financial crises in 1998. This is how succesful investors are doing it. Earning money no matter where the market goes. The most important thing is to be on the right side of the market!

 

Elon Musk was born in Pretoria in South Africa, in 1971, to a Canadian mother and a South African-born British father. He taught himself computer programming and sold the computer code for a video game called Blaster for $500 when he was 12 years old.

 

In 1992, Elon Musk transferred to the University of Pennsylvania where he received a bachelor`s degree in economics from the Wharton School. He stayed on a year to finish his second bachelor`s degree in physics.

 

Then he moved to California to pursue a PhD in applied physics at Standford but left the program after two days to pursue his entrepreneurial aspirations in the areas of the internet, renewable energy and outer space. He became an American citizen in 2002.

 

Musk did not start his business career at Tesla. His fist company was Zip2 which is a web software company. Zip2 developed and marketed an internet «city guide» for the newspaper publishing industry.

 

Compaq acquired Zip2 for US$307 million in cash and US$34 million is stock options in 1999. Musk received 7% or $22 million from the sale, and co-founder of Zip2 was his brother, Kimbal. Now, Mush had money to start a new project.

 

He co-founded X.com, an online financial services and e-mail payment company. One year later, the company merged with Confinity, which operated a subsidiary called PayPal. The original intent was to merge the two systems, but it never happened.

 

Musk favored the PayPal brand over the X.com brand, and PayPal`s early growth was due in large part to a successful viral growth campaign created by Musk. PayPal was acquired by eBay for $US 1,5 billion in stock, in October 2002.

 

PayPal`s largest shareholder was Elon Musk and he owned 11,7% of PayPal`s shares. He pocketed $165 million from the sale, which was good for the next project. His third company was SpaceX. Musk co-founded it with rocket propulsion engineer Tom Mueller in June 2002.

 

SpaceX develops and manufactures space launch vehicles with a focus on advancing the state of rocket technology. The company`s fist two launch vehicles are the Falcon 1 and Falcon 9 rockets, and its first spacecraft is the Dragon.

 

The company was awarded a $1,6 billion NASA contract on December 23, 2008. They designed Falcon 9/Dragon with astronaut transport in mind and the Augustine commission recommended that astronaut transport be handled by commercial companies like SpaceX.

Musk revealed that he was influenced by Isaac Asimov`s Foundation series and views space exploration as an important step in expanding the consciousnes of human life. But why is Elon Musk so interested in the space?

 

He had said that multiplanetary life may serve as a hedge against threats to the survival of the human species. «An asteroid or a super volcano could destroy us, and we face risks the dinosaurs never saw: an engineered virus, inadvertent creation of a micre black hole, catastrophic global warming or some as-yet unknown technology could spell the end of us.

 

He founded SpaceX with $100 million of his early fortune, and he wants to reduce the cost of human spaceflight by a factor of 10. In an interview, he said he hopes to send humans to Mars surface within 10 – 20 years.

 

Tesla Motors was co-founded by Martin Eberhard, Marc Tarpenning, JB Straubel, Ian Wright and Elon Musk, who became involved with the company in 2004, as a Series A investor. They started with the electric car called the Tesla Roadster, with sales of about 2,500 vehicles to 31 countries.

 

They began delivery of its four-door Model S sedan on 22 June 2012. Model X is scheduled to begin production in early 2015. I think many are waiting for that SUV to be released on the minivan market.

 

In addition to its own cars, Tesla sells electric powertrain systems to Daimler for Smart EV and Mercedes A Class and to Toyota for the RAV4EV. Musk was able to bring in both companies as long-term investors in Tesla.

 

Musk provided the initial concept for SolarCity, which was then co-founded by his cousins Lyndon and Peter Rive. Musk remains the largest shareholder and SolarCity is now the largest provider of solar power systems in the United States. The underlying motivation for funding both SolarCity and Tesla is to help combat global warming.

 

Like many other investors, Musk started his own foundation called Musk Foundation, which focuses its philanthropic efforts on science education, pediatric health and clean energy. He is trusted of the X Prize Foundation, promoting renewable-energy technologies.

 

In 2011, he visited Soma City in Fukushima, Japan, which had been devastated by tsunami, and he donated a solar power project valued at $250,000 to this city. He also donated a solar-power system for critical needs to a hurricane response center in Alabama that had been neglected by state and federal aid. SolarCity is not involved in this state.

 

Elon Musk joined The Giving Pledge in April 2012, offering an ethical commitment to donate the majority of his fortune to philanthropic causes. Musk became a member of the campaign first popularised by Warren Buffet and Bill Gates with class of 12 of America`s wealthiest families and individuals. What a great story!

 

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

 

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