Tag Archives: Apple

What – Is Apple down 85%?

Don`t panic if you think that the price of Apple Inc is down -85%, because it isn`t. It`s just your brokers fault. They have not changed the amount of shares as they were not prepared for the coming share split as we all saw in Apple Inc.

Apple

This is happening many times and I have seen that in stocks I have owned many times. So, what is going on here? Apple stock is cheaper because its 7 for 1 split went into effect. The Apple`s share price is back to a 2006 level, trading above $100.

In a traditional 2 for 1 split, all owners of common stock have their share counts doubled while the price is simply cut in half. Shares are now worth half as much as they were before, but there are twice as many available and the percent ownership of each shareholder is unchanged.

Most of the data surrounding stock splits seems quite bullish. In a study by Dr. David Ikenburry of Rice University, he found that stocks which split 2-1 on average outperformed the control group he created by 8% after a year and by up to 12% after three years. The study looked at stocks between 1975 and 1990.

Dr. David Ikenburry did another research including data from 3-1 and 4-1 splits and found that the results from 1990 to 1997 were practically identical to the findings from the original study. A study from 2003 from the Chinese and City Universities of Hong Kong and the Hong Kong Polytechinic University corroborates Ikenburry`findings with similar evidence from the stock market in Hong Kong.

The reason why stocks is performing better after a stock split is probably because they become more affordable to smaller individual investors. They simply look cheaper. People are probably not willing to sink $600 into a single share of Apple, but they may be amenable to spend $400 on 4 shares after the 7-1 split. It`s more a psychological thing.

The Wharton School of Business found that institutions have increased their percent ownership in stocks from 34% in 1980 to 67% in 2010, and its widely believed that institutions like mutual funds are less perceptible to psychological biases like a lower sticker price than non-professionals.

Ikenburry belive that the stocks perform well when they split because the split itself is a signal of bullish sentiment from management. Apple hasn`t had a new product catalyst to ignite its fundamentals since the iPad was released in 2010.

This year CEO Tim Cook has promised several new types of products and that may be the reason Apple`s management has the confidence to split the stock. What could be worse for a CEO than taking a high value stock, splitting it into pieces, then see the face value fall even further sending investors into a panic?

Apple`s acquisition of Beats Electronics can make the stock go higher, but I don`t understand that Apple was so interested in their headphones. They could make their own at a cheaper price. Dr. Dre must, for all i know, have another plan with a new product we don`t know yet.

The music streaming business can be a good business, but so far it isn`t. They may be changing the strategy to make the $3 billion acquisition of Beats a boost and give Apple new income. Anyway; the acquisition of Beats Electronics is a sign of things to come. They have competitors. Google`s Youtube is the world`s largest music streaming service, and Youtube disclosed that 40% of its total users are coming from mobile devices.

 
Reports today:

10:00 a.m EST JOLTS Job Openings
10:00 a.m EST Wholesale Inventories m/m

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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What is a stock split?

 

You probably know that Google had a stock split a while ago, and now, Apple is headed for the same on June 9. But what is a stock split and is it good or bad for the stockholders? Let`s take a closer look at a stock split and what it is.

 

A stock split is a corporate action in which a company divides its existing shares into multiple shares. The number of shares outstanding increases by a specific multiple, the total dollar value of the shares remains the same compared to pre-split amounts, because the split did not add any real value.

Apple

The most common split ratio is 2-for-1. This is called «forward stock split», which means that the stockholder will have two shares for every share held earlier. Apple have a 7-for-1 split, but there are number of «groups» impacted by the split.

 

Let`s take an example: Company A has 10 million shares outstanding and the stock price is $100. The Company A`s market cap is $1 billion. But the board of directors want to split the stock 2-for-1. The new number of stocks will double to 20 million, but the market cap is still $1 billion, as the stock price drops down to $50. Market cap is unchanged.

 

So, what is the point of doing that? They might have other things to do. Well, first of all, a split is usually undertaken when the stock price is quite high, making it pricey for investors to acquire a standard board lot of 100 shares.

 

If Company A`s price per share was $100 each, you would need to pay $10,000 to own 100 shares. If the share price was only half of that ($50), then you need to pay $5,000 for 100 shares. Second, the more shares a company have, the greater the liquidity for the stock, which facilitates trading and may narrow the bid-ask spread.

 

As you can see, the market cap is unchanged, but a split can often results in renewed investor interest, and that can have a positive impact on the stock price. Stock splits in blue chips companies like for example Apple and Google are a great way for the average investor to accumulate an increasing number of shares.

 

Many of the best companies routinely exceed the price level at which they had previously split their stock, causing them to undergo a stock split yet again. I have been following Amazon.com since its start in late 90`s.

 

I see three splits in the Amazon.com stock split history database. The first split for Amazon took place on June 02, 1998. This was a classical 2-for-1 split. It means for each share of Amazon owned presplit, you now owned 2 shares. For example; a 1000 share position pre-split, became a 2000 position following the split.

 

The second Amazon split took place on January 05, 1999. This was a 3-for-1 split. For each share of Amazon owned pre-split, you now owned 3 shares. For example; a 2000 share position pre-split, became a 6000 position following the split.

 

The third split took place on September 02, 1999. This was a classical 2-for-1 split, meaning for each share of Amazon owned pre-split, you now owned 2 shares. For example; a 6000 share position pre-split, became a 12000 position following the split. I remember all the splits very good.

 

It was exiting and it was in the beginning of a new era in the tech stock history. Keep in mind that when they split the stocks, the market cap is the same, but the number of stocks is changed, which means you own more shares, but the shares are valued at a lower price per share. Very often, we that a lower price for a stock can attract a wider range of buyers. And here is the interesting thing; when the stock price goes down, the demand for the stock is increasing. This means of course that the market cap will rise which is good for the company.

 

As always in the stock market; you can`t only look at only one metrics. You have to look at the underlying fundamentals of the business. Looking at the history of Amazon, an original position size of 1000 shares would have turned into 12000 shares today.

 

Google made its split because they want more control over the company and shares. You have different share classes in Google, and all of them have different prices. You can see Google, Google A and Google C when you search for the stock.

 

Many investors are wondering if Apple`s split will mark a peak in its shares as both Google and MasterCard declined after its two share classes split. You can`t compare Apple`s split to Google`s split, because of its different share classes, as one of which had no voting rights, so each class really became its own separate trading vehicle.

 

Right after the split in Google, the shares declined, but that was because of a poor earnings report and not because of the A class shares in Google. I just wonder if Apple will move into the Dow after this split?

 

Apple has three splits in the Apple stock split history. The first one took place on June 16, 1987. This was a 2-for-1 split. The second split took place on June 21, 2000. Also a 2-for-1 split, and the second split took place in February 28, 2005, with a 2-for-1 split. Apple`s 7-for-1 split is approaching and will take place on June 9, 2014.

 

Other key dates:

 

The record date: June 2, 2014 – determines which shareholders are entitled to receive additional shares due to the split.

 

The split date: June 6, 2014 – shareholders are due split shares after the close of business on this date.

 

The Ex date: June 9, 2014 – the date determined by Nasdaq when Apple common shares will trade at the new split-adjusted price.

 

This split means that six additional shares of stock are issued for each share in existence on the Record date, June 2, 2014. The number of shares outstanding will be multiplied by seven and earnings per share will be divided by seven.

 

Reports today:

 

08:30 a.m EST Core Durable Goods Orders m/m

08:30 a.m EST Durable Goods Orders m/m

09:00 a.m EST S&P/CS Composite-20 HPI y/y

09:00 a.m EST HPI m/m

09:30 a.m EST ECB President Draghi Speaks

10:00 a.m EST CB Consumer Confidence

 

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

 

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Human Capital

 

I watched Eurovision Song Contest on Saturday. Denmark was the winner last year, so the show was sent from Copenhagen live on Saturday. They had a great song last year and followd up with a great song on Saturday too. Once the Danish song started I thought to my self that I have heard the song before.

220px-YouToMeAreEverything

Basim represented Denmark on Saturday and Basim and the rest of his crew did a great gig, but the song called Cliche love song is a plagiat. I mine opinion, this song should be banned, but NOBODY IS TALKING ABOUT IT! Have a listen to the song and make up you mind. Click the link below.

Basim – Cliche love song

This song is similar to a great hit from a group called The Real Thing. They had their first hit on the UK charts in July 1976, with the song called You to me are everything. This was on top for three week in the U.K but peaked at nr 64 on Billboard top 100. It didn`t reach the top in the US because the flood of the coversongs. Have a listen to the link below:

 

The Real Thing = You to me are everything

 

Have a listen to both songs and make up you mind. It is very similar. You can listen to them on the headphones made by Dr Dre`s company called Beat Electronics which is in talk with Apple Inc. Nobody understand why Apple is trying to buy Beat Electronics but it is probably something there which is not released yet.

 

In addition to the brand I think Apple is buying knowledge like Dr Dre and the music mogule Jimmy Lovine. Apple is not buying the physical products, but the brand and a human capital. This is the future of the business. How much is a brain wort? How much is an idea worth?

 

Facebook did the same when they bought WhatsApp. What did they really buy? Not the physically app, but the brand and the human capital. The question is how much is it worth? I really look forward to the value of the app WhatsApp. What about Beat Electronics? Apple want to compete with Spotify and start a streaming business, because iTunes sales are declining.

 

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

 

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Stocks that beats the estimates

Facebook (FB) beats the estimates by $0,10. Q1 EPS came in at $0,34. Revenue of $2,5B, beats the estimates by $160M. The stock slid -2,65% yesterday, but will open up about 5% later on today. Facebook stock trades at about 100 times earnings.

They still succeed on mobile advertising. 0% of their revenue came from mobile in Q1 of 2012. Now, mobile ad revenue accounts for 59% of Facebook`s total ad revenue. That is a big surprise for many investors.

facebook logo

Facebook is growing fast and the trend seems to continue. They have a growing base of monthly and daily active users. They have higher quality ad products, new ad products and the marketers spend more on their ads. Ad revenue growth in Q1, 2014 is 82%.

Facebook have so far been the king of social media but its crown has started to slip. The biggest thing for Facebook right now is mobile. The big question for me is what the acquisition of the instant messaging service, WhatsApp, will give them in return? It remains to be seen.

Apple

Apple Inc (AAPL) slid yesterday, trading down -1,31% to $524,75, but the stock will open up about 7% later on today. The stock is down -6,5% so far in 2014. Mr Tim Cook crushed expectations in the quarter.

Apple Inc earned $11,62 compared to consensus of $10,21. They generated $45,65 billion in sales. It is not a surprise to see the stock pop up today! Iphone sales are very strong at 43,7 million units. It was expected to see a sale of about 38,5 million phones.

We can confirm that the relationship with China mobile (CHL) is a success. Mac sales were also solid at 4,1 million, but iPad is disappointing with a sale of 16,35 million compared to the expectations of 19,8 million.

I think that the iPhone launch in Chine will power growth in coming quarters. All this thanks to the big and fat company in China called China Mobile, which have over 700 million active smart phone users. China dominates the digital world and are a hotbed of crazy innovation!

Apple Inc added $30 billion to its buyback, upped its divided 8% and announced a 7 for 1 split in the stock. That is very unusual nowadays. At 9x earnings, Apple shares are attractive at current levels.

Apple has bought 24 different companies in the last 18 months, but they will wait to lauch any new products, and will likely have to wait until the second half of the year for product launches. These results make it clear Apple is in a position of strength and sky is not falling.

This is good news for investors concerned about the slow growth in Apple. Some investors are worried that Apple has lost its innovative edge under CEO Tim Cook. What I am looking for is a mobile payment solution. Come on Apple!

I know you have 800 million iTunes accounts. Will credit cards linked to them be leveraged for a payment service in the near future? Think different and be innovative. This is the way to make more growth and happy investors.

Microsoft (MSFT) is also down. Slid -0,75% yesterday. It`s understandable to see Facebook grow like they do, because they are young and fresh. But what about Microsoft and Apple? They are big and fat and slow.

They have been strong rivals for many years and they both have a turbulent history. Take a look at their growth. The seven last quarters, the growth has stopped at the most fundamental level. How are they going to grow in the future? Are we in a tech bubble?

Reports today:
08:30 a.m EST Core Durable Goods Orders m/m
08:30 a.m EST Unemployment Claims
08:30 a.m EST Durable Goods Orders m/m

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

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Y!mobile on the run

 

Yahoo Japan Corp is Japan`s biggest internet portal and SoftBank own a 42,6% stake in Yahoo Japan. Yahoo Japan Corp will try to buy mobile network operator eAccess for 324 billion yen ($3,17 billion). The stock slid -6,38% yesterday.

eaccess and softbanky_mobile

They will try to launch their own mobile internet service and their new Y!mobile service would aim for more than 20 million users. The purchase is scheduled for June 2 and will follow eAccess` planned merger with wireless provider Willcom, which is also a member of SoftBank group.

Combined they have about 10 million users. Yahoo`s President Manabu Miyasaka said they want additional 10 million users, and they do this because they want control over their own sales channel and service, so they launch this as a standard mobile operator with a simple pricing structure.

SoftBank have a 99,68% stake in eAccess but will have only 33,29% voting rights due to regulatory restrictions. SoftBank launched the Apple Inc iPhone in Japan. They aquired the mobile carrier Sprint Corp last year (No 3 in U.S).

The telecom is extremely attractive to companies like this. They will be nothing without this connections. It`s a growing demand for mobile devices, and consumers in Japan will have an average of six mobile devices each, including wearables and mobile devices in cars, Yahoo`s president said.

Yahoo need to slash prices to win market share against their competitors like NTT DoCoMo Inc and KDDI Corp, as well as their own parent SoftBank, because Japan`s telecom market is ultracompetetive.

SoftBank bought eAccess for 180 billion Yen in 2012 to meet the rising demand for bandwidth as smart phone users surf the web, watch videos and play games. They need to be prepared for faster network demand.

Yahoo Japan will start the new service called Y!mobile and share phone networks with SoftBank, once eAccess acquires Willcom in June. Yahoo Japan hope to win more users who will turn more frequently to their marketplace and auction sites and boosting their e-commers and online advertising businesses.

As the Yahoo president say; they are trying to do something wild, and not be in a status quo position. So are SoftBank doing it. They have been pursuing investments in internet firms around the world, and have a stake in Yahoo Japan, and a 36,7% stake in Chinese e-commerce company Alibaba Group.

A listing of Alibaba would be one of the largest IPO`s by an internet company.

Disclaimer: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and may not reflect those of Shiny bull. The author has made every effort to ensure accuracy of information provided; however, neither Shiny bull nor the author can guarantee such accuracy. This article is strictly for informational purposes only. It is not a solicitation to make any exchange in precious metal products, commodities, securities or other financial instruments. Shiny bull and the author of this article do not accept culpability for losses and/ or damages arising from the use of this publication.

 

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